The market is wrong
The Arena
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$BTC.D Bitcoin dominance hitting resistance at 20 month SMA. If it holds, do we finally get our rising tide lifts all boats fabled alt season?
Crypto performed poorly in Q4 of the last two midterm years, 2018 and 2022. In both cases, Bitcoin hadn’t yet bottomed when the quarter began.
If Bitcoin bottomed in June 2026, the cycle is left-translated. October–December would then correspond to months 4–6 after the bottom.
Mapping the same stage of previous recoveries onto Q4 2026 gives averages of +67% for $BTC and +61% for $ETH.
Be more bullish.
