Writes the UK's most popular politics Substack (https://xitter.cf/t.co/bcjXR0ncfL). New book - "Failed State" - now out https://xitter.cf/t.co/uPuWlb39R3.

Joined January 2009
New post: Over the next year there a series of European elections where the radical right could gain more power than ever. How will this play out? We have 30 years of evidence that tells us they will struggle. Obituries for liberalism are premature. samf.substack.com/p/the-stra…
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Sam Freedman retweeted
It would be nice if the most powerful man in the world wasn't completely delusional.
New post from @LawDavF Trump has again intervened in the Ukraine war on the wrong side. How much difference is it making? What can Europe and Ukraine do to counteract? samf.substack.com/p/ukraine-…
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It would be nice if the most powerful man in the world wasn't completely delusional.
New post from @LawDavF Trump has again intervened in the Ukraine war on the wrong side. How much difference is it making? What can Europe and Ukraine do to counteract? samf.substack.com/p/ukraine-…
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Sam Freedman retweeted
My latest post attempts to make sense of a difficult time in US-Ukraine relations, in which the dysfunctions of the Trump administration were on full display. Trump’s claims that Putin was ready to make concessions was shown again to be make-believe. (£/free trial) samf.substack.com/p/ukraine-…?
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New post from @LawDavF Trump has again intervened in the Ukraine war on the wrong side. How much difference is it making? What can Europe and Ukraine do to counteract? samf.substack.com/p/ukraine-…
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Sam Freedman retweeted
New post: We have exclusive new polling from @focaldataHQ - looking at how views of AI are developing and how it's affecting voting. They look at why the US debate is so much more polarised by party than here - and whether we could go the same way. samf.substack.com/p/ai-as-th…
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Sam Freedman retweeted
One of my favourite charts from the post showing where US voters are on speeding up versus slowing down AI development compared to their perception of parties. You can see why the Democrats are talking about it a lot.
New post: We have exclusive new polling from @focaldataHQ - looking at how views of AI are developing and how it's affecting voting. They look at why the US debate is so much more polarised by party than here - and whether we could go the same way. samf.substack.com/p/ai-as-th…
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One of my favourite charts from the post showing where US voters are on speeding up versus slowing down AI development compared to their perception of parties. You can see why the Democrats are talking about it a lot.
New post: We have exclusive new polling from @focaldataHQ - looking at how views of AI are developing and how it's affecting voting. They look at why the US debate is so much more polarised by party than here - and whether we could go the same way. samf.substack.com/p/ai-as-th…
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New post: We have exclusive new polling from @focaldataHQ - looking at how views of AI are developing and how it's affecting voting. They look at why the US debate is so much more polarised by party than here - and whether we could go the same way. samf.substack.com/p/ai-as-th…
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It's absolutely packed with fascinating charts from their polling.
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This is just one of the problems Le Pen would have in power...
Marine Le Pen is favourite to win the French presidency, more so after last week's violence. Using the history of radical right victories in Europe I assessed what her government would look like and what barriers would it run into. samf.substack.com/p/the-stra…
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A problem all radical right parties tend to have. Reform included.
There is a sociological component to this, which is MLP's split electorate between the angry post industrial workers of the North and the rich retirees of the South. Every financial pledge she makes is designed to simultaneously appeal to 2 irreconciable groups.
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This is just one of the problems Le Pen would have in power...
Marine Le Pen is favourite to win the French presidency, more so after last week's violence. Using the history of radical right victories in Europe I assessed what her government would look like and what barriers would it run into. samf.substack.com/p/the-stra…
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Marine Le Pen is favourite to win the French presidency, more so after last week's violence. Using the history of radical right victories in Europe I assessed what her government would look like and what barriers would it run into. samf.substack.com/p/the-stra…
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Sam Freedman retweeted
Interesting analysis by @Samfr of the extra difficulties Far Right parties across Europe have in a) actually getting into power, b) governing constitutionally, c) governing without disappointing their supporters. But this still damages democracy & society! samf.substack.com/p/the-stra…
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Sam Freedman retweeted
New post: Over the next year there a series of European elections where the radical right could gain more power than ever. How will this play out? We have 30 years of evidence that tells us they will struggle. Obituries for liberalism are premature. samf.substack.com/p/the-stra…
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Sam Freedman retweeted
Radical right always fail after getting power, if they maintain the democratic institutions. They simply can't deliver what they promise The best way to ensure that a right wing doesn't only win elections, but gets a mandate to do the radical changes is to offer it an enemy 1/2
New post: Over the next year there a series of European elections where the radical right could gain more power than ever. How will this play out? We have 30 years of evidence that tells us they will struggle. Obituries for liberalism are premature. samf.substack.com/p/the-stra…
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The post looks at how the constraints of power have hemmed in radical right governments in Europe in the past. And sketches out scenarios about how a Le Pen government in France and a Vox/PP government in Spain would get into trouble quickly.
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None of which is to say we shouldn't be worried. We really should. But the way the problems play out will be more protracted and complex than "the death of liberalism".
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