Centre pour la Recherche Économique et ses applications. Assurer une interface entre le monde académique et les administrations économiques.

Paris
Joined June 2013
Debt management is easy in the United States, as the nominal growth forecasts has been revised upward, and r-g remains comfortably negative. The latest Macroeconomic Outlook is online 👉 cepremap.fr/depot/2025/12/Ma…
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For 2025, the OECD revised up its growth forecasts for the United States and France by 0.2 percentage points, and for the Euro Area by 0.1 percentage point. The latest Macroeconomic Outlook is online 👉cepremap.fr/depot/2025/12/Ma…
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Growth is stronger in France than in the rest of the Euro Area, particularly relative to Germany, while inflation is running at roughly half the rate. The latest Macroeconomic Outlook is online 👉 cepremap.fr/depot/2025/11/Ma…
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Since the dissolution of the Parlement in 2024, the yield spread on French public debt relative to Germany has risen by 0.3 pp while it has narrowed by 0.4 pp for Italy and by 0.3 pp for Greece and Spain. The latest Macroeconomic Outlook is online 👉cepremap.fr/depot/2025/10/Ma…
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Good news: after dropping below 2% in May, inflation has risen to 2.2% in the Euro Area (from 0.6% and 2.1% in May in France and Germany to 1.1% and 2.4% in September), the risk of recession is receding. The latest Macroeconomic Outlook is online 👉cepremap.fr/depot/2025/10/Ma…
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OECD growth forecasts for 2025 and 2026 were revised upward by 0.2 percentage points for most countries, but not for France, where the forecast is unchanged and remains well below previous growth rates. The latest Macroeconomic Outlook is online 👉cepremap.fr/depot/2025/09/Ma…
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French government bond yields have risen above those of Spain and Greece. The latest Macroeconomic Outlook is online 👉 cepremap.fr/depot/2025/09/Ma…
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After a difficult final quarter of 2024 marked by the no-confidence vote against the Barnier government, France is catching up with EU growth, posting stronger growth in the second quarter of 2025. The latest Macroeconomic Outlook is online 👉cepremap.fr/depot/2025/08/Ma…
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📖 Since the mid-1990s, the effective retirement age and employment rate of older workers in France have been rising steadily. Yet, from an intergenerational equity perspective, blue-collar workers should retire earlier. I-MIP simulations explain why. shorturl.at/FBfaK
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Inflation in France remains unusually low—about half the level seen in other countries—and even just half of France’s own core inflation, as falling commodity prices are dragging headline inflation down. The latest Macroeconomic Outlook is online 👉cepremap.fr/depot/2025/07/Ma…
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🎥 Les replays de la conférence sur l’évaluation du budget (30 juin) sont en ligne ! 📊 Dette, retraites, budget 2025, guerre commerciale… 🎙️ À revoir ici : shorturl.at/riG59?utm_source… @IPPinfo @iMIP_institute @CEPREMAP
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La Note de l'i-MIP écrite par des membres du Cepremap est en ligne 👉 i-mip.eu/publications/reduir…
💶 📉 Les coupes budgétaires pourraient amputer la croissance économique de 25 milliards d'euros (0,16 point de PIB/an) jusqu'en 2029 selon une évaluation de l'Institut des politiques macroéconomiques (@iMIP_institute). ✍️ @gregoirenormand ➡️ À lire ici: l.latribune.fr/Auw
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5️⃣ La nature des économies compte : ❌ Réduire uniquement la consommation publique nuit à la croissance ❌ Réduire uniquement les transferts augmente les inégalités
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6⃣ Comment faire mieux? ✅ Cibler les transferts d’assurance (retraite & chômage) via une règle budgétaire: ➡️ Dette à 116,4% du PIB ➡️ Croissance : hausse de 0.49% ➡️ Moins d’inégalités ➡️ Moins de risques de dérapage
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