🏆CDNProjections was Canada's MOST ACCURATE electoral modeller in 2025! -Most Correctly Projected Ridings -Most Ridings Modelled I look forward to continuing to make general, by-election, and non-writ models across the country, from Yukon to Newfoundland and Labrador, in the new year! Accurate modelling, always. #cdnpoli

FINAL Toronto Mayoral Electoral Model Update - October 25, 2026 Ranges of Support cdnprojections.ca/toronto 🟪Chow: 37.8-50.3-65.5 🟩Bradford: 30.1-45.9-59.5 🟦Alexander: 0.2-2.0-4.7 CHOW HOLD (Low End-Current Projection-High End)

FINAL Toronto Mayoral Electoral Model Update - October 25, 2026 Chances of Winning cdnprojections.ca/toronto 🟪Chow: 67.5 (-9.5) 🟩Bradford: 32.5 (+9.5) CHOW HOLD (Change from October 10, 2026)

FINAL Toronto Mayoral Electoral Model Update - October 25, 2026 cdnprojections.ca/toronto 🟪Chow: 50.32 (+0.9) 🟩Bradford: 45.86 (+4.2) 🟦Alexander: 1.97 (-3.9) ⬛Others: 1.85 (-1.2) CHOW HOLD (Change from October 10, 2026)

🚨Toronto Mayoral Polling Average - Eve of Election 🟪Chow: 52.40% (+11.9) 🟩Bradford: 43.63% (+0.8) ⬛Others: 3.86% (+2.0) 🟦Alexander: 0.12% (-14.7) (Estimated Change from the 2023 By-Election by Voting Block) May 11, 2026-October 25 n=27,347 ±3.7%

Liaison releasing a last minute Toronto poll but not a late campaign BC poll for some reason lmao???

If I had a nickel for every medium level Mayoral candidate in a big Ontario city using the colour yellow who is splitting the vote of multiple other larger candidates, I'd have two nickels. Which isn't a lot, but it's weird that it's happened twice.

Top 3 candidates at 29.5, 29.4, and 28.5. Oh the model is so fucking this up...

FINAL Mississauga Mayoral Electoral Model Update - October 25, 2026 Ranges of Support cdnprojections.ca/mississaug… 🟥Parrish: 18.9-29.5-47.9 🟪Crombie: 20.7-29.4-47.6 🟩Tedjo: 16.6-28.5-47.3 🟨Damerla: 3.8-7.3-16.6 TOO CLOSE TO CALL (Low End-Current Projection-High End)

FINAL Mississauga Mayoral Electoral Model Update - October 25, 2026 Chances of Winning cdnprojections.ca/mississaug… 🟥Parrish: 38.0 (-18.5) 🟪Crombie: 37.5 (-0.5) 🟩Tedjo: 24.5 (+19.0) TOO CLOSE TO CALL (Change from October 14, 2026)

FINAL Mississauga Mayoral Electoral Model Update - October 25, 2026 cdnprojections.ca/mississaug… 🟥Parrish: 29.45 (-1.1) 🟪Crombie: 29.42 (+1.2) 🟩Tedjo: 28.48 (+4.4) 🟨Damerla: 7.25 (-4.7) ⬛Others: 5.39 (+0.3) TOO CLOSE TO CALL (Change from October 14, 2026)