Aditya Chaturvedi (@ACphenomen) header
Aditya Chaturvedi (@ACphenomen) profile picture

Realist Contrarian. Pessimism of the Intellect, Optimism of the Will. Bylines: News18, Firstpost, Space News, Wire, Swarajya, New Indian, Eurasia Review

Joined February 2017
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This redundancy is what leads to @Peter_Turchin's Elite Overproduction'. Too many people with vaunted higher education and superfluous diplomas that the market doesn't value, leading to bitter turf wars and zero-sum competition to grab limited spots available in high echelons.
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Two thoughts from Josh Kaufman "You can't make positive discoveries that make your life better if you never try anything new." “Paradox of Automation: the more efficient the Automated system, the more crucial the contribution of the human operators of that system.”
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Colossal feat. With the exception of China and India, there's no other country in the world with a population of 500 million. This means India has pulled more people out of poverty than the population of the USA and Russia combined. And equivalent to the population of EU.
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Morreu William Nordhaus, aos 85 anos. Ganhou o Nobel da Economia em 2018, partilhado com Paul Romer, por trazer as alterações climáticas para a macroeconomia. Gerações de estudantes aprenderam economia pelo manual de Samuelson e Nordhaus. Mas o meu artigo preferido dele é outro: "Schumpeterian Profits in the American Economy: Theory and Measurement", de 2004. Nordhaus quis saber quanto do valor criado pela inovação fica com quem inova. Fez as contas para as empresas americanas, fora da agricultura, entre 1948 e 2001. A resposta: cerca de 2,2%. O resto foi para a sociedade, sobretudo para os consumidores, em preços mais baixos e produtos melhores. Por cada 100 euros de valor que um inovador cria, fica com pouco mais de 2. Nós ficamos com os outros 98. Julian Simon passou a vida a insistir nisto: quem inventa e empreende deixa o mundo muito mais rico do que o encontrou. Convém lembrá-lo sempre que alguém propõe tributar pesadamente as fortunas dos empreendedores, como se fossem um peso para a sociedade. O inovador já fica com uma fatia mínima do valor que cria. Taxar essa fatia rende pouco e põe em risco tudo o resto. Quem fez fortuna a inovar não é um fardo social. É o maior benfeitor da sociedade, e cobra por isso pouco mais de 2%.
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As the pop philosopher Madonna said, I am not sorry, it's human nature.
I am unusually reminded of the great Honore De Balzac’s observation that: When women love us, they forgive us everything, even our crimes. When they do not love us, they give us credit for nothing, not even our virtues.
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Hegel is so damn cryptic and inscrutable that anything and everything can be attributed to him. From End of History to March of Geography, to Space Race to fully automated luxury communism, to the juche system in DPRK.
Alex Karp says Palantir is a philosophical project inspired by Hegel.
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Classic exhibit of the Tyranny of Experts – and Moral Crusaders. Adaptive interventions, local knowledge, tech transformation, market integration, and scalability does more than mis-diagnosed policy prescriptions or self-righteous zeal.
In 2014, Greenpeace gave a Bihar village solar power so it would not need coal. It could light a lamp but not run a stove, so villagers met the CM demanding ‘real electricity’. Bjørn Lomborg’s False Alarm has many such cases, where the poor pay for climate 'panic'.🧵
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If you haven’t read Amusing Ourselves to Death by Neil Postman, you don’t understand what your phone is doing to you. He wrote it in 1985, before the internet, and it is still the best book on the subject. Postman’s point is simple. Nobody has to ban books to make people stop thinking. You just have to give them something more fun to look at. Do that long enough and they lose the ability to pay attention to anything that isn’t entertaining. The news. Politics. Their own lives. He saw it happening with television. Now it is happening in your pocket, every day. Read it and you will finally understand why you can’t focus.
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" This city is cosmopolitan to the point of characterlessness"- V S Naipaul talking about "Bombay" in his essay "Jamshed into Jimmy" ( 1963). Perhaps calling it Mumbai in mid 1990s was a nativist, and symbolic, way of finding some character in it. Incidentally, in his 1990
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Thompson College aka IIT Roorkee is Asia's oldest civil engineering institution. College of Engineering - Guindy, founded as School of Survey in 1794, is the oldest engineering & tech institution anywhere in the world outside Europe. It is older than @MIT, which was founded in 1861. Syndenham College, Bombay is the oldest college of commerce and economics in Asia. Calcutta Medical College, founded in 1835 by William Bentick, was the pioneer in english as a medium of instruction in medicine in the world. The colonial British contribution to the induction of India into the modern world via enquiry, education, research, scientific knowledge and training, was a colossal feat with very few parallels. No amount of inferiority complex, melodrama, opportunistic nativism, and cheap de-colonization or Indic power max slop can rebuke that.
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Karl Ove Knausgård, Norwegian author, who became known for a series of six autobiographical novels titled "My Struggle." James Wood of "The New Yorker" wrote "There is something ceaselessly compelling about Knausgård's book: even when I was bored, I was interested."
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The recent debate between Paul Kedrosky and @azeem at @nytimes Ezra Klein Show is very insightful on the trend of hyper concentration and the traditional markers of froth and bubble formation. In August 2022, three months before the launch of ChatGPT by OpenAI – which kick-started the profusion of Generative AI – I did a long-form interview with Azeem regarding his book 'The Exponential Age'. The points that he raised regarding the broader tech shift towards convergence, the economics of clusters, specialization, arbitrage, and the friction between globalization & re-localization, still offer food for thought four years down the line. The key takeaways are still pertinent amid the gold rush for GPUs, hyper-scalers, and the fast-transition towards agentic engineering: – The Asymmetric Power of Convergence – Network Effects – Positive Feedback Loops – Scalability – Exponential Acceleration – Learning Curve – Moore's Law – Information to Insights to Intel pipeline – Causal Link between Policy, Performance, and Pricing Power – The Four Cs that redefined the modern world: Containerization, Chips, Computing power, and Convergence. The Catch-22 collision between the push for far-reaching regulations and guardrails v/s laissez-faire deregulation & accelerationism is still the hot-button issue on AI. From the interview: "Technology has led to an unprecedented decline in price. All complex engineered technologies are susceptible to learning effects. The Ford Model-T declined in cost by 75% between 1909 and 1929 due to learning effects. They became more and more efficient. There were also economies of scale, which is impressive, but it doesn’t compare with the decline in cost of a computer from 1960s to today. One of the fundamental units in a computer is an engineered product called a transistor. In 1958, a transistor cost about $1,500 in modern money whereas today you can get 100 million transistors for a dollar.That’s a decline that you don’t get to see in other markets. One of the first thing is to get these technologies that witness drastic decline in price which drives their market ubiquity."
I joined @ezraklein and Paul Kedrosky to debate the AI bubble. My view is that AI is still a productive boom, but the financing is getting increasingly uncomfortable. What matters is knowing what evidence would make us change our minds one way or the other: nytimes.com/2026/10/16/opini…
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The four original metropolitan cities + the new IT hubs, the colloquial engines of the new economy, as well as fast-expanding mid-sized cities aspiring to a noveau chic modernity of the high street and the spacious and prim concourse, is well represented in the urban imagery. These are also the hubs of experimental and stylistic fusion, and a medley of ideas and lifestyles. The stomping ground and the kaleidoscope of the digitally-savvy glocal Indian. The romance of the bucolic countryside or closely-knit ramschackle hamlet is eternal - and unlikely to fade anytime soon, at least in the imagery it evokes and the gushing portryal of it. What gets under-represented and overlooked, as the article argues, is the humble, dusty, and the often disorganised qasbah or the market town.
Census 2011 says 31% of India is Urban, while World Bank and UN estimate it to be 55% and 63% respectively. So, why does India underestimate its urban population? @SpatialIndia argues that the fault lies with the Census’s two-box urban/rural classification criteria and calls for a third category for areas in transition. jungindien.in/blog/dehat-by-…
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Intelligence and brilliance will carry you for a few days or months, but wisdom and common sense will endure. Keep your emotions under control and trust the universal principles of nature. Whatever goes up must come down. You cannot sow today and expect to reap tomorrow. There are no shortcuts in life. ~ Parag Parikh
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The opening paragraph to AJP Taylor's "The Course of German History" remains my absolute favourite start to a history book. Nobody's ever hit this hard right off the bat before
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Serbia's must be the most well-read parliament ever, by the way: 160 PhDs in 250 candidates
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In Serbia’s elections, the victorious “Student List,” born out of the 2024–25 student protest movement, does not fit neatly into a traditional left-right spectrum. On key strategic and security issues — including relations with Russia and the EU, and the status of breakaway Kosovo — there is little to distinguish the coalition’s positions from those of longtime strongman Aleksandar Vucic, who resigned the presidency before the vote. The Student List is essentially a big-tent, anti-corruption, pro-democracy coalition that does not define itself through a conventional ideological lens. It combines a pragmatic, patriotic stance on national defense and statehood with a progressive socio-economic program.
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Tocqueville’s paradox: it is in the most equal societies that people find inequalities most intolerable.
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Both offered the most potent anti-dote to nihilism in two different forms: active and passive, self-seeking and self-denying. Vita activa and vita contemplativa. Nietzsche: Creativity, pursuit of meaning, individuality, self-surpassing, stoicism, rebellion, and attempts to overcome limits & barriers. Rising above one's stations, defying the mobs, as well cultivating aristos. Dostoevsky: Belief in a higher cosmic order, grand design, the nadir of human madness and hubris, and hope against hope in an indifferent providence. Self-effacement. Humility. Empathy. Complexity of motives. Nietzsche called Dostoevsky 'the only psychologist from whom I had anything to learn'.
It's crazy that the two great thinkers most frequently associated with nihilism—Nietzsche and Dostoyevsky—were actually two of the most optimistic philosophers to have ever walked this earth.
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