Moritz (@moritzpike) header
Moritz (@moritzpike) profile picture

representing @pear_protocol | 2 iq thoughts about markets https://teapaw.org/t.co/ThARoMHNNt & @roundtrippedcap | contributing @deriveinsights

Joined August 2018
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will start posting market thoughts etc. on Telegram, 100% free: t.me/moritzpike idk in which frequency but will use it as a journal mainly, inspired by @TradoorMiz & @cryptolala feel free to join and dunk on me
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BTC.D looks cheap here
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quick market update/current thoughts covering bitcoin:native hyperliquid:native monero:native ethereum:0x232ce3bd40fcd6f80f3d55a522d03f25df784ee2 & more, have a blessed weekend all
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$ETH & $HYPE Options Flow, Last 24h during and after the big global selloff 🔍 $ETH saw $6.35M in options premium, close to balanced: $2.02M bearish vs $1.80M bullish. During Thursday’s US session sell-off, 1,250x 27 Nov 2,300 straddles were bought for $282K, while 27 Nov puts at 2,250 and 2,100 were sold. This morning, ahead of NFP, 1,000x 13 Nov 2,250 straddles traded for $131K. On @DeriveXYZ, 10,000x each of 13 Nov 80P, 20 Nov 80P and 27 Nov 77.5P were sold with $HYPE at $77.5, collecting $131K. That is three quarters of all $HYPE options premium in the window. Data by: @derivativemonky Text & Graphic by: @moritzpike
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shared in TG this morning, maybe helpful for some: gmgm, hope everyone is doing well - some thoughts on position size during such high volatility moves: last 3 days are one to remember and take notes off as (ofc not in this extent) this is a pretty repeating pattern in markets elections tend to be noisy anyways and most likely, if you see harsh downside into one, there is a relief bounce because of hedge unwinds + MARKET TEND TO LIKE CLARITY - so 50/50 elections are rather uncertain, afterwards more clarity = more chance for relief (still a bit mad at me for falling asleep and not being able to capitalize on a relatively easy move towards 80k) once this move is exhausted its time for you to re evaluate the situation, in my opinion • was this a clearing event? will we continue its move or still a chance both sides get rolled over • look for LIS on charts, it makes it so much easier for your head to not be stuck in a bias, ESPECIALLY during such high volatility (5k moves a day NEVER should catch you offguard on high leverage, don't give the market the chance to humble your pnl curve insanely bad) • thursday coming and I was very much interested to see what happens, first few minutes flow selloff gives you a hint that if this wasn't to bounce soon (like within first 10mins of session) we probably roll over both sides, CHECK LIQUIDITY • BTC books were as thin as not in a long time and still are compromised as we speak, NOT a time you want high leverage on, rather really tight stops with trend eventually or pairs needed, but even those are risky if you get insane unbalances —> size down on futures here we are, if you believe in the AI trade those prices are interesting - especially on such volume records you usually are close to bottoms or tops if generally correct on thesis (personally no opinion) $BTC thoughts, gameplan etc. later on stream around NYO
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another entertaining day in the markets hope everyone reading this is fine but realistically anyone with crypto experience should be in a position to make money out of this global liquidation event today be grateful, glhf
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$BTC October & Midterms recap: the largest Derive options positions with expiries from 13 Nov onward. 🔍
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Moritz retweeted
We are building the asset management layer of Hyperliquid (hEVM) Each Vault can now also earn the baseline PM yield of 4.61% on excess USDC Catch up.
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third payout on @Icebergdotcash with one instant funded account feedback: great stuff for people that want some form of extra margin, has been very useful for expressing opinions on illiquid isolated margin markets imo withdrawals allowed every 5 days and max 1k, apart from that top tier experience top 2 on the platform now, lfg best available percs: iceberg.cash/?ref=MORITZ
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Payout was basically instant. If they removed the 5-day wait and the profit cap I would honestly make it my primary prop just due to the price of the instants but you're just so limited on upside. Nonetheless, its great value.
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We are LIVE with our 2nd external manager on Pear's Vault infrastructure. Skilled pair trader @ValkyrieFinance has launched their long/short strategy vault. This vault employs a discretionary crypto pairs trading strategy focused on relative value, taking long positions in stronger coins and short positions in weaker ones. Allocate now, there is a $250K cap on this vault. vaults.pear.garden/
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Meet Monk AI 🐒 Powered by DerivativesMonkey Your own JARVIS for crypto options. Monk AI is our first premium paid product, built for serious traders and institutional desks. We plugged the world’s most comprehensive crypto options dataset (DerivativesMonkey) into the world’s most powerful AIs. Get live crypto options data from 12 venues, charts and desk-grade analysis inside @claudeai, @ChatGPT / @OpenAI, @grok / @xai, and @AskVenice. Only 100 spots. DM for access. Ask it: “Where is ETH vol mispriced right now? Chart it, structure the trade, and tell me what invalidates it.” What it does: • Vol surface, smile, skew & term structure across venues • Dealer gamma, call/put walls, GEX flip, vanna & charm • Block trades & flow • Open interest, max pain, put/call • Expected moves & implied odds • Any structure priced (Greeks, breakevens, P&L) • Add Derive wallets for full book review Venues: @DeriveXYZ · @DeribitOfficial · @binance · @Bybit_Official · @okx · @ThalexGlobal · @paradex · @aevoxyz · @Delta_Exchange · @Bullish · @CallPutApp · @SynapseProtocol (Hypercall) + @tradeparadigm block trades Watch it in action 👇
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NYO Stream in 3 hours 📺 • hedge unwind bounce ($INTC etc.)? • bitcoin:native flow recently / cybersecurity fears / monero:native Update • $MSTR situation - cooked? • How to track rebalancing Flows • yapping & chart requests as always on twitch.tv/moritz_pike & @PearMarkets 🍐
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$BTC ETF Sells Accelerating over Cybersecurity Fears 📉 - BlackRock’s $IBIT saw $405.3M in net outflows on Nov 2, its largest single-day exit since June 26 - It follows -$643.2M on Oct 30, the biggest daily outflow for the group since June 25. That puts the last two sessions at -$1.04B. - October closed at -$515.9M net, the first negative month since June, even though IBIT alone took in +$932.1M over the month. Text & Analysis by: @moritzpike
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update: monero:native dominance up only lesson: you can really size up in such trades if CT is that quiet on a coin with such an HTF chart/trend in it the hedge against cybersecurity issues (until it gets exploited lmao)
observing the real privacy coin monero:native probably in one of the most overlooked uptrends on monthly timeframe meanwhile funding flips negative on ltf, happily getting paid to be long the orange coin
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Moritz retweeted
Spread out your capital to a bunch of different wallets and exchanges. Talked about this 2 years ago or so, but it's even more important now with all of the exploits. Super obvious thing to do, but I still know many that concentrate their capital in just a couple places. If I can just save 1 follower from getting rekt, it's worth tweeting about it.
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another good day to be pair trading around MSTR still having a premium over bitcoin:native mNAV sub 1 and I'm done with this trade but for now this continues to offer decent R/R setups especially into opens
STRATEGY ($MSTR ) BUYS 811 BITCOIN, REPURCHASES $208 MILLION IN PREFERRED SHARES Strategy acquired 811 BTC for $65.5 million at an average price of $80,846 per Bitcoin, bringing total holdings to 849,327 BTC. The company also sold 1.18 million MSTR shares, raising $164 million, with $98.5 million allocated to USD Cash. Strategy repurchased $208.2 million of STRC preferred shares during the week. Its USD Reserve stands at $4.79 billion, with another $132.7 million in USD Cash.
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The key to performing well is to size high and not over manage your positions, instead of trying to scalp every altcoin
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Week 44 Recap 📅 Binance lost $6.3B in the largest crypto hack on record, with TRM and the FBI pointing to North Korea. The Fed held, but two hike dissents put December in play. $BTC closed October down 7.7%, its first red month since June, with ETFs flipping the month to net outflows. Next week: Binance proof of reserves, US midterms and the October jobs report.
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