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The premier marketplace for crowdsourced investor intelligence.

Up to $100k up for grabs 👉
Joined January 2014
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It’s on. Our Trading League is officially open. Post up to three trade ideas inside Real Vision between now and November 20 and compete for up to $100K in prizes.  All you need to get started is a free account. You don’t need to make any real trades, just post the idea, and it gets scored on how it plays out in the market. And we’re not sending you in blind… Last week we ran two days of live workshops with some of the best in the game, all recorded and ready to watch with your free account.  Plus you get a free Trade Agent to use for the whole League. Type a ticker, let it do the digging, then post the idea that holds up. Your future. Your move.
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Previously on the most chaotic show on the internet… In case you missed it, Drinks with Raoul is back November 2nd. Add it to your diaries 🍷
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Shorting an AI darling won Andy B. $5,000 in Week 1 of the Trading League. With CoreWeave paying 15% on its bonds, Andy used a 2x inverse ETF ($CORD) to bet against its balance sheet for a 23% gain. @RosenvoldGeo and @AndreasSteno break down the winning trade from last week.
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No hike. The Fed holds steady but December is now ~85% priced for a hike.
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AI bubble who?
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The economy cannot cope with interest rates at these levels, says @AndreasSteno. If the Fed acknowledges tighter financial conditions today, he puts the broad equity market "one message away from a short squeeze."
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Something cooking at @RealVision ; a better way to understand token value accrual, i.e., a quality screener. More to follow as I roll out more tools from the Helios Analytics crypto terminal to subscribers.
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“You cannot really argue with the bond market.” @AndreasSteno says the AI build-out needs the bond market’s money, but the bond market doesn’t trust it yet. When Anthropic asks for more compute, Amazon and Alphabet have to build it, and that takes capital. So the Mag 7’s real job this week is convincing lenders. You cannot call them wrong and still get funded.
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What if the AI price crash the bears are waiting for has already happened? @AndreasSteno argues the price of a token is down about 95% in two years once you account for how much better the models are.  You pay roughly the same, but you get far more, the same way inflation stats measure an iPhone.
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Alphabet reports tomorrow, the same day the Fed decides on rates. Before the print, we asked Real Vision’s Trade Agent for the bull and bear case on $GOOGL. Bulls need ads to hold, Cloud margins to re-accelerate and AI capex to show a return. Bears are watching for Search pressure, a Cloud miss and capex that keeps rising with nothing to show for it. Bullish or bearish on $GOOGL into tomorrow?
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“It’s not just on my radar. It’s in my portfolio.” While the market dumps software stocks on AI fears, Donna R. went the other way with SentinelOne ($S).  @RosenvoldGeo and @AndreasSteno break down why cybersecurity could be the part of software that AI makes stronger.
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Position sizing is one of the most important parts of trading, and one of the least talked about. @Jamie1Coutts' simple formula to work out how much to put into a trade 👇
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Jamie walked us through this formula during his workshop at our Festival of Trading, where he goes further into adding to winners and sizing correlated crypto bets. Watch the replay free with a Real Vision account: realvision.com/your-future?u…
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