Renaissance Man
Miami, FL
Joined May 2009
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Anthony Hall retweeted
99% of people really do not understand abundance as Elon describes it.
The fundamental reason is that they don’t understand compound growth.
Same people who would probably pick 1 million dollars today over a penny that doubles in value every day for 30 days.
It’s a bad choice by the way. You lose out on millions.
Imagine if that doubling object was a labor producing robot instead of a penny.
Compounding labor. It’s actually crazy if you try and wrap your mind around it.
So Elon mentions Universl High Income and the midwits flip a lid.
“The elites won’t share”
You don’t get it. They won’t need to share. They will make everything so cheap, it is effectively free.
Charities will have immense resources to distribute.
Unfathomable intelligence will exist to help optimize production and distribution.
An unfathomably large labor pool will exist that operates on solar power exclusively.
The public work projects that are erected will be unseen before levels of breathtaking.
I think we are incredibly blessed to steward this new age of abundance.
Can you see it now?
Can you see the future?
Anthony Hall retweeted
How to be more emotionally intelligent (without trying so hard)
🧵 for @threadapalooza
Anthony Hall retweeted
De-dollarization isn't happening, and it's good that it is.
IN DETAIL
Yes, I'm aware that Bernstein recanted in his public testimony[1], but this was his long-held view[2,3,4] over the course of a decade and actually has some logic to it.
Specifically, Bernstein is (like BBB itself) sort of left-MAGA. Of course neither side wants to admit the similarities, but both Biden and Trump have advocated economic nationalism, trade war, and industrial policy.
And if you're really leaning into that, maybe you also want to depreciate the USD to make American exports more competitive abroad. That's where Bernstein is coming from.[9] And you know what, his case is actually not irrational!
But the trick is in the execution, as it's not easy to manage such a hairpin turn. How do they go from "our reserve currency status is unquestionable" to "our reserve currency status is unquestionably a burden"?
Maybe they just do it like inflation.
First, inflation was a conspiracy theory [4]
Next, it was transitory [5]
Then, who-coulda-knew...but we're hiking now [6]
Finally, it was obvious, inevitable, and even good!
And your fault for not hedging...[7,8]
The equivalent for de-dollarization might be something like this:
First, de-dollarization isn't happening
Then, it's happening, but not fast
Next, it's happening, but not a big deal
Finally, it was obvious, inevitable, and even good!
And your fault for not hedging...
Because "the privilege of having the world’s reserve currency is one America can no longer afford."[3]
[1]: archive.is/MBvmR
[2]: archive.is/1TlDD
[3]: archive.is/2MBKG
[4]: archive.is/0gk16
[5]: archive.is/75utZ
[6]: teapaw.org/balajis/status/1…
[7]: archive.is/wip/bZh6c
[8]: teapaw.org/balajis/status/1…
[9]: archive.is/xijeK
Anthony Hall retweeted
The unintentional dystopian beauty of oil rigs
1. Brage oil field, located in the North Sea 120 km northwest of the city of Bergen
This is wild. They’re already using AI for political warfare.
NEW: @Axios w/ a first look at RNC’s video response to Biden
It is also the committee’s first video that is 100% generated by AI software meant to create images that look and feel real (in this case an imagined dystopia look at the future of Biden wins)
axios.com/2023/04/25/rnc-sla…
Anthony Hall retweeted
~37% of the world population doesn't have access to the internet according to the United Nations. 96% of them are in developing countries.
Starship, a fully and rapidly reusable rocket, will allow SpaceX to launch Starlink satellites more frequently and at a lower cost.
Education, creativity, financial freedom, and connection — SpaceX is ensuing that every human on Earth has access to those opportunities.
Anthony Hall retweeted
This track is bananas. I’ve listened to it 20 times already. I love it
Listen to this AI generated song featuring Drake & The Weeknd.
It goes so damn hard.
It's by "Ghostwriter977" on TikTok and it's blowing up on socials + streaming platforms.
UMG, which controls around 1/3 of the global music market, has already asked streaming platforms to ban AI.
A modern Napster moment.
Will be fascinating to watch this all unfold in real-time.
Anthony Hall retweeted
I'm surprised how many people don't know how to use ChatGPT on their phones properly.
Here are 5 ways to use ChatGPT on your phone to maximize productivity:
Anthony Hall retweeted
By the end of 2025 AI will according to @RichardMCNgo
✦ Have human-level situational awareness (understand that they're NNs, how their actions interface with the world, etc)
✦ Beat any human at writing down effective multi-step real-world plans
✦ Do better than most peer reviewers
✦ Autonomously design, code and distribute whole apps (but not the most complex ones)
✦ Beat any human on any computer task a typical white-collar worker can do in 10 minutes
✦ Write award-winning short stories and publishable 50k-word books
✦ Generate coherent 20-min films
The best humans will still be better (tho much slower) at:
✦ Writing novels
✦ Robustly pursuing a plan over multiple days
✦ Generating scientific breakthroughs, including novel theorems (tho NNs will have proved at least 1)
✦ Typical manual labor tasks (vs NNs controlling robots)
Richard then goes on to say:
"My actual predictions are mostly more like 2 years, but others will apply different evaluation standards, so 2.75 seems more robust"
Also, they're not based on any OpenAI-specific information. For my definition of situational awareness see: arxiv.org/abs/2209.00626
Go on and read Richards thread:
teapaw.org/RichardMCNgo/sta…
And if you are interested in this type of content consider following him at @RichardMCNgo
Anthony Hall retweeted
Here is the petition: futureoflife.org/open-letter…
Twitter is officially more interesting than Instagram, Facebook, and all of MSM - whatever happens from this point is just icing on the cake.
