Codan81 retweeted
YT LIVE: TICKERS TO WATCH IN ‘26
After a nice holiday break, this Sunday at 11am ET I’ll be back live to discuss my thoughts for the year, markets, and what I think is worth watching. L
youtube.com/live/1rAD5MjxA84…
Codan81 retweeted
Venezuela isn’t about oil. It’s about critical minerals and territory where China, Iran and Russia operate simultaneously.
Another sign the post-1971 fiat system is dead.
The world is moving back to real things with real constraints. We'll all need real money. Buy bitcoin.
Codan81 retweeted
Most people’s 2026 will look EXACTLY like their 2025. No part of their life will change. They won’t change. That’s the reality.
Change takes intention. Change takes daily actions different from what we’ve been doing. Change can start today.
Good reminder from @JamesClear
Codan81 retweeted
END OF THE YEAR REMINDER FOR TRADERS!
*First, congrats on everyone for giving their best this year. Trading and life can be quite difficult. It takes a lot of courage to push yourself to achieve the most of the infinite potential we all hold. You all have my respect*
Now the usual message:
Every single trader you see on here posting their big months / year and big wins is subject to selection bias. Most of the traders who underperformed or lost money are invisible.
95% of the PNL you see on here comes from a place of insecurity, a place of seeking affirmation from others, and a desire to collect their fake internet points which do not create long-term fulfillment or sense of self.
For most, you do not see their losses or their struggles. You do not see their PNL on the bad years.
All of this is part of the toxicity of social media and the comparison game. So when you see their highlight reel on here, just know that they too feel like shit because they are envious of the bigger fish outperforming them. And there is always a bigger fish.
The reminder is to focus on your own game. Become your best self. And that there is a whole lot more to life when you step away from the screens. PNL should not define you. Get outdoors, spend time with others, and give back. Remember how lucky you are to be pursuing an incredible job, but also remember that once you step off the field, this game doesn’t matter at all.
Codan81 retweeted
If the highs during the Friday is not as high as the high on Thursday then the odds are overwhelming high that whatever low you made on Friday will be visited on Monday—Situational Analysis
Codan81 retweeted
CFTC APPROVES SPOT CRYPTO TRADING IN U.S. 🚀
For the first time, spot crypto like $BTC and $ETH can trade on federally regulated U.S. exchanges.
Acting Chair Caroline Pham calls it “historic,” bringing strong protections and integrating crypto into the regulated financial system.
This marks a major step toward clarity, oversight, and mainstream legitimacy for digital assets.
Codan81 retweeted
Giving away TWO of the biggest premium plans ($502 + $2,303 VALUE) for #TradingView Black Friday sale!
TO ENTER RETWEET AND TAG 2 FRIENDS IN THE COMMENTS!
Winner will be picked randomly by me at my discretion.
Codan81 retweeted
Exactly, this is why people get confused by the White Paper when it uses the word ‘Cash’
Per the code, Satoshi means money, like Gold, not cash like fiat.
This has fooled lots of people over the years.
Codan81 retweeted
I know no one wants to hear bullish ideas and everyone is scared and wants to fling poo at each other... but the Road to Valhalla is getting very close.
If global liquidity is the single most dominant macro factor then we MUST focus on that.
REMEMBER - THE ONLY GAME IN TOWN IS ROLLING $10TRN IN DEBT. EVERYTHING ELSE IS A SIDESHOW. THIS IS THE GAME OF THE NEXT 12 MONTHS.
Currently the gov shutdown has forced a sharp tightening of liquidity as the TGA builds up with no where to spend it.
This is not offset by the ability to drain the Reverse Repo (it is drained). And QT drains it further.
This is hitting markets and in particular crypto which is the most liquidity driven. TradiFi asset managers have had one of their worst years of performance vs benchmark and are now having to chase markets and that is allowing tech to be more stable than crypto. 401K flows help too. If this liquidity drain keeps going longer, stocks will get hit hard too.
However...
As soon as the gov shutdown ends, the Treasury begins spending $250bn to $350bn in a couple of months. QT ends and the balance sheet technically expands.
The Dollar will likely begin to weaken again as liquidity begins to flow. Tariff negiotiations will have largely been completed, removing uncertainty
Ongoing bill issuance increases, adding more liquidity via bank balance sheets and money market funds (and stable coins).
Ongoing rate cuts (we will have economic weakness from the shutdown that will add to the evidence that rates need to come lower but no, there is no recession)..
SLR changes free up more of the banks balance sheets allowing for credit expansion.
The CLARITY ACT will get passed, giving the crypto regs so deserately needed for large scale adoption by banks, asset managers and businesses overall.
The Big Beautiful Bill then kicks in to goose the economy into the midterms. The entire system is now being geared toward a strong economy and strong market in 2026 for these elections.
China will continue to expand its balance sheet. Japan will work to strenghten the Yen, and also fiscally stimulate.
The ISM will rise as rates fall and tarrif uncertainty drops away.
You just need to get through the Window of Pain and The Liquidity Flood lies ahead.
Always remember the Dont Fuck This Up rules...and wait out the volatility. Drawdowns like this are common place in bull markets and their job is to test your faith.
BTFD if you can.
td:dr - When this number goes up, all number go up.
Codan81 retweeted
The Federal Reserve’s Reverse Repo Facility is collapsing.
Expect aggressive QE and money printing to begin.
Codan81 retweeted
This will go down in history as the Great Shakeout of 2025, and I'd like to offer some perspective, some positivity and hope for people in the crypto market here.
Lots of people are clearly hurting now, we've been delivered multiple punches recently and lots of people are showing signs of losing faith, some partially and some altogether. Losing money is painful and it is without doubt an emotional game.
Do bare in mind that everything is only ever a paper win or loss until you have actually sold.
The greatest victims in this market are those who think they can outsmart or guess where the market is going by leveraging and longing or shorting the market.
Trading with leverage in the crypto market is financial suicide - just stop it, it is the fastest way for people to destroy their chances within what is the greatest wealth accumulation opportunity of all time.
I have always remembered Raoul Pal's ( @RaoulGMI ) position on it, leveraging has always been a key part of his @RealVision's "Don't Fuck This Up" thesis, and today those words couldn't be more abundantly clear.
Lots of people are crying about market manipulation, yet they are out there placing leverage, long or short positions. Is this not a bit like playing poker and letting everyone know what your cards are before they lay their hands?
All we are doing here is allowing the exchanges, the market makers, the institutions and the whales to enter the market with far greater financial power to counter positions and liquidate them, which is what is repeatedly happening. I've no idea how people do not recognise this.
For everyone who are shouting the market is over, or are sitting there fearing as much, just take a step back and look at the bigger picture.
We are on the verge of a solid rate cutting cycle. Trillions of dollars of debt across the world needs to be refinanced. QT is about to end which will be followed buy QE, massive liquidity is going to be flooding in. The entire global monetary system is in the process of being migrated on-chain. No bear market has ever been born out of fear, it comes from peak euphoria, which we clearly haven't even touched. We have key regulatory acts that are on the cusp of being announced. Financial institutions are buying crypto. Actual countries are buying cryptos. ETF's are being approved. We are in the glorious position of being able to take part in what is the greatest financial revolution of all time - let that sink in.
The reality is the crypto space has never, ever looked this bullish before and what we are seeing now will go down as the greatest shakeout. Don't become a victim of it.
I have always said that the key to maximising the gains in this market is to buy solid utility projects with real fundamentals that will attract real adoption. Buy with conviction, hold and do nothing. Shut out the noise, and simply do nothing. It is also the key to riding the multiple drawdowns that are characteristic within every bull cycle, and now is no different.
Crypto isn't for the faint-hearted, you have to program yourself differently when navigating this market.
Those who overestimate their own intelligence, who are constantly buying in and selling out, changing lanes, thinking they can predict the market, taking long and short positions and chasing dick-driven greed through insane leveraging will invariably become the fallen soldiers of the market, and will ruin their chances in the greatest wealth accumulation opportunity of all time. And those who buy, hold, shut out the noise, and do nothing, will most likely achieve the success they set out to achieve.
I can't emphasise this enough but for anyone who is looking to educate themselves and to gain an advantage in navigating the crypto space, and who want to develop an understanding of the things that truly drives asset prices, take a look at joining Real Vision @RealVision, it is by far the best thing I ever did.
The team are incredible and it has a fantastic community for you to connect with. The information and insights they part with is pound-for-pound the most valuable alpha and intelligence that you could possibly absorb. The intelligence and understanding you will gain will help you to sail through these shit storms with a far greater calmness, to take a step back from the chaos and shut out the noise.
As always, stay calm and don't fuck this up.
Holders will outperform traders.