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The first real fundamental crack in the AI trade just showed up — and it traces back to one OpenAI headline three weeks ago.
$INTC down 27%. Memory names breaking put walls. And the market is treating this like a CPU problem, not an Intel problem. Here’s what’s happening. 🧵👇
New Chasing Alpha Weekly is up 📈
Intel broke, big tech split, and the AI trade just hit its first real stress test. Here’s where we’re leaning with midterms and a pile of earnings ahead.
Everything you need heading into the week 👇
arete753.substack.com/
What I’m watching this week:
📊 $AMD earnings Tuesday — the single most important data point, CPU vs Intel question
⚠️ Hyperscalers ($GOOG, $AMZN) — institutions dumping every capex name on rallies
📉 $VXN / $VIX — need a 3-handle for a real bottom, not there yet
🛢️ $XLE / energy — the only sector with macro, fundamentals, and technicals aligned
The first fundamental crack in the AI trade is here, and it started with one OpenAI headline on October 8th. Negative growth at Intel, decelerating growth in memory, institutions dumping every capex name.
This is a fundamental shift, not a technical dip. Let it bottom before you call it. And watch $AMD Tuesday.
Full breakdown on YouTube — including the OpenAI funding analysis, the measured-move framework on $SNDK, and the value-over-growth rotation.
🎥 Full video: youtu.be/hx9qS1ze1EM
Arete retweeted
Man, do people hate a confident person..
They want to drag that man or woman so much.
Yet, they're also first to stomp the person who is already struggling & full of doubts...
Don't listen to crowds.
Don't wait for support.
Just run at life.
