Angus Allan retweeted
๐ธ Six of the seven G7 countries now owe more than a year's GDP
Government debt as a share of GDP (2026):
1. ๐ฏ๐ต Japan: 222%
2. ๐ฎ๐น Italy: 139%
3. ๐บ๐ธ United States: 127%
4. ๐ซ๐ท France: 119%
5. ๐จ๐ฆ Canada: 117%
6. ๐ฌ๐ง United Kingdom: 104%
7. ๐ฉ๐ช Germany: 67%
Gross government debt. 2026 figures are IMF estimates.
Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook (October 2026); IMF Public Finances in Modern History
Angus Allan retweeted
During the Brexit referendum in 2016, ยฃ350 million extra per week for the NHS was dismissed as absurd.
Since then, weekly health spending in England has actually increased by ยฃ1.75 billion (about ยฃ858 million in real terms).
Angus Allan retweeted
The truth is Andy Burnham doesnโt have a 10 year plan. Heโs barely got a 10 week plan > Daily Mail > dailymail.com/debate/articleโฆ
Angus Allan retweeted
๐๐จ๐ฎ'๐ฏ๐ ๐ก๐๐๐ซ๐ ๐๐๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐๐-๐๐ ๐๐๐ฌ๐๐ญ, ๐๐ฎ๐ญ ๐๐จ ๐ฒ๐จ๐ฎ ๐ค๐ง๐จ๐ฐ ๐ฐ๐ก๐๐ญ'๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ข๐ญ?
Here are 8 things you should know:
๐ญ. ๐๐ ๐ถ๐ ๐ป๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ฒ๐๐๐ฎ๐ฟ๐?
The UK already has zero-tariff trade with the EU under the Trade and Cooperation Agreement, which both the EU and UK said is working effectively. This undermines the claims that Brexit has hurt UK trade with the EU, and the subsequent need for a Reset.
๐ฎ. ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฆ๐ฃ๐ฆ ๐๐ด๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฒ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐
The SPS agreement says it will remove the need for border checks and health certificates on agrifood products, but this will only invite EU plant and animal diseases into the UK. Food and live animals are also just 1.3% of UK exports, so why are we so eager to join the EU's SPS Area?
๐ฏ. ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ป๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ป๐ฎ๐น ๐๐น๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฐ๐ถ๐๐ ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ฒ๐
The Government wants to join the EUโs Internal Electricity Market to save a bit of money on electricity imports. But the UK only imports 10% of its electricity from the EU, so weโll be saving a sliver on just 10% of our electricity costs, yet having to pay a fee each year for joining the market.
๐ฐ. ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐จ ๐๐ผ๐ต๐ฒ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐๐๐ป๐ฑ
For whatever reason, the EU has said that if we want to join its IEM, then we must pay into its Cohesion Fund to support its poorer member states. First of all, that money should probably go to poorer areas of the UK, and second, the amount of money we will be paying into this fund is expected to dwarf the amount we save on electricity costs, so why should we join the IEM at all?
๐ฑ. ๐๐ง๐ฆ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐๐๐๐
Joining the EUโs Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) and Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) is going to raise the cost of UK manufacturing and force what remains of British industry into closure. Either that or British companies will send their production to other countries with lower costs of manufacturing. In both cases, British jobs will be lost.
๐ฒ. ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ผ๐๐๐ต ๐ ๐ผ๐ฏ๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐ ๐ฆ๐ฐ๐ต๐ฒ๐บ๐ฒ
The Youth Mobility Scheme (YMS) will apparently allow "unlimited" EU students to attend British universities at the same fee paid by UK students (where they previously paid higher international tuition fees). The EU has also demanded that anyone living here under the YMS will get free access to the NHS and will also get to bring their families with them.
๐ณ. ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฆ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ฟ๐ถ๐๐ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐๐ฒ๐ณ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐๐ป๐ฒ๐ฟ๐๐ต๐ถ๐ฝ
The Security and Defence Partnership essentially says the UK and EU will coordinate on everything up to and including "space security". Thereโs also no plan to tackle illegal immigration, just a promise to work together.
๐ด. ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐๐ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฅ๐ฒ๐๐ฒ๐
Thereโs been no official cost attached to this Reset, possibly because the Government knows this will affect peopleโs opinions. And it wasnโt mentioned in the Budget either, which begs the questions, where are they going to get the money to pay for it all?
Knowing this, do you support the Reset?
Angus Allan retweeted
Forget Rejoining, the EU would gain nothing from that. Burnham is about to give them everything they want on a plate.
Under the Reset the EU can:
1. force all UK food and agriculture companies to obey EU rules, with no vote and no say;
2. prevent the UK from importing food from non EU countries;
3. force the UK to pay the EU for their 'policy works' and pay for the development of poorer EU countries;
4. force UK manufacturers to pay the same ETS costs as EU companies;
5. force the UK to add carbon taxes to important input materials that the UK no longer makes.
The EU will control UK money, UK laws, and even UK borders again, without giving the UK a vote.
This isn't surprising. None of the intermediate docking stations - customs union or single market - is politically viable given the trade-offs involved. Now @andyburnham has reopened the Brexit debate, the political logic was always going to point towards a recommendation for full-fat EU membership
For context: The French are currently opposing any form of decision-shaping - forget decision-making - role regarding the agri-food sector
The Norway option for the whole UK economy was never going to be politically saleable
All roads lead to rejoin
Angus Allan retweeted
9 Nov is called Germany's Schicksalstag, Day of Fate. It's the day of the Kaiser's abdication (1918), Hitler's Munich Putsch (1923), the Nazis' "Kristallnacht" pogrom (1938), the fall of the Berlin Wall (1989). A good day to remember that democracy should'nt be taken for granted.
Ashcroft house effect seems currently to be lower Reform/higher Tory (maybe right or wrong). So helpful, to look at trend in same poll with same wording/methodology
October last year Ashcroft: Ref 28, Lab 19, Con 19,
Today Ashcroft: Lab 31 (+12), Con 26 (+7) Ref 18 (-10)
Angus Allan retweeted
For the many UK politicians @UKLabour and journalists @BBC who don't know anything about UK trade, here are the highlights:
1. The UK is now predominantly a service exporter. 57% of UK exports are services, which are not affected by EU 'red tape'.
2. UK goods exports have dropped from almost 70% of our total exports in 1997 to just 43% in 2025. This trend began long before Brexit and is tied to Net Zero mandates, high UK energy prices, and EV mandates.
3. Machinery and transport goods, such as cars and aircraft parts, are 42% of all UK goods exports. This is by far the UK's largest export sector, although it is also falling. It was 50% of UK exports in 2000. But if the UK joins the EU's CBAM, companies in this sector will see their imported material costs rise, making their exports even less competitive.
4. Chemicals are the UK's second-largest export sector. They account for 19% of UK goods exports, but this share is shrinking due to UK and EU energy costs and Net Zero regulations. These will increase if the UK joins the EU ETS.
5. Miscellaneous Manufactures account for 11% of UK goods exports. This is still the UK's third-largest export sector, even though it includes many goods the UK no longer makes because of our high Carbon taxes, which will increase if the UK signs up to the EU's even higher ETS on November 20th.
6. Fuels account for 9% of UK exports. This is still the UK's 4th largest goods export sector, even though the current and previous governments are/were trying to destroy it with bans on new exploration and ultra-high taxes.
7. Material Manufactures account for 8% of UK goods exports. This sector includes iron, steel, aluminium, ceramics, and glass manufacturing - industries that have gone, or are going, out of business in the UK because of high UK energy costs, which will rise if the UK joins the EU ETS.
8. These five sectors make up almost 90% of UK exports. The other 5 industry sectors are insignificant. But the government and our journalists think the UK is New Zealand and that the only goods we export are food and live animals to the EU. We don't! UK food and live animal exports to the EU were just 1.3% of the UK's total exports.
9. The government is about to sacrifice all of the export industries listed above to slightly reduce the IMPORT costs of a handful of Supermarkets, at least two of which are privately owned German companies.
These savings will not be passed on to UK shoppers because the government has also increased wages again, and supermarket energy costs will increase if we join the EU's ETS.
10. UK exports of food and live animals will not increase because we are paying farmers to not produce them, this has nothing to do with EU red tape. Instead we are paying farmers to plant trees and wildflowers or plaster their farmland with solar panels. (54% of UK electricity is coming from gas today, 12% from solar and 3% from wind.)
11. Write to your MP and tell him to #StoptheReset.
If you don't stop this, don't complain when all of our goods export industries have closed because of EU higher carbon taxes, EU higher carbon import tariffs, and the cost of complying with the EU's new packaging and process regulations.
Angus Allan retweeted
Ammonia in England's rivers is down 85% since 1990, phosphate is down 83% and BOD is down 46%. That's EA data for 135 principal river sites, to 2023.
England's rivers are much improved since 1990. The cleanest they have ever been in the lifetime of most people alive today.
Angus Allan retweeted
We don't have to join the EU's Internal Electricity Market (IEM) to trade electricity with the EU; we already do.
Last year, 10% of UK electricity came from the EU. But interconnector capacity and grid constraints prevented us from buying any more.
Joining their IEM is estimated to reduce the wholesale cost of the 10% of electricity that the UK imports from the EU by between 0.25% and 0.7%. This could save private electricity companies between ยฃ120 and ยฃ370 million a year.
But the EU requires the UK to contribute to the cost of running the EU system. Based on the payments of Norway, Switzerland and Northern Ireland, Britain could have to pay between ยฃ40 and ยฃ80 million a year towards the IEM operations.
The UK would also have to align dynamically with the EU's environmental protection, including its RED III target of 42.5% of gross final energy consumption to be from renewable sources by 2030. The UK's current proportion is only 16.8%. Our electricity is 53.5% renewable, but our heating is only 10%, and our transport is only 6%. (DUKES Table 6.5a)
But tied to this is a mandatory commitment to pay into the EU's Cohesion Fund in perpetuity. Unlike the IEM agreement, this one has no get-out clause. Britons should expect to be forced to pay ยฃ3 to ยฃ4 billion.
Angus Allan retweeted
In 2016, fewer than 900 of England's storm overflows sent back spill data. By 2023, every active one had a monitor. Recorded spill hours rose because we now measure far more, so old and new figures aren't like for like.
Angus Allan retweeted
The Conservatives have recorded their highest level of support since the general election to come within two points of Labour, YouGov polling for The Times suggests
Almost one in four voters (24%) now say they would back Kemi Badenochโs party if an election were held tomorrow โ up two points in a week
The figure is broadly similar to the 23.7% of voters that supported the party at the last general election, under Rishi Sunak. However, it is a marked improvement over the averages of between 17% and 19% at which the party has been polling for much of this year
67% of Conservative voters from 2024 would now choose the party again, while 13% of the Toriesโ support comes from voters who backed the Liberal Democrats at the last election
Significantly, the Tories also appear to be attracting younger voters, potentially drawn by the partyโs pledges to cut taxes. Some 17% of voters aged between 18 and 24 now intend to back the party, a higher figure than for the Lib Dems and Reform UK combined
thetimes.com/uk/politics/artโฆ
๐คฆโโ๏ธ Weโre โgovernedโ by incompetents.
'I don't think employers are working people.'
@CamillaTominey grills Chief Secretary to the Treasury, Emma Reynolds MP, over whether Labour has breached its manifesto pledge in the Budget.
๐บ Freeview 236, Sky 512, Virgin 604
4
103
Angus Allan retweeted
Just to put things in perspective. In several European countries, cash benefits, housing support, and related services like healthcare for an unemployed family of four can easily match or exceed the net pay of one average full-time worker.
In Germany, standard rates for a couple with two children plus reasonable housing often total โฌ2,300โ3,000+ monthly, plus free healthcare. Median full-time gross pay is about โฌ4,200, after taxes and contributions, a typical single earner takes home roughly โฌ2,800. The gap widens for lower-wage jobs, which pay less than welfare for doing nothing.
When out-of-work income approaches or exceeds in-work net income for ordinary jobs, the incentive to take or keep low- to medium-skilled work falls sharply. Unconditional welfare and high effective marginal tax rates create well-documented unemployment and inactivity traps. A safety net for true short-term need is legitimate, a system that systematically weakens work incentives for large numbers is unsustainable and unfair to those who work and fund it. Why does the left call this "social justice"?
This design also creates a strong pull factor for immigration. The left denies the reality, but facts and data are clear. Danish reforms for example that roughly halved benefits for non-EU immigrants significantly reduced inflows. Immediate, unconditional access to generous lifelong support strongly incentivizes migration by lower-skilled people.
None of this requires ending support for those who genuinely cannot work. But it does require restoring basic conditionality, time limits where appropriate, stronger work requirements, and contribution-based elements so that working remains clearly better than not working for those able to do so. Without that balance, the system undermines its tax base and becomes a global magnet for unskilled immigration.
Angus Allan retweeted
๐จ NEW ANALYSIS!
Our latest modelling finds that without urgent action on the cost of living, this will still be the worst parliament on record for living standards.
Our analysis shows that households across the income spectrum will suffer the hit ๐
Angus Allan retweeted
Mindblowing chart from OBR. In 2029 real household disposable income per person expected to be just 1% higher than in 2019. What an unbelievably awful decade. It used to grow by 2%+ every year, not 1% in 10 years.
Angus Allan retweeted
Is that it?
John Healey had a big job to do cleaning up Labourโs mess. This Budget fails to do it.
Britain is overspent, overborrowed and overtaxed. This Budget does not come close to meeting the moment.
My full response๐
Angus Allan retweeted
Britain does not need to reopen old wounds โ endlessly relitigating Brexit is a bad idea
โ๏ธ @AdnanHussainMP
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