Elevating Ethiopian Strategic Thinking and Culture. Analysis and Policy Recommendations.
Addis Ababa | Washington, D.C.
Joined April 2026
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China launches a diplomatic push to ease regional tensions, sending Special Representative on African Affairs Liu Xianfa to Ethiopia, Djibouti and Egypt; Horn of Africa Envoy Hu Changchun to Eritrea; and Middle East Envoy Zhai Jun to Iran, Oman and Saudi Arabia.
On November 4, Ethiopian Foreign Minister Gedion Timothewos met Liu Xianfa to discuss regional peace and security. A day earlier, Chinese Ambassador Chen Hai met Defense Minister Mohamed Idris at ENDF headquarters to strengthen military cooperation.
Ethiopian Defense Minister Mohammed Idris and French Ambassador Alexis Lamek met in Addis Ababa, reaffirming their countries’ historic ties and commitment to stronger military and strategic cooperation. The partnership also builds on longstanding naval cooperation.
“When we possessed the capacity, we determined our own destiny. Yet, when we were weak, others made decisions for us.” Ethiopia’s historical endurance underscores the Prime Minister’s warning: national preparedness must keep pace with advances in warfare and shifts in the balance of power.
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The midterm elections dealt Trump a major political setback, with Democrats winning both chambers of Congress and breaking decades of Republican dominance in states such as Texas. The next sixty days could have far-reaching consequences, from the Middle East and the Russia–Ukraine war to China and the Horn of Africa.
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Ethiopia and China pledged to deepen their longstanding military and strategic cooperation following talks between Defense Minister Mohammed Idris and Chinese Ambassador Chen Hai. Discussions focused on expanding defense industry partnerships, technology transfer, and military training.
“Ethiopia’s civilization will not be complete without access to the sea.” Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s remarks before Parliament during the Medemer government formation session on October 5, 2026, articulated a broader vision of national preparedness and renewal worthy of a civilizational state, grounded in Ethiopia’s determination to pursue its national interests on its own terms.
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Egypt announced further government spending cuts and fuel restrictions as regional conflict deepened its economic crisis, exposing the growing tension between Cairo’s strained finances and its overstretched strategic ambitions across Libya, Gaza, Sudan, Yemen and Horn of Africa.
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Uganda’s decision to withdraw all its forces from Somalia by the end of 2027 comes at a critical juncture. Ethiopia is considering a substantial troop reduction, Washington has initiated the process of ending UN logistical support for AU operations, and Somalia faces a constitutional crisis that has deepened divisions between Mogadishu and its federal member states. Al-Shabaab remains active across southern and central Somalia.
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Ugandan troops to pull out of Somalia despite an appeal by Somalia’s Hassan Sheikh Mohamud to President Yoweri Museveni in October. Somalia is not ready.
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Eritrea’s proxy gambit backfired as ENDF and allied TPF reversed offensive by an Eritrea-backed, TPLF-led seven-group coalition within two weeks. National Defense Force dismantled Asmara’s buffer, and strengthened Ethiopia’s military position and its legal and diplomatic case for self-defense.
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A milestone in Israel–Somaliland relations: Ambassador Michael Lotem’s accreditation and the laying of the cornerstone for Israel’s embassy in Hargeisa mark the rapid institutionalization of diplomatic ties following mutual recognition on 26 December 2025.
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An EU-supported regional maritime security forum hosted by the Ethiopian Navy concluded in Addis Ababa on October 29, 2026. Naval commanders from Yemen, Oman, Djibouti, Somaliland, and Puntland discussed joint search-and-rescue operations, intelligence sharing, and maritime security cooperation. Ethiopian Navy Commander Vice Admiral Kindu Gezu attended the closing ceremony.
Ethiopia’s acquisition of Su-35 4++ generation multirole fighter jets and S-400 air defense systems marks a major advancement in its military modernization, strengthening air superiority and deterrence. Alongside expanding nuclear energy cooperation, the acquisition adds new strategic depth to a 128-year diplomatic relationship with Russia.
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UN ends Transitional Assistance Mission in Somalia (UNTMIS) amid deepening crisis. Three decades of political engagement have failed to secure a durable political settlement or self-sustaining security order, while ending the mission without a more effective arrangement risks worsening the crisis.
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On October 26, 2026, the Ethiopian Navy opened a four-day regional maritime forum in Addis Ababa, supported by the European Union and attended by naval commanders from Yemen, Oman, Djibouti, Somaliland and Puntland.
Vice Admiral Kindu Gezu, Commander of the Ethiopian Navy, officially inaugurated the forum, emphasizing regional maritime security cooperation.
“Africa must help itself”
President John Dramani Mahama
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“The security of the Red Sea could not be left solely to the stewardship and guardianship of a few littoral states.” Ethiopia’s National Intelligence and Security Service Director General, Redwan Hussien
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