☆AbeFroman☆

🚨 Trump's economic revolution is staggering - and I had TDS for 7 years. Biased, corrupt media never covered these wins. ✅ GDP grew 3.4% in Q3, beating forecasts and up from 2.2% in Q2 ✅ The Atlanta Fed expects 3.4% growth again in Q4 ✅ Business investment is up 9.4%, the biggest jump since 2020 ✅ Consumer spending is up 3.8% ✅ Layoffs are near record lows, with weekly jobless claims at just 194,000 ✅ Consumer confidence jumped 7.5 points in October ✅ Poverty has hit a record low ✅ Median income is the highest on record ✅ Citizens rather than non-citizens are getting more of the new jobs ✅ Mass immigration has stopped ✅ Violent crime posted its largest annual drop, and the murder rate is tying a multi-decade low ✅ Tax fraud, waste and abuse are ending ✅ MAHA is delivering real change, lower prices and fixing the system Election integrity, tried hard pass The Save America Act. Only to be thwarted by RINOs. 🪙 Trump's Golden Age: 🏭 For the first time in 26 years, the U.S. outproduces Japan in steel 🏗️ The first new U.S. iron ore mine in 50 years, feeding a planned $15 billion Iowa steel mill 🔩 The first new primary aluminum smelter in 50 years, in Oklahoma, which will double U.S. primary capacity once online 🚜 The first U.S.-assembled Volvo excavators are rolling out of Pennsylvania, and John Deere is moving excavator production home 🌾 Potash was named a critical mineral, with a $1.26 billion DOE loan commitment for a new Michigan mine and a USDA-backed Utah project 🧲 Rare earth magnets at scale for the first time in a generation, with a $1.2 billion South Carolina plant breaking ground 💎 Critical minerals reshored, ending 100% import dependence on 15 strategic minerals 🖥️ The first ever complete AI chip supply chain 📈 Manufacturing construction starts are up 20.2% 🔧 Machine-tool orders are up about 37% year to date, the strongest first half since the series began in 1998 🏭 The manufacturing PMI is the strongest since 2022 💰 $18 trillion pledged to restore America's ability to produce at home 🛢️ U.S. oil output tops Saudi Arabia and Russia ⚡ Power plant builds are up 68.5% 🔼 10 new LNG terminals will double export capacity by 2030 ⚛️ 10 new AP1000 nuclear reactors ☢️ Nuclear goes from 100 to 400 GW, quadrupling nuclear power by 2050, with restarts underway in PA, MI and CA Look at Brent crude & WTI after the midterms. Both are already down nearly 10%. Obvious Trump was being intentionally sabotaged with Brent crude (City of London financial elites) and gas prices. I'll take this trajectory over what we had and will have with Democrats. Every. Single. Day. Pass the SAVE America Act.

WATCH: Rep. Dan Crenshaw DESTROYS Rep. Jamie Raskin for BLOCKING three affordability bipartisan bills ahead of the midterms in a HEATED debate When Democrats run out of answers, they yell Trump corruption! If those same bills pass now that the votes are counted, who's going to ask Democrats why they blocked them before? "You guys cynically blocked legislation, bipartisan legislation that would reduce— that would help the affordability issue and that would tackle the corruption issue, that would help national security, things that you guys agreed on. You passed your own stuff. I don't know what bill you're talking about. Stop Insider Trading Act, Ratepayer Protection Act, FISA. You guys blocked all of that because the midterms were coming. And I bet you're going to be in favor of it after the midterms. Do not lie and say anything different."

Zelenskyy: "If the US wants us to refrain from attacking Russian oil refineries for a month, provide us with ‘Patriots’ for one month."

OHIO ELECTION FINAL MODEL & PREDICTION This is the final forecast. The model is the same one explained last week: SOS files matched to the voter file, county history, canvass data, no polls. This time with a prediction, not four scenarios. The Final Early Vote: The SOS file of Nov 2 runs through Sunday, Nov 1. Ballots returned: 1,728,899, which is 1,103,252 in person and 625,647 by mail. By party label: Democrats 27.3%, Republicans 25.3%, unaffiliated 47.2%. Margin of everything returned: D+2.0. About 104,000 mail ballots are still out and lean R+2 by label, so the early vote will finish at about 1.78 million ballots and D+2. It opened at D+18 after the first day and fell every week: D+14, D+8, D+5, D+4.5 on Oct 26, D+2 now. The final week of in-person voting, the heaviest of the cycle at 466,105 votes, ran R+4.2, and every one of its seven days went Republican by label, ending at R+7.5 on Sunday. The cumulative in-person vote went from D+17.8 on day one to D+1.5. Where the canvass data places the early vote: D+2 is the label margin, not the vote. The canvass data from 50 counties with full splits in both 2022 and 2024 shows how much more Democratic Ohio’s early voters run than their counties as a whole, and applying that history to each county’s 2024 result puts this year’s early vote at D+6.5 in projected votes. The 2022-only reading is D+10.9, the 2024-only reading is R+2.4. The D+6.5 blend is the number the forecast carries forward. Why Election Day is projected at R+8: Election Day cannot be observed, so it has to be projected. The projection is R+8, and it rests on two things: The canvass data: In every county with a canvass on file, in every race, the Election Day vote has been more Republican than the early vote: 363 county-races out of 363. Brown’s 2024 Election Day was R+11, Ryan’s 2022 was R+13, the 2024 presidential was R+20, and the 2018 wave produced an Election Day near R+8. What the final week showed: The early vote closed with seven straight Republican in-person days, and the voters still to come run about R+17 by label against the early vote’s D+2. Nothing in the final week points to Republicans staying home on Nov 3. R+8 is still the generous end of the range. It matches the best Democratic environment in the data, it is 3 points better for Democrats than what Brown faced, and an ordinary Ohio Election Day is closer to R+12.8. R+8 is the most conservative number the data can defend after the final week. The Prediction, Election Day R+8 With the early vote at D+6.5 in projected votes and Election Day at R+8, the model lands at R+2.9. Two-party, that is Republicans 51.5%, Democrats 48.5%, on 5.08 million votes. Democrats carry 11 of 88 counties: the eight large Democratic counties plus Athens, Delaware and Wood, the last two by about a point. My assessment on the data, Republicans win by about 3 points. The spread between Vivek & Husted will be small, maybe a point. Other turnout options, for reference: At R+6, the floor, the model gives R+1.6. At R+10, R+4.2 and 9 counties for Democrats. At R+12.8, the ordinary case, R+6.0 and 8 counties. Across every calibration of the early vote, the R+8 result runs from R+1.4 to R+6.0. The only combination in the whole matrix that comes near a tie is the most Democratic reading of the early vote paired with the weakest Republican Election Day in a decade, and even that is R+0.1. The early vote opened at D+18, closed at D+2, and its last seven days all went Republican. If Republicans show up and vote on Election day, as they always have, the data projects a big RED day.

Ohio State can still beat Michigan. Ohio Stage can still win the Big Ten. Ohio State can still win the National Championship. The season isn’t over.

This OSU team is sloppy. Missed blocking assignments, misplaying punt coverage, and penalties are something we have seen all season. This isn't a young team, we shouldn't be seeing it.