Alistair Auffret (@AGAuffret) header
Alistair Auffret (@AGAuffret) profile picture

An ecologist looking at the effects of land-use and climate change on biodiversity. Senoir Lecturer @_SLU. Taking an enjoyable break from Twitter.

Uppsala, Sverige
Joined September 2011
Photo by Alistair Auffret (@AGAuffret)Photo by Alistair Auffret (@AGAuffret)Photo by Alistair Auffret (@AGAuffret)Photo by Alistair Auffret (@AGAuffret)Photo by Alistair Auffret (@AGAuffret)Photo by Alistair Auffret (@AGAuffret)Photo by Alistair Auffret (@AGAuffret)Photo by Alistair Auffret (@AGAuffret)Photo by Alistair Auffret (@AGAuffret)Photo by Alistair Auffret (@AGAuffret)
New paper in @consbiog where we found that species distribution models appeared to be quite conservative compared to observed changes in species occurrences. 🔗 doi.org/10.1111/ddi.13834
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We saw the same thing at the species level, and that habitat specialists and narrow-ranged species (i.e. species that you might expect to disappear) were worse predicted. That is, most observed local extinctions of specialists were predicted as persistences.
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The idea was not to criticise SDMs or SDMers, but to see if we could find any general patterns or biases. Most worrying is that many high profile studies show catastrophic biodiversity change in future climates. Could these be underestimates?
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One week left until the deadline!
🚨PhD Position: Evaluation of protected areas and other conservation measures in an era of land use and climate change 🌱Join a lovely team looking back in time to study biodiversity change and its drivers 🇸🇪Based in Uppsala, Sweden. Deadline 25/2 🔗slu.se/en/about-slu/work-at-…
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Our new study in @NatureEcoEvo looks at how assemblages of birds, butterflies and plants have changed across Great Britain in the last 50 or so years. 🔗nature.com/articles/s41559-0… 🧵Some key results
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This study builds on our previous work where we presented the historical land use data set and related it to species' local extinction risk and range changes. 🔗Paper: nature.com/articles/s41467-0… 🔗Data: snd.gu.se/en/catalogue/datas…
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The new paper was led brilliantly by Teresa Montràs Janer (now at @GreenswayEco), with help from fabulous collaborators and of course many many many species recorders. Apologies in advance for probable lack of engagement with any questions on here, but I know what I'm like 🥲
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🚨PhD Position: Evaluation of protected areas and other conservation measures in an era of land use and climate change 🌱Join a lovely team looking back in time to study biodiversity change and its drivers 🇸🇪Based in Uppsala, Sweden. Deadline 25/2 🔗slu.se/en/about-slu/work-at-…
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New paper! We studied land-use change in Britain since 1930s. Land use & climate change had positive effects on many species, while specialists benefitted from habitat retention, and local negative responses broadly translated into national-level declines. nature.com/articles/s41467-0…
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I also wrote a shortish blog summary, which you can read here go.nature.com/3hkchRA
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Apologies for shamefully/shamelessly coming out of twitter hibernation just to plug my paper. Merry Christmas!
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