NBA POTD #1🏀 (Oct. 24th) Collab w/@PropKitchen, @SC_FFB 🔥 1. Jalen Green U8.5 RA (-139) Green’s role in Phoenix is still built much more around scoring than creating for others or crashing the glass. He averaged just 3.6 rebounds and 2.8 assists last season and has stayed under this line in 8 of his last 12 games while averaging only 7.0 R+A. In the season opener, Green finished with just 2 rebounds and 3 assists despite remaining involved offensively and attempting 12 shots. Since joining Phoenix, Green is averaging only 5.5 potential assists and 6.2 rebound chances per game when sharing the floor with Devin Booker and Dillon Brooks. Those opportunity numbers already make it difficult for a score first guard to consistently reach 9 combined rebounds and assists, and Phoenix has added even more competition for those stats. Miles Bridges gives them another versatile wing who can handle, rebound and create, while their active 7’2 rookie center adds another strong presence on the glass. Green’s play style fits the under as well. He is naturally a score first guard who tends to finish possessions rather than consistently create them for teammates. Booker remains the primary offensive initiator, while Green is often attacking closeouts, getting downhill or looking for his own shot. He can have a productive scoring game without coming close to this number in the peripheral categories. Golden State has played at a bottom 10 pace through its first two games after finishing 11th slowest in pace last season. Green has stayed under this line in 10 of 15 games against teams in the bottom half of the league in pace, and a slower game naturally reduces the total number of possessions available for rebounds and assists. Golden State’s smaller lineups create some risk for extra guard rebounds, but Green still needs 9 combined rebounds and assists to beat us. He only had 5 RA in the season opener against Portland & With Booker controlling most of the creation, Bridges and Brooks competing for secondary opportunities and Phoenix adding more size around him, we don’t see enough rebound or assist volume for a score first player like Green to consistently get there. We like him to stay under this line against Golden State.

NBA POTD #1🏀 (Oct. 23rd) Collab w/@SC_FFB 🐐 1. Dejounte Murray O5.5 Assists (-135) #Pelicans He opened the season with 7 assists, and now gets a matchup against one of the more favorable defenses for opposing playmakers. Utah allowed a league-high 30.7 assists per game last season and their defensive struggles have consistently created opportunities for opposing guards. Murray has taken full advantage of this matchup, clearing 5.5 assists in all 5 of his last 5 meetings against the Jazz, averaging 9.2 assists per game. His results in those matchups were 11, 9, 6, 11, and 9 assists. The minutes trend makes this play even stronger. When Murray plays at least 25 minutes against teams ranked 20th–30th defensively, he’s cleared this line in 10 of his last 10 games, averaging 8.4 assists. He’s also gone over in 19 of his last 20 games (95%) under those same conditions. His role as a primary ball handler gives him plenty of opportunities to create shots for his teammates. Against an Utah defense that has consistently struggled to limit ball movement and assists, we expect him to have another productive night distributing the basketball.

Chalkboard 50% Boost🚀 7x💰 1. Jaylen Brown O19.5 Points💎 2. Josh Hart O11.5 RA💎 3. Dylan Harper O21.5 PRA💎 4. Jalen Williams O7.5 RA💎 5. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander O5.5 Assists💎

NBA POTD #1🏀 (Oct. 20th) Collab w/@SC_FFB 🐐 1. Jalen Williams O8.5 RA (-135) We really like this spot for Jalen Williams against San Antonio, especially when looking at his production in games where he gets his normal minutes. Last season, Williams cleared 8.5 RA in 15/22 games (68.2%) when playing 25+ minutes, averaging 10.3 rebounds + assists. The road split is even better, clearing this line in all 9 qualifying road games (100%). That consistency is encouraging considering OKC travels to San Antonio for this matchup. The head-to-head numbers also support this play. Williams has cleared this line in 80% of his matchups against the Spurs when playing at least 25 minutes. Looking at his last 10 meetings with San Antonio, he’s averaging 10.9 RA, with several games finishing comfortably above this number. The biggest factor here is playing time. When Williams gets 25+ minutes, his combination of rebounding opportunities and playmaking gives him multiple ways to clear this line. He doesn’t need an exceptional game in either category, just his usual involvement on both ends. With strong road splits, consistent production against San Antonio, and a line sitting below his qualifying averages, we like Williams to get to 9+ RA again.

MNF POTD🏈 (Oct. 19th) Collab w/@SC_FFB 🐐 1. George Kittle 15+ Rec Yards each half (-130) • 53.5 receiving yards per game, averaging 4.2 receptions on 5.6 targets, trailing only Mike Evans (23.9% target share, 31.5% first read target share) for 2nd on the 49ers in both target share (19.7%) and first read target share (24.7%) • 58.7 receiving yards per game playing at least 50% of the team’s offensive snaps, and/or running more than 15 routes, averaging 5.0 receptions on 6.3 targets, still trailing only Evans (27.9% target share, 36.2% first read target share) for 2nd on the 49ers in both target share (22.1%) and first read target share (25.9%) • Evans is questionable, currently leading the 49ers with a 23.9% target share and 31.5% first read target share • Deebo Samuel is out, vacating a 14.1% target share and 13.5% first read target share • 74.5 receiving yards per game in 2 career meetings against the Commanders with Brock Purdy under center, averaging 4.5 receptions on 6.0 targets, trailing only Brandon Aiyuk (31.3% target share, 33.3% first read target share), who is out, for 2nd on the 49ers in both target share (25.0%) and first read target share (28.2%) • The Commanders are 23rd in EPA per pass (0.05), 26th in DVOA against the pass (20.0%), and 31st in DVOA against tight ends (40.9%), allowing the 11th-most targets (8.2), the 7th-most receptions (6.4), and the 5th-most receiving yards (74.4) per game to the position

NFL POTD #1🏈 (Oct. 18th) Collab w/@PropKitchen 👨‍🍳 1. Kenneth Walker O19.5 Rush Atts(-104) Walker has been everything Andy Reid & Patrick Mahomes were looking for out of a running back and with two starting WRs out, we expect another high volume game for him against the Chargers. Walker has went over this line in 3/4 games, with an average of 21.8 rushing attempts per game. He has received 87 carries compared to only 16 for Emmett Johnson, giving Walker roughly 85% of the rushing attempts between Kansas City’s two primary backs. In the Chiefs’ last game, Walker handled all 22 RB carries and accounted for 23 of 24 total RB opportunities. Kansas City has been one of the more committed rushing offenses in football, ranking 11th in team rush rate while producing one of the league’s most efficient designed rushing attacks. Walker's 134.3 rushing yards per game leads the NFL & with Rashee Rice out and Kansas City coming off the bye, there’s little reason to expect them to move away from a rushing attack that has been working. The Chargers have consistently allowed opponents to build volume on the ground, ranking 30th in opponent rushing attempts, 31st in early down rush rate allowed and 28th against RB rushing attempts. Several primary backs have already cleared their individual rushing attempt lines against Los Angeles: ✅ James Cook: 24 RA (Line: 17.5) ✅ Ashton Jeanty: 21 RA (Line: 15.5) ✅ Emanuel Wilson: 21 RA (Line: 13.5) ✅ J.K. Dobbins: 18 RA (Line: 13.5) Kansas City enters as roughly a 7.5 point home favorite, giving Walker a strong path to another full workload if the Chiefs control the game. Opponents are averaging more than 31 team rushing attempts per game against the Chargers, and Walker has been taking such a large percentage of Kansas City’s backfield work that the Chiefs don’t need an extreme run heavy game for him to reach 20 carries. Walker has established himself as the clear engine of Kansas City’s rushing attack, and the matchup gives the Chiefs every reason to keep feeding him. With his backfield control and a favorable game script at home, we like KW9 to go over this line again for us!

@PropKitchen @PKChefs @propsmadness

TNF POTD🏈 (Oct. 15th) Collab w/@SC_FFB 🐐 1. Jason Myers O1.5 PATs (-154) Keeping this one pretty simple. Myers has made at least 2 extra points in 4 out of 5 (80%), converting a season-high 4 PATs in the lone road outing (Week 2), averaging 2.8 entering Week 6, and ranked top-6 among all kickers With Sam Darnold starting and/or playing more than 5 snaps, Myers has made multiple PATs in 3/3 (100%), averaging 3.9 from Weeks 3-5 Entering TNF, Seattle is currently a slight -2.5-point favorite on the road with a 21.5-point team total, priced at -330 to score 2+ touchdowns Over the last 2 seasons, Myers has been one of the most reliable kickers in the league, converting 73 out of a possible 74 (98.6%) PATs

PrizePicks x Taco Tuesday #1👨‍🍳 4.5x💰 1. Jose Ramirez O1.5 HFS🌮 2. Parker Messick U5.5 HA💎 3. Bobby McMann O1.5 SOG💎 4. Mitch Marner O1.5 SOG💎