MT+ Wyckoff + Hurst Enjoyooor 馃摎 Connecting Dots via candlesticks 馃憖
Joined June 2023
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Metals Gold & Silver (Update)
I will talk about Gold and Silver here and not all metals (PS: Already did Platinum couple weeks ago).
Gold approaching new yearly lows while Silver already hit yearly lows.
I have hinted many times in the past weeks that legacy assets like Silver and Gold need more time after such a powerful blowoff tops. These assets generally take always more time than assets like BTC.
If you also followed my DXY updates, DXY is inversely correlated to metals so you can understand the bigger picture I am trying to showcase and my views on metals and USD in the coming years.
Metals have such higher targets and there is no surprise that media is trying to spread bearish news on Gold (''Lab grown God'') right when Gold is approaching it's time and price appointments. I don't have targets beyond ATH except using fibs which I am not gonna do in this post. It's too early but I think in terms of probabilities, Gold and Silver are very likely to go back beyond ATHs.
PS: Expect huge variations on these time cycles because they are macro TFs. It shows February but bottom can come months earlier or months late. On lower TF, where one can refine, it shows between feb-May2027.
Time is only 1 confluence. Price should visit these key levels I have marked out and PA should also show accumulative behavior. I am in no hurry in this market, it needs a little bit more patience until price shows where it wants to reverse.
Unpopular opinion: I think metals still outperform BTC. The ratios of BTC/Gold and BTC/Silver still seem in a downtrend or at least in a big range for now. I could be wrong but I think the ratios may find a big range here.
Matrix
Nevertheless, a fan of the Brazilian stock market longer term.
USD debasement IYKYK
JUST IN: 馃嚙馃嚪 Brazil's largest oil company Petrobras $PBR crashes over 10% after Lula da Silva wins Brazil's presidential election, defeating Fl谩vio Bolsonaro.
I don't think we get any cyber attack big incident in the very near future. That hack will eventually come but like a thief in the night. They won't be telling you this is happening just beforehand. It will come when people least expect it.
Doom news are always more attractive than good news and media spread them very well catching everybody's attention.
Pessimism attracts more attention and this is a fact.
They are preparing and conditioning the masses so that when it happens, it won't without ''warning'' and people don't blame the government.
Longed here.
The question is: is it gonna be a relief (lower high) into the better key levels below? or a continuation? Time will tell
You can see a positive energy entered the market in mid October but I said there is more cycles converging in November which is why price is behaving like that.
This is where I am hedging going into midterms
Mid October to early November is the window for a bottom. Some key levels hit, and some didn't. I already scaled in longs the past 2 days when some levels hit keeping more entries if we get the better levels which I am hoping to get if market gives it.
Also bought some crypto related stocks. Mainly SECZ
DXY (Update)
Watching for a bull trap and a lower high around midterms to short it
*With squiggles
DXY (Update)
Extreme right translation of the current cycle meaning remaining bullish on USD until at least the next one is what I am going for here.
We also have acceptance above the previous high.
I think this the big zone where DXY macro distributes (will take time).
A correction is likely here and the next lows I am waiting for are late October and January 2027.
Mid October to early November is the window for a bottom. Some key levels hit, and some didn't. I already scaled in longs the past 2 days when some levels hit keeping more entries if we get the better levels which I am hoping to get if market gives it.
Also bought some crypto related stocks. Mainly SECZ
To be clear, I am still expecting a bullish end of year for crypto but that pump would be a completion of distributive behavior. Tops just like bottoms take time and unlikely to finish on a first touch. So most of my longs are back to the highs with some alts to go higher (those which still have targets untouched above the current high)
DOGE has been the underperformer the entire pump since the bottom. I normally don't go for underperformer (well not always unless I find an exception through charts)
I bought my spot 0.072$ back in July and sold it at 0.091$. I am buying back. I think DOGE will be the outperformer next time around.
The answer is found on DOGEBTC and DOGEETH
Time for elon to make his baby fly just like he made Tesla fly
OIL (Update)
Previously mentioned late September which it did deliver a small pump but looking back, late September was part of a much smaller cycle.
There are millions of cycle on a price chart battling each other all the time and the best way to accurately forecast time is to find multiple dominant ones.
I believe the most dominant ones are pointing to a low in very late Q4. Somewhere between late November and mid December.
So we could get a dump into the 80s or high 70s into that period and if I see accumulative behavior into these key levels, I will be heavy long.
Unpopular opinion: People talk about what big asset is worth holding spot or which one is the most bullish (GOLD/Silver, SPX/NAS, BTC) but they forget OIL.
I think OIL is still by far the most bullish ''asset'' to hold in the coming months. The ratios between OIL and these big assets still suggest much much more upside.
To me, I am an OIL bull and have been since late 2025 when I said OIL is starting a bull market.
I will be an OIL bull until at least mid February. After that I will become bearish on OIL. I am hoping to see 2008 supply by then.
144$馃槒 before March 2027 please.
OIL (Update)
I think OIL is ready for 100$+. Time and price collided on this chart almost perfectly which was what I was hinting at in the previous update.
There is a long here at 86$ as pull back and I will likely take it and target the deeper supply levels near 100$.
Still have lower buys from when OIL bottomed.
I still think commodities are in a raging bull market but after such big moves on Gold, Silver and OIL, these legacy assets need a lot of time to ''refuel''.
I am not expecting a huge pump here but rather a bigger, much bigger range of consolidation before the next leg up. Even Gold and Silver I think will take more time than that.
