Polar Climate Scientist researching Antarctic sea ice @BAS_news; mum of two. All views my own.

St Neots, England
Joined June 2010
For various reasons, September has been hard. Thanks to @XanderArmstrong @ClassicFM this morning for restoring my soul (Widor, Barber AND Tchaikovsky)
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t's hard to wrte up analyss on Antarctc sea ce wthout an '' key...
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Dr Caroline Holmes 🌊❄️ retweeted
Interviewed by @TimesRadio today on ocean warming and Antarctic sea ice. To be welcomed onto live radio as a person who stammers, and for stammering to not be the subject of the interview or indeed a big deal to anybody involved, feels pretty good indeed.
"If the ocean decides to release the heat to the atmosphere like this year, that leads to more rapid atmosphere warming," @kaitlinnaughten tells @alexisconran. She warns record sea ice loss in Antarctica has the potential to further warm our oceans. @TimesRadio | @BAS_News
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Dr Caroline Holmes 🌊❄️ retweeted
Today is #EarthOvershootDay 🌍 Today marks the date when “humanity’s demand for ecological resources and services in a given year exceeds what Earth can regenerate in that year!” Basically we’ve used all of Earth resources for the year and now we depete it!😢
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Dr Caroline Holmes 🌊❄️ retweeted
The current level of Antarctic sea ice is beyond anything in the last 120 years. #Antarctica #ClimateCrisis
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#Antarctic #seaice : GREAT video disentangling the jargon and some of the issues around sigmas etc. (similar vibe to my 🧵 but easier to follow!) - I agree that '1 in ... million' is ✅v. helpful to conceptualize ⁉️ pushing what the data can tell us
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Dr Caroline Holmes 🌊❄️ retweeted
#Antarctica is currently missing an area of ice bigger than Greenland. It's clear that we're seeing an extraordinary event unfolding. So, you've seen the graphs: what do they mean? Find out in our @ConversationUK article with @CHolmesClimate theconversation.com/antarcti…
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#Antarctic #seaice there's widespread discussion about the sea ice anomaly and what it means statistically and physically, and some good discussions, but I think some key graphs need showing *together* so here goes (1/15 🧵)
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Next, to go from '5-sigma' to '1 in 7.5 million years': we have to assume a "normal distribution"; i.e. that the probability of something (sea ice) having a certain value follows a certain set of rules. If sea ice doesn't, then '1 in 7.5 million' could be way off. (14/15)
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But (back to the top) the exact number isn't really important! (15/15)
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