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ALT Figure 4. Tariff effects on core PCE prices. This stacked bar chart shows the cumulative effect of tariff waves from February 2025 to June 2026 on core PCE prices. The y-axis shows percentage effects from 0 to 0.9%. Different colored segments represent various tariff waves (Feb, Mar, Apr, Aug, Nov 2025). Black dots indicate total effects, which increase from nearly 0% in February 2025 to approximately 0.9% by June 2026. The forecast region (shaded blue) assumes no additional tariff changes beyond those in table 1 and no additional pass-through seven months after implementation. Note: Black dots show total tariff effects, summing across positive and negative tariff wave contributions. The forecast region, shaded in blue, assumes no additional tariff changes beyond those in table 1 and no additional tariff pass-through seven months after a tariff change. Key identifies in order from top to bottom. Source: Authors' calculations using data from the BEA, BLS, Census, the Executive Office, t




























