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You take climate change seriously, support cutting emissions and publish research consistent with IPCC assessments. Then you find yourself labelled a “climate denier”.
That happened to @RogerPielkeJr. He studied losses from hurricanes and other weather disasters. Those losses are rising—but how much comes from climate change, and how much from having more people and more valuable property in harm’s way?
His findings were not well received. In his lecture at Clintel, he describes the political attacks that followed, including from the Obama White House.
He also walks through what the science says about extreme weather. Heatwaves, floods, hurricanes and droughts each tell a different story. And he explains why he challenges the attribution studies behind so many headlines.
His full first lecture, recorded on 11 October in Driebergen, the Netherlands, is now online. Around 57 minutes, with clear explanations and plenty of personal experience. Worth making time for.
🎥 Watch via the link in the first reply.
Prefer to read first? The article follows Pielke’s account of being labelled a “climate denier”, the White House response to his work, and the congressional investigation that damaged his career.
It also explains his criticism of event attribution. Using the same approach, he says he could “attribute” a flood in Japan to the growing number of patent applications. His point: a method can produce a causal claim if the relationship it is supposed to test is already built into its assumptions.
His advice to the audience: don’t accept the “climate sceptic” label so easily. First, look at what the science actually says.
clintel.org/roger-pielke-cli…
Pielke’s second lecture will be published soon, taking a closer look at climate models and scenarios.
Follow @ClintelOrg and subscribe to the newsletter to hear when it’s available:
clintel.org/newsletter/
Remarkable: an entire month of copied temperature readings, a historical heat record deleted, and comparison measurements largely kept under wraps.
@JennMarohasy examines Australia’s temperature archives:
▪️ All 31 minimum temperatures for August 1907 also appear under August 1867. The original observation books show different readings.
▪️ The 51.7°C recorded at Bourke on 3 January 1909 has been removed from the official dataset.
▪️ Other historical heat extremes were never digitised.
▪️ Parallel measurements from mercury thermometers and electronic sensors remain largely unpublished.
Her blunt conclusion: management at Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology prefer the hottest years to be recent years. In her assessment, that is why the old heat record had to go.
A weather bureau should preserve the measurement history. Not the history it finds most convenient.
What do the original observation books show? Which readings are missing? And why not release the parallel measurements so independent researchers can check them?
Read Jennifer Marohasy’s analysis:
clintel.org/australian-tempe…
For research, news and critical perspectives that receive less attention in the climate debate, subscribe to the Clintel newsletter:
clintel.org/newsletter/
‘Net Zero’ is running into a world that cannot do without fossil fuels.
That is the argument made by Wim Röst, chairman of Clintel, in his opinion article “The Climate Narrative Is Collapsing”.
Countries within the IPCC are clashing over funding and the timetable for its next assessment report. Röst sees a more fundamental conflict behind those disputes: climate ambitions are colliding with the need for affordable energy, industrial production and food security.
Natural gas is also a vital feedstock for nitrogen fertiliser. Disruptions to energy supplies therefore reach far beyond electricity bills—they affect harvests, food prices and livelihoods. The poorest countries have the least capacity to absorb the consequences.
His sharp conclusion: ending all fossil fuel production would lead to a ‘Zero Economy’.
Why does Wim Röst see the divisions within the IPCC as a sign that the climate house of cards is beginning to fall?
Read his opinion article, written in a personal capacity:
clintel.org/climate-narrativ…
For more analysis and opinion on climate, energy and the consequences of policy, subscribe to the Clintel newsletter:
clintel.org/newsletter/
CLINTEL FOUNDATION retweeted
Op deze door Lars Schernikau gedeelde foto wordt de schaal pas echt zichtbaar: een berghelling vol zonnepanelen.
Zijn kritiek gaat verder dan het landschap. In zijn ICSF/Clintel-lezing legt hij uit waarom méér wind en zon nog geen betrouwbare stroomvoorziening opleveren, en waarom opslag, back-up en netuitbreiding moeten worden meegerekend in de kosten.
Lees het artikel en bekijk de lezing:
clintel.nl/wind-zonne-energi…
📷 Via Lars Schernikau
CLINTEL FOUNDATION retweeted
De natuur beschermen door berghellingen vol zonnepanelen te zetten. Energie-econoom Lars Schernikau laat in deze video zien waarom hij daar grote vraagtekens bij zet.
In zijn begeleidende verhaal wijst hij op de gevolgen voor het kwetsbare Alpenlandschap: toegangswegen, funderingen en kabelsleuven grijpen in op bodem en vegetatie. Onder en tussen de panelen veranderen schaduw, sneeuwverdeling en bodemvocht.
Zijn kritiek: de aanleg wordt versneld, terwijl de ecologische gevolgen nog onderzocht moeten worden. Hoeveel bruikbare winterstroom staat daar uiteindelijk tegenover, tegen welke kosten en met welke schade aan de natuur?
Een ‘groen’ etiket is geen bewijs van milieuwinst.
Video en toelichting van @lars_schernikau:
lnkd.in/p/etjqjWhM
One sentence for the good news. Extensive coverage of regional fire disasters and climate threats.
Charles Rotter highlights the striking emphasis in the abstract of the ‘State of Wildfires’ report. Global burned area last fire season was 18% below the 2002–2024 average. Carbon emissions from fires were 20–31% below average.
Nor was this an isolated result: satellite records show that global burned area has been declining for two decades. Yet that global picture gets just one sentence.
Another striking point: the report presents a lower projected fire risk compared with the extreme SSP5-8.5 scenario as a benefit of climate mitigation. Yet it describes that same scenario as no longer credible. In Rotter’s view, an unrealistic worst-case scenario becomes the benchmark for policy success.
Severe regional fires deserve attention. The global decline deserves more than one sentence.
From an average of 450 million hectares burned annually in 2003–2007 to 353 million in 2019–2023.
Charles Rotter examines the satellite data, published research and the emphasis on regional extremes in ‘State of Wildfires’.
Read the article:
clintel.org/global-burned-ar…
Follow the figures behind the headlines. The Clintel newsletter brings you articles and analysis on climate, energy and science.
Subscribe:
clintel.org/newsletter/
CLINTEL FOUNDATION retweeted
European diesel prices are absolutely exploding...
Diesel is trading at almost $193/barrel, while Brent crude sits at just $106.
That's a staggering $87 premium.
You can suppress crude prices with paper oil and manipulate sentiment with an endless flood of fake news...
But you can't print diesel.
And eventually, the disconnect between paper prices and physical reality will have to close.
Brace for inflation.
Building a replacement for fossil fuels still requires fossil fuels. What if that effort consumes the very resources needed to keep civilisation running?
That is the dilemma Richard Lyon explores in The Energy Trap. Wind turbines, solar panels and batteries require mining, refining, manufacturing and transport—all heavily dependent on fossil energy. Lyon argues that wind and solar cannot replace hydrocarbons at industrial scale and that building them accelerates the depletion of the fossil resources on which society still relies.
With cheap conventional oil declining, he sees an “energy trap”: spending a dwindling inheritance on a replacement that cannot sustain modern industrial civilisation. His proposed escape is a major expansion of nuclear power, accompanied by a planned reduction in total energy use.
Energy economist @tilakdoshi shares much of Lyon’s criticism of the renewable energy transition. But he challenges the leap from resource depletion to unavoidable economic contraction.
Oil resources, Doshi argues, are not a fixed economic quantity. Technology, investment and prices change what can be recovered profitably. Horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing opened up resources previously considered uneconomic. Nor does a lower energy return automatically mean that an oil project cannot make money.
Their disagreement matters. Both recognise the essential role of fossil fuels and the limitations of wind and solar. But Lyon sees a future that requires managing scarcity; Doshi argues that this outlook underestimates the capacity of markets, innovation and human ingenuity to overcome constraints.
Does declining cheap oil mean an unavoidable energy squeeze—or does that conclusion underestimate what technology and markets can deliver?
Tilak Doshi examines Richard Lyon’s case, from the fossil inputs needed to build wind and solar to the economics of shale oil and the promise of nuclear power.
Read his review, “Peak Oil By Any Other Name”:
clintel.org/peak-oil-theory-…
Energy policy needs room for competing arguments—and scrutiny of the assumptions behind them.
For more analyses, reviews and debate on energy, climate science and policy, subscribe to the Clintel newsletter:
clintel.org/newsletter/
CLINTEL FOUNDATION retweeted
Een kostbare Belgenmop. Eerst je betrouwbare kernreactoren sluiten, terwijl de beoogde vervanging op zee nog jaren op zich laat wachten. Vervolgens meer stroom importeren, onder meer uit nucleair Frankrijk.
In 2025 liep de Belgische netto-stroomimport op tot circa 14 terawattuur. Eigen productie afbouwen, afhankelijkheid van de buren vergroten. En ook als de windparken er straks staan, blijft hun productie afhankelijk van het weer.
Tekenend voor veel ‘groen’ ideologisch beleid in Europa: eerst afbreken, daarna uitzoeken hoe de energievoorziening overeind blijft.
🎥 Video: @Electroversenet









