Aldrin Research retweeted
ROLR™ is officially live.
Our real-money prediction markets platform is now available to eligible U.S. customers. Discover markets, trade contracts reflecting your views on real-world outcomes and manage your positions, all in one place.
$ROLR
Aldrin Research retweeted
moderating a panel next week at @nextpredictio on prediction market data, volume metrics, who’s winning, and who to keep an eye out for
what questions do you want us to tackle?
@samschwartz71 @BigBuckHunterrr
Today we launched the first stock index perpetual future in America.
You can now trade a perp on the US 500, an index of America’s largest companies weighted by market cap.
Stock index perps let you trade the broader market with greater capital efficiency and make it easier to do things like take a short position. Unlike traditional options and futures, they don’t expire, so there’s no need to roll over contracts or decide when to exercise an option. Gains and losses are tied directly to how much the market moves, giving you an efficient and straightforward way to ask the question: is the market going up or down?
One perpetual contract concentrates liquidity instead of spreading it across expiration dates. Bringing more traders and competing views into a single liquidity pool on a national exchange can strengthen competition, improve pricing, and make markets more efficient over time.
This launch brings us closer to building a financial exchange for anyone and everyone. Prediction markets gave traders exposure to the events that move the stock market. The US 500 is the natural next step: a way to trade on the market itself.
Aldrin Research retweeted
I’m at @DealFlowPREDICT today and tomorrow - reach out if you’re here and want to learn more about the work we’re doing in the prediction market space @AldrinResearch!
Aldrin Research retweeted
Rothera surpassed 5B contracts traded on our exchange this September, a significant milestone in under four months after launch.
In Q4, we'll continue to add contracts in sports, elections, finance and economics, and crypto. We’re just getting started, but we look forward to continuing this momentum to support liquid, high integrity event contract markets wrapped in world-class service.
Aldrin Research retweeted
Earnings season is about to hit different 💪
You can soon trade predictions directly on company earnings metrics, including EPS and revenue, for 20+ of our most popular symbols.
Next step unlocked: We’ve officially filed with the CFTC for equity perps in the US, following our Form 1-N acknowledgement by the SEC last week. Bridging digital asset innovation with US capital markets is happening in real time. Brick by brick 📈
Aldrin Research retweeted
Press release: PrizePicks now says you can combine (or "parlay") game outcomes with their traditional "more" or "less" player picks.
Aldrin Research retweeted
The PM Scoreboard 006.
PMs keep accelerating.
The top 10 CFTC-regulated exchanges generated an additional $7.3B in trading volume in Sep 15–21 compared to 3 weeks ago, or a +59.5% increase.
@Kalshi’s market share was 86.4% in Scoreboard 003 (CFTC-regulated exchanges only).
Now, it’s 73.5% – inclusive of all 10 leading CFTC-regulated exchanges + @Polymarket DeFi.
@Kalshi’s market share drops to 54.5% when you look at sports event contracts only, excluding Combos.
The PM Scoreboard, powered by @AldrinResearch data, is committed to delivering the most comprehensive and accurate weekly trading volume analysis in the industry.
Stay tuned as we dig further into taker volume and volume that some PMs route to other DCMs.
Aldrin Research retweeted
We just submitted a regulatory filing to introduce margin on a subset of long-dated prediction markets. This will not apply to sports, culture, and a few other categories.
We are very excited to be taking what we believe is our most important step toward institutional adoption so far.
Capital efficiency has been the biggest bottleneck for institutions, and margin is the single most requested feature. Fully collateralizing long-dated contracts ties up substantial capital for months or years, making participation impractical for many institutions. It is very difficult for a large institutional market to develop without margin.
Margin addresses that problem by reducing capital requirements, subject to strict risk standards.
Some important characteristics of our proposal:
• Margin applies only to a narrow set of categories, excluding sports and culture.
• It is geared toward institutions and subject to strict eligibility requirements.
• The risk methodology is modeled on approaches used by established clearinghouses and tested over decades. It incorporates conservative safeguards around volatility, liquidity, concentration, and event risks, as well as measures to limit sharp increases in margin requirements during market stress.
The goal is a better trading experience for users. Greater capital efficiency enables more institutional participation, bringing deeper liquidity and better pricing. That makes our markets more attractive to more traders, whose participation further strengthens liquidity and improves the experience for everyone.
Aldrin Research retweeted
Update on the @betr business
earningsandmore.substack.com…
Kalshi asks CFTC to allow margin trading on its platform, letting users buy with borrowed funds cnbc.com/2026/09/22/kalshi-a…
Aldrin Research retweeted
Single stock perps are coming to America.
Coinbase has filed to list the first set of single stock perpetual futures in the US.
Building on the progress of our live US perps market, we’re working to bring liquid, 24/5 exposure to individual stocks in the US for the first time.
Aldrin Research retweeted
🗣️ "Prediction markets did not invent the desire to wager on a sporting outcome. They offer another way to express it, and what is durable is the demand underneath."
Following our prediction market analysis earlier this week, we have today announced the launch of 𝐏𝐫𝐞𝐝𝐢𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧.𝐜𝐨𝐦, a new consumer platform to compare probabilities, event contracts and insights.🚀
Launched through Legend, this platform creates a flagship new brand for a rapidly expanding sector, combining live sports data feed with prediction market probabilities and prices.
Press release: geniussports.com/newsroom/ge…
Today, the SEC acknowledged the Form 1-N of our futures exchange through OG.com and we are now authorized to bring single-stock futures to the market. We are working with the SEC and the CFTC to offer single-stock perps in the US, which will combine the innovations of the digital asset markets with the US capital markets. This is a huge moment for our team and platform - more updates soon.
Aldrin Research retweeted
The PM Scoreboard 005 is live 🔥.
The top 10 CFTC-regulated exchanges generated an additional $4.7B in trading volume in Sep 8–14 compared to two weeks ago (Aug 25–31), or +38.3% growth.
The top 10 combined for $16.8B in trading volume – more than half of this volume comes from combos, now sitting at a 53.2% share.
@Kalshi’s market share fell to 79.5% from 84.9% the week before (and 86.4% two weeks before), as growth from #2 through #7 outpaced the leader.
@DKSports keeps charging. DKeX, DK’s DCM, has climbed the rankings from #8 in Scoreboard 003 to #5 in Scoreboard 004 to #3 this week, with $464M in trading volume – $114M above @cryptocom in fourth.
On @Kalshi, the first four primetime NFL games saw total volume of roughly $95–$115M each. The most popular World Cup matches saw about 3 to 4× as much trading volume as these NFL games.
Aldrin Research retweeted
Jacob reaffirms Novig exceeding $1B in trading volume
JB says we are about to enter a prediction markets super cycle
Ric calls prediction markets the most flexible asset class he's ever seen
Replying to @sahildotcom
prediction market panel with Ric Best from SIG, Jacob Fortinsky from Novig, and JB Mackenzie from Robinhood


































