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Arcade-style analytics built to win One & Done pools. Weekly projections and full-season strategy. Level up your leaderboard. 🏆⚡️

Joined December 2025
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Welcome to One & Done Optimizer. Level up your leaderboard.
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The PGA Tour Fall Swing starts Thursday. @Splash and @RickRunGood are hosting a Three-and-Done across all eight events ($100 entry). Here's what you need to know before you make your first pick. 🧵 app.splashsports.com/contest…
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Understanding player motivation is everything this fall. Top-50 FedEx Cup players are locked into Signature Events. No real incentive to play. 51-60 are fighting to get into the first two Signature Events. 70+ are playing for their PGA Tour cards. This is the core group you'll see all fall.
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That's a wrap on the first season at One & Done Optimizer. Shoutout to all the subscribers and followers! 8⃣8⃣ Ownership projections finished with .88 R^2 and 88% top-20 hit rate. Keep it locked for One & Done research in the offseason and new features coming next season.
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Also hit 6 outright winner bets this season! Fitz - Valspar & Heritage Young - Cadillac Henley - Charles Schwab Hovland - Travelers Clark - BMW 20% winner rate (6 in 31 events) 4 outrights per event on average
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5-and-Done: Tour Championship Highest projected ownership: 1⃣ Scottie Scheffler 2⃣ Rory McIlroy 3⃣ Tommy Fleetwood Highest projected leverage: 1⃣ Min Woo Lee 2⃣ Alex Smalley 3⃣ Jacob Bridgeman
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Tour Championship betting card ⛳️ W. Clark | 21-1 (1.5u) C. Gotterup | 35-1 (1u)
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Player unused % in the $1.25M RickRunGood One & Done World Championship: 4% – Scottie Scheffler 9.5% – Matt Fitzpatrick 11% – Si Woo Kim 11% – Cameron Young 12.5% – Tommy Fleetwood 13% – Rory McIlroy 13% – Xander Schauffele 14% – Ludvig Aberg
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Projected picks from the current Top-10 in the @RickRunGood $1.25M One & Done World Championship Wyndham Clark (2) Chris Gotterup (2) Viktor Hovland (1) Si Woo Kim (1) Patrick Cantlay (1) Justin Thomas (1) Collin Morikawa (1) Jake Knapp (1) (number = how many of the Top-10 are projected on each player)
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BMW Championship ⛳️ Projected One & Done Ownership Tiers 10-15% → Scheffler, McIlroy 5-10% → Aberg, Schauffele, Burns, Hovland, Clark, Cantlay Who are you rolling with? 👇
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Important caveat: This is projected Splash Site-wide ownership. Scottie Scheffler is 6% available in the RickRunGood $1.25M..... 15% site-wide.
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5-and-Done: BMW Championship Highest projected ownership: 1⃣ Rory McIlroy 2⃣ Ludvig Aberg 3⃣ Xander Schauffele Highest projected leverage: 1⃣ Sungjae Im 2⃣ Alex Smalley 3⃣ Rickie Fowler
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Not all One & Done pools are created equal. RickRunGood vs. Splash site-wide shows massive chalk divergence headed into championship week. Your leverage depends entirely on what contest you're competing in.
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BMW Championship betting card ⛳️ L. Aberg | 20-1 (2u) W. Clark | 37-1 (1u) A. Fitzpatrick (t5) | +1900 (.5u) S. Kim (t20) | +250 (1u)
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One & Done Optimizer projected ownership vs RickRunGood/Mayo actual (aggregate): Burns — 12.5% vs 15.3% Hovland — 7.2% vs 7.3% Matsuyama — 5.3% vs 7.0% Morikawa — 8.6% vs 6.1% Fleetwood — 4.7% vs 4.8% Schauffele — 3.7% vs 4.1% Good luck everyone!
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FedEx St. Jude Championship ⛳️ Projected One & Done Ownership Tiers 10-15% → Burns 5-10% → McIlroy, Morikawa, Thomas, Hovland, Scheffler, Matsuyama Who are you rolling with? 👇
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5-and-Done: FedEx St. Jude Championship Highest projected ownership: 1⃣ Sam Burns 2⃣ Collin Morikawa 3⃣ Cameron Young Highest projected leverage: 1⃣ Rickie Fowler 2⃣ Alex Smalley 3⃣ Corey Conners
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This will probably fill but 40% of the entries are still up for grabs
🚨Reminder: the infamous FIVE AND DONE starts this week. OAD rules apply but you pick five golfers each week. Each tournament of playoffs is its own segment. $100,000 Guaranteed. Play: bit.ly/3Ut5qbA
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Just pushed a 5-and-Done update: you can now choose how the optimizer thinks about your lineup. MAX PROJECTION picks the highest raw projected total across the three events. HIGH CEILING factors in that only one golfer can win each event, which pushes some of the best players into separate events for a more realistic ceiling.
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FedEx St. Jude Championship betting card ⛳️ R. Henley | 39-1 (1u) J. Thomas | 42-1 (.75u) T. Kim | 58-1 (.75u) J. Thomas (t5) | +780 (.25u) J. Thomas (t20) | +135 (1u)
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Players on the bubble 🫧 Probability of advancing to the BMW Championship Maverick McNealy: 54% Matt McCarty: 52% Keith Mitchell: 52% Harris English: 50% Alex Noren: 50% Max Homa: 46%
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Players with the lowest remaining availability in One & Done (site-wide on @splashsports) SW Kim: 4% M. Fitzpatrick: 8% T. Fleetwood: 13% C. Young: 13% R. Henley: 15% S. Scheffler: 17% L. Aberg: 17% X. Schauffele: 17% H. Matsuyama: 17% C. Gotterup: 22% R. McIlroy: 29%
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