Never give up

Chicago, IL
Joined September 2017
MCC2129 retweeted
THE BREWERS COME OUT FIRING IN GAME 3 AND ARE ONE GAME AWAY FROM THEIR FIRST WORLD SERIES TITLE‼️
66
243
35
2,209
88,401
What a moment for Christian Yelich man
1
3
99
4,262
MCC2129 retweeted
Replying to @AnthropicAI
@AnthropicAI to hedge compute.
1
20
632
MCC2129 retweeted
A benchmark tells you how a model does on someone else's task. Workloads on Liquid Inference test it on yours. Add 10 to 30 cases with the answer you expect, pick up to four lanes (models, providers, presets or Auto), and a run scores every answer and ranks the lanes by right answers and cost. A run never spends more than its limit: $0.10 by default. Guide: inference.ai.exchange/docs/w…
1
6
17
1,202
Replying to @michael_chomsky
Why has nobody made an *actually* open router? Feel like such an opportunity to have lower cost
11
1
1
11
2,092
MCC2129 retweeted
We did! It's called LiquidInference AI - think of it like an orderbook / live auction for inference!!
2
6
28
1,811
MCC2129 retweeted
The Liquid CLI isn't only for starting coding agents: liquid model --list → live prices for every model, cache reads included liquid cap 0.50 → no request from your agents costs more than 50¢ liquid workspace usage → what you spent, per modelInstall: curl -fsSL inference.ai.exchange/cli/in… | bash
3
7
30
1,703
MCC2129 retweeted
Buying GPUs isn't as fun as people think. Let's say you're buying B300s. The OEM takes an unrefundable 30% deposit, and gives you "target" delivery date, but it's far from a guarantee. In most cases the manufacturer has no penalties, if they miss it, and the clock doesn't even start untill your deposit clears and NVIDIA approves the deal. The end client is covered too, at least on paper. If capacity shows up late they can usually cancel and claim their prepayment back, or get credits for every day it’s late. The problem is the buyer in the middle. The delay isn't their fault, but they carry all of it. They can't refund the end client, because that prepayment already went to the OEM as a deposit, and they're the ones paying the late penalties. And even without penalties, every delayed node is losing money while the interest payments keeps running. A B300 node at $6/GPU hour is about $8k a week per node in lost revenue and $1k in interest. On a 32 node cluster, a 10 week delay loses almost $3M. We are arguing over cents per GPU hour, but your entire margin can be blow away by a 10 week delay.
5
5
1
61
4,534
MCC2129 retweeted
GPU COMPUTE WEEKLY SNAPSHOT 10-26-26 $/GPU-hr · 7D · 1M · YTD · 30D ann. vol >H100 — $2.86 · −1.78% · +2.43% · +52.7% · 10.5% >H200 — $3.40 · −4.10% · −1.57% · +39.9% · 11.8% >B200 — $5.87 · +2.08% · +12.13% · +51.5% · 8.0% >B300 — $7.71 · +1.38% · +17.32% · +57.8% · 6.7%
1
3
6
715
It is with great honor and pride that we announce the Basketball Official of the Year Award in the Chicago Catholic League will now be named after John Scanlon. John’s dedicated legacy will never be forgotten by his family, friends and the Chicagoland basketball community.
7
22
2
89
4,818
Good luck to @DePaulPrepFB tonight on their opening round football game. Rams. @DePaulPrepAD @DePaulPrep
1
2
1
14
1,001
What a great turnout for our 7th and 8th grade skills camp. DePaul Prep’s last open house is November 1st. Be a Ram. @DePaulPrepAD @DePaulPrep
11
34
1,852
RAMS WIN! RAMS WIN! Emmett McCue with the game winner! @EmmettMccue
2
10
1
37
1,583
MCC2129 retweeted
Christian Yelich personally invited 98- and 102-year-old WWII veterans Bill Wattleton and Sverre Vinje to Game 1 of the World Series. They were able to meet Christian’s mom Alecia, former Brewer All-Star Chris Capuano, and witness the Brewers win a World Series game in person. Thank you, Christian, for providing this incredible experience for two American heroes. ❤️ @ChristianYelich | @Brewers
45
409
50
3,154
92,584
In an AI compute short squeeze, everyone in the stack looks smart. That doesn’t tell you who earns durable long-term returns. You can be right on demand and still own the wrong businesses. Today we estimate that every incremental GW of data center capacity currently generates $40-50bn of revenue across the stack. Data centers are under-earning (~$2.2mn/MW) relative to the value they unlock at the token factory layer (~$40mn+/MW). Frontier models face real pricing pressure from open-source and the hyperscalers. A 40% token-price cut can push standalone inference near breakeven — while hyperscalers still make money on the hardware. The picture will look very different in 6–12 months. Energy capacity, tokens per watt, model-layer competition, and financing are all in motion. We built a dynamic tool to track how it plays out. This map will look different in 6-12 months. Four forces to watch: - Energy, the most acute bottleneck today - More tokens per watt from better hardware and software - Rising competition at the model layer - Financing all this capex So we open-sourced our model. Input your assumptions and watch how value shifts across the stack.
6
7
1
32
8,063
MCC2129 retweeted
Guaranteeing that kind of reserved capacity (hundreds of billions of tokens/day) for customers is a sweet spot for us. Happy to work with @Architect_Fi for servicing many more such requests. @BoundlessHQ is growing 2-10x every week.. our appetite is (you guessed it) Boundless.
Liquid Inference Reservations are now live! Need one trillion tokens guaranteed over the next month? Reserve token capacity at fixed prices, preferred privacy terms, and required SLAs from a hand-selected set of inference providers.
1
4
1
17
1,240
MCC2129 retweeted
Congrats @BrettHarrison and the @Architect_Fi team on Reservations. Lock in tokens for 1 to 12 months at a fixed price, and overage rolls into the spot auction automatically. Reserve the baseline, buy the spikes live. We share a similar view at @mercatus_ai here. I think that’s how most teams will end up buying inference, and Brett is building toward the same place we are. At Mercatus we treat inference optimization as both an engineering problem and a finance problem. Engineers have spent years shaving cost off the serving stack. On the finance side, inference is still bought off static list prices and bilateral contracts. This is the direction we’re building for that half. Buying next quarter’s tokens should be a routine job for whoever owns the AI budget.
Announcing Reservations on Liquid Inference. Inference buyers can now reserve batches of tokens in advance at fixed prices over any time period. Providers compete to offer the best terms and SLAs instantly. How it works: • Enter a lock-in duration from 1 to 12 months • Specify token rate and uptime requirements • Select from ZDR, SOC2, and other compliance/privacy features • Receive multiple quotes and terms • Negotiate through in-app messaging directly with providers • Optionally allow overage to automatically query the spot market Providers benefit from standardized contracts, automated billing, SLA monitoring, and zero additional fees to participate. Check it out and let us know, we’re here for all feedback.
1
2
7
258
Architect submitted its comments on compute derivatives to the CFTC on October 16, followed by the Hyperliquid Policy Center (HPC) on October 20. Both support bringing regulated compute derivatives to U.S. markets, though they take different approaches to benchmark standards and the rollout of perpetuals. Around the same time, AI infrastructure credit came under renewed pressure. CoreWeave's 9.625% notes due 2032, issued in June, saw their yield climb above 15% in the secondary market. As of October 21, they were still yielding around 14.7%. How much of the risk in AI infrastructure financing can GPU futures actually hedge? @CoreWeave ended Q2 with roughly $104B in revenue backlog and $640M in quarterly net interest expense. Long-term take-or-pay contracts provide revenue visibility, while lenders also have to underwrite execution risk, refinancing conditions, and what the underlying GPUs will be worth when those contracts expire. Consider a five-year financing arrangement backed by three years of contracted compute revenue. Once those contracts roll off, the economics depend on what the GPUs can earn under new rental agreements and what the hardware would fetch on the secondary market. Rental futures could help hedge the repricing of that capacity, provided the settlement benchmark tracks the rates the operator can actually realize. That brings us to a problem with the underlying market. Much of the GPU rental market still operates through private, long-term bilateral agreements. Architect notes that even the Compute Desk H100 index it plans to use relies primarily on published quotes, with executed transactions accounting for a smaller share of the benchmark. Research from HEC Montréal found that weekly price changes in Silicon Data's and Ornn's H100 rental indices had a correlation of just 0.17 through July 2026. These indices track the same GPU generation, yet their price movements show limited alignment. The study doesn't establish which benchmark better reflects commercial rental rates, but the choice of settlement index clearly matters for basis risk. Pricing also varies across hardware generations. Architect cites Compute Desk data showing the B300 rental index rising from $4.55 in November 2025 to a reported $7.39 per GPU-hour, a roughly 62% increase. As newer GPUs change the economics of serving compute, rental rates and residual values across generations can move quite differently. The two CFTC submissions approach this market from different angles. @HyperliquidPC argues that listed futures can help an immature spot market develop common pricing standards, drawing a parallel with Henry Hub natural gas futures. It supports competing qualified benchmarks and a regulatory path for both dated futures and perpetuals. @Architect_Fi puts more emphasis on benchmark integrity and favors establishing a track record in dated futures before expanding to perpetuals. One of its proposed safeguards is particularly interesting: exclude spot transactions priced off a futures contract or the same reference index from that index's settlement inputs. Here's why that matters. As GPU futures gain traction, more commercial compute agreements could move toward index + spread pricing. A provider and its customer could agree on a rental rate tied to a published H100 index, plus a negotiated premium or discount. That would make contracts easier to price and give lenders a common reference for projecting rental income. But suppose those index-linked agreements are then reported as fresh transactions and fed back into the same benchmark. The benchmark would effectively start incorporating prices derived from itself. Futures trading could also influence commercial contract pricing, which in turn could feed back into futures settlement. Over time, the index might appear to be supported by a growing volume of transactions, even as the amount of independently discovered price information grows much more slowly. The more widely a benchmark is adopted, the more important it becomes to preserve independent price formation beneath it. This is particularly relevant for compute perpetuals. GPU-hours are non-storable: unused capacity today cannot be carried into tomorrow. That makes it difficult to establish the same kind of spot-and-carry arbitrage available in assets such as BTC. Without an expiry date, perpetuals depend heavily on funding and a reliable reference index to keep prices aligned. If that index drifts away from executable rental rates, funding can keep the contract anchored to a distorted reference. As GPU futures become more widely used in rental agreements and equipment financing, the same benchmark could influence derivatives settlement, contracted cash flows, and the valuation of GPU-backed credit. A pricing distortion that starts in a relatively thin rental market could then feed into a much larger pool of financial exposure, with the benchmark serving as the link between them.
6
7
27
3,428