SMC & ICT Technical Analyst On-Chain Insights & Crypto Research Probabilities over Predictions Signal over Noise Featured: @CoinMarketCap, @Binance
United Arab Emirates
Joined September 2012
- Tweets49.4K
- Following1.2K
- Followers68.7K
- Likes33.4K
Pinned Tweet
$SUI From $0.7 To $10? 🚀
The SUI Network Growth Story Might Be The Opportunity Most Investors Are Missing.
Explosive Ecosystem Growth, Rising Adoption, Increasing TVL, And Strong Institutional Interest Are Putting #SUI In The Spotlight.
If This Momentum Continues, @SuiNetwork Could Be One Of The Biggest Winners Of This Cycle. 👀🔥
Prediction Markets Just Got More Accessible But Don't Ignore the Research!
@Bagel_win brings a mobile-first experience to prediction markets powered by Polymarket.
Instead of searching through endless markets, users can explore:
🔹 A personalized For You feed
🔹 Trending prediction markets
🔹 Live sports and esports events
🔹 Crypto and other trending topics
A cleaner interface can improve discovery but your research and risk management still matter.
Explore: bagel.win
#PredictionMarkets #Bagel
$0.68 → $7? One level decides if $M does 900% or dumps another 85%.
#M just bounced from strong trendline support. If $0.68 holds, I'm targeting a 900%+ rally.
Structure
✅ Rising channel intact since the July 2025 launch
✅ Third test of channel support (Aug 2025 → Jun 2026 → Oct 2026)
✅ +14.58% bounce candle straight off the trendline
⚠️ Wick rejection at $0.96. Need a reclaim of $1.00 for confirmation.
⚠️ Liquidity View
The chart doesn't look good from a liquidity perspective.
→ Apr – Jun 2026: ~90% dump in just 2 months
→ 25 Jun 2026: ~83% dump in a single candle ($3 → $0.50)
Why the 25 June Crash?
No hack or exploit was found. Thin liquidity, heavily concentrated supply and a cascade of long liquidations wiped out ~$3B on only ~$21M in volume.
Breakdown: TBH, if $0.68 breaks, M/USDT can easily dump 70%–85% toward $0.20 → $0.10.
Hold $0.68 = bullish.
Lose $0.68 = exit.
TA Only. Not Financial Advice. ALWAYS DYOR.
@MemeCore_ORG
LOOTED | Case File 21: IcomTech
$8.4 million. That is 1% of what BitClub took in Case File 20.
Seven people went to prison for it. Including the web developer.
Read these two cases together and you will understand everything about how justice actually works in crypto.
The Promise:
▶️ Invest in our cryptocurrency mining and trading operation
▶️ Guaranteed daily returns, paid automatically
▶️ Your money doubles every six months
▶️ Buy investment products from a promoter using cash, cheque, bank transfer or crypto
▶️ Recruit others and climb, with commissions at every level
The Loot:
➡️ Around $8.4 million taken from victims
➡️ Operated from 2018 to 2019, barely two years
➡️ Victims across the United States and internationally
➡️ A small scheme by the standards of this series, and a devastating one for the people involved
How It Worked:
▶️ There was no mining. There was no trading. Prosecutors were explicit: IcomTech did none of it
▶️ Victim money paid other victims, funded more promotion, and enriched the promoters
▶️ Promoters withdrew hundreds of thousands in cash and spent it on luxury goods and real estate
▶️ The sales machine was physical, not digital. Lavish expos in rented halls, and small community presentations in neighbourhoods
▶️ Promoters arrived in expensive cars wearing luxury clothing, specifically to display the success IcomTech had supposedly given them
▶️ When victims tried to withdraw, they got excuses, delays and hidden charges
▶️ Complaints mounted. Promoters kept presenting, kept selling, kept accepting money anyway
▶️ As it unravelled, they launched a token called "Icoms", claiming it could be used for purchases and would rise in value. It was worthless, and it accelerated the collapse
Who they targeted:
This is the part I want every person reading to sit with. Prosecutors stated that IcomTech's promoters primarily targeted working-class, Spanish-speaking victims who had little to no prior experience with cryptocurrency.
That was not an accident. It was the strategy. Pick a community that trusts in person more than online, that may hesitate to approach authorities, that has limited access to independent financial advice, and that has savings worth taking. Then arrive in a nice car and speak their language.
Change the language and the country and this is the same playbook running in India, Nigeria, Indonesia and the Gulf right now.
Where It Was Built:
▶️ United States. Prosecuted in the Southern District of New York
▶️ Founder: David Carmona, 41, of Queens, New York
▶️ Purported CEO: Marco Ruiz Ochoa. Web developer: Gustavo Rodriguez
▶️ Senior promoters: David Brend, Juan Arellano, Moses Valdez, and Mendoza
Where It Stands Today:
▶️ David Carmona: pleaded guilty to conspiracy to commit wire fraud. Sentenced to 121 months, just over 10 years, plus three years supervised release
▶️ He was ordered to pay $789,218 in restitution, is jointly liable for $3.7 million in forfeiture, and surrendered $329,464 from two seized bank accounts
▶️ Marco Ruiz Ochoa: five years
▶️ David Brend: ten years
▶️ Senior promoter Mendoza: 71 months
▶️ Gustavo Rodriguez, Juan Arellano and Moses Valdez: all convicted and sentenced
▶️ Seven people held criminally accountable for $8.4 million
Now compare it to Case File 20 👇
BitClub Network: $722 million. The case against the alleged architect was dismissed with prejudice in July 2026, before trial.
IcomTech: $8.4 million. Seven convictions, including the web developer who built the site.
I am not saying the IcomTech sentences were wrong. They were deserved. The question worth asking is why the outcome scales inversely with the amount taken. Small operations with local victims get fully prosecuted. Billion-dollar operations with expensive lawyers end in settlements, dismissals, or founders living comfortably in jurisdictions with no extradition treaty.
That pattern repeats through this entire series.
Call to Action | JUSTICE FOR CRYPTO VICTIMS:
Respectfully calling on @TheJusticeDept, @SDNYnews, @FBI, @SECGov and @IRS_CI:
▶️ Trace the stolen funds, seize criminal assets, and prioritize returning recovered money to victims.
▶️ Hold every person who knowingly enabled these schemes accountable, regardless of their position or influence.
▶️ Expand multilingual awareness campaigns to protect vulnerable communities from crypto scams before more families lose their life savings.
▶️ Ensure victims receive transparent updates and accessible guidance on restitution and fund recovery.
Justice must mean more than prison sentences. Crypto victims deserve accountability, protection, and every possible chance to recover their hard-earned money.
Lesson for my CryptoPatel Family 👉
👉 "Doubles every six months" is 300% per year. No real business does that. None
👉 A luxury car at a presentation is a prop. It is rented more often than you would believe, and it is the cheapest marketing expense in fraud
👉 When withdrawals start coming with delays, excuses and new fees, stop depositing immediately and start documenting. That is the beginning of the end, always
👉 A new token launched to fix a withdrawal problem is not a solution. It is the exit
👉 Fraud targets trust, not stupidity. These victims were working people who were approached in their own community, in their own language, by someone who looked successful. That could be any of our families
👉 If someone in your family is being pitched at a community event this week, that is the moment to intervene. Not after
IcomTech is the smallest case in this series and one of the most important. It shows what full accountability looks like, and by contrast, exactly how rare it is. Seven people went to prison for $8.4 million. Think about every other case file you have read.
Not Financial Advice. ALWAYS DYOR.
LOOTED | Case File 20: BitClub Network
$722 million taken. A programmer admitted he faked the mining numbers. And in July 2026, the case against the alleged architect was dropped entirely.
The Promise:
▶️ Buy a share in our Bitcoin mining pools and earn a cut of the daily mining rewards
▶️ Packages ranged from a few hundred dollars to tens of thousands
▶️ A live dashboard showed your daily earnings accumulating, updated constantly
▶️ Recruit others and earn commissions on their purchases, with ranks and bonuses as you climbed
▶️ The killer detail: BitClub really did do some mining. Investors could point to real hardware. That is exactly what made it believable
The Loot:
➡️ At least $722 million worth of Bitcoin taken from investors
➡️ Operated April 2014 to December 2019, nearly six years
➡️ Victims worldwide, with heavy recruitment across Asia, Europe and Latin America
➡️ One of the longest-running crypto frauds in this entire series
How It Worked:
▶️ Investors bought "shares" in mining pools that were sold as investment contracts, never registered as securities
▶️ The mining existed, but the earnings shown did not match it
▶️ The programmer admitted in his guilty plea that he altered the figures displayed as mining earnings, at the direction of a co-defendant, so the network appeared to be mining more Bitcoin than it actually was
▶️ Investors watching their dashboards tick upward were watching a number someone had edited
▶️ Court records show the programmer referred to investors in contemptuous terms, including describing the model as built on the backs of idiots
▶️ The recruitment layer did the rest. Commissions meant existing investors sold it to their own families
▶️ Real hardware plus a fake dashboard is the hardest version of this fraud to detect, because every surface-level check passes
Where It Was Built:
▶️ United States. Charges were brought in the District of New Jersey in December 2019
▶️ Alleged operators: Matthew Brent Goettsche of Colorado and Russ Albert Medlin
▶️ Programmer: Silviu Catalin Balaci, a Romanian national, arrested in Germany
▶️ Co-defendants Jobadiah Sinclair Weeks and Joseph Frank Abel
Where It Stands Today:
▶️ Silviu Catalin Balaci: pleaded guilty in 2020 to conspiracy to commit wire fraud and to offer and sell unregistered securities
▶️ Jobadiah Sinclair Weeks and Joseph Frank Abel: both pleaded guilty. All three remain sentenced and cooperating
▶️ Russ Albert Medlin fled the United States and was arrested in Indonesia in 2020 on separate, unrelated criminal charges. He never faced the BitClub case in a US court
▶️ Matthew Goettsche maintained his defence and never pleaded guilty. His trial was scheduled for October 2026
▶️ On 28 July 2026, the Department of Justice moved to dismiss the charges against him with prejudice. The judge granted it
▶️ Dismissal with prejudice means the case cannot be brought again. It ends permanently. He was never convicted and remains presumed innocent
▶️ The DOJ has stated it continues to pursue restitution and asset recovery in the matter
▶️ Victims: still waiting, seven years after the indictment and twelve years after the scheme began
The uncomfortable part 👇
I want to be precise here, because precision matters more than outrage. Goettsche was never found guilty of anything.
The legal system reached a decision, and the presumption of innocence is not a technicality, it is the thing that protects all of us. But a programmer admitted under oath that the mining numbers were being altered, and $722 million did leave investors' hands.
Both of those things are true at the same time. That is the reality victims are left holding.
Call to Action:
Respectfully calling on @TheJusticeDept, @SECGov, and @FBI:
▶️ Publish transparent updates on BitClub asset recovery and victim restitution.
▶️ Explain how affected investors can file claims and recover eligible funds.
▶️ Strengthen crypto investor protection to prevent similar scams.
$722 million at stake. Victims deserve answers, transparency, and justice.
Lesson for my CryptoPatel Family 👉
👉 Real hardware does not prove real earnings. The machines can exist while the payout numbers are edited
👉 A dashboard is a web page. It shows what the operator chooses to show. Demand a verifiable pool address and on-chain payouts you can check yourself
👉 Six years of operation is not proof of legitimacy. BitClub ran from 2014 to 2019 and grew the entire time
👉 Commissions for recruiting convert your own family into the sales team. That structure is the signal, every time
👉 And the hardest lesson in this series: enforcement is not a plan. Cases get dropped, founders die, defendants flee, decades pass. The only protection that works is the one you apply before you deposit
#BitClub closes the first twenty case files, and it ends on the most honest note possible. Not every story has a villain in prison and a cheque for the victims. Sometimes the money goes, the years pass, and the system simply does not deliver. Plan for that version, because it happens more often than the one with a sentence at the end.
Will BitClub victims ever get their money back?
Not Financial Advice. ALWAYS DYOR.
@BitClubNetwork
Realizing how much I've paid in exchange fees over the years. 🤯
Not small money.
Turns out if you open a new exchange account through Kyroo instead of going direct, it pays part of those trading fees back to you in crypto.
Free to use. Zero extra work.
The brand pays Kyroo a commission. Kyroo sends a share your way.
That's the entire model.
Signal over noise. Why leave free crypto on the table?
#kyrooboost
Grab the link and start the habit. 👇
kyroo.com/r/CRYPTOPATEL?utm_…
It’s set to Kyroo Boost → exclusive supercharged rate for the first 100 to join from my community.
#kyrooboost
$ONDO TO $5? HERE ARE MY LONG-TERM TARGETS AND RE-ENTRY PLAN
Our first #ONDO accumulation zone at $0.24–$0.20 is already filled, delivering ~175% profit from our entry!
➡️ Re-entry Zone: $0.39–$0.33
➡️ Stop Loss: HTF candle close below $0.32
➡️ Long-term targets remain unchanged: $1 → $1.60 → $3 → $5
If ONDO reclaims key resistance, the upside could be massive. Stay patient, manage risk, and watch the breakout!
NFA & Always DYOR @Ondo
$VVV BEARISH SETUP? 21X GAINS FROM OUR ENTRY | IS A MAJOR CORRECTION NEXT?
I gave the #VVV buy signal around $1.60, and price subsequently surged to its September ATH of $34.9161, delivering approximately 21.8X returns from our entry. 🚀
After a 3,711% rally from the $0.9161 bottom, my priority is protecting profits.
MY VVV/USDT BEARISH OUTLOOK: The HTF chart looks overextended. Unless VVV/USDT secures a decisive HTF candle close above $35, I’m leaning bearish.
Downside Targets: $20.77/$10.40/$5.31
A deeper correction could bring the $5.64–$8.67 Fibonacci retracement zone into focus.
My Strategy: Book profits in Spot, avoid FOMO buying after an explosive rally, and wait for confirmation.
Above $35 on an HTF close, my bearish thesis is invalidated.
Protect profits. Manage risk. Never confuse paper gains with realized profits.
@AskVenice
$VVV JUST PRINTED A NEW ATH: $26.938 And Our accumulation call is now +1,600% in just ~7 months.
We caught this GEM near the bottom and the move has been absolutely insane. 💎
Now, I’d start scaling out profits gradually.
If you’re comfortable with higher risk, you can keep a small portion running for the possibility of further upside but after a 1,600% move, protecting profits matters.
$50 target is still on the radar. 👀
Hope you enjoyed this GEM call with us. 🔥
From $1.55 Accumulation → New ATH $27 → +1,600%.
Did you hold this one with us? 👇
YOUR BLOCKCHAIN CAN HAVE ADVANCED PROOFS AND STILL FACE A QUANTUM SECURITY PROBLEM.
Why? Transaction signatures are a separate attack surface.
Starknet's programmable accounts can support alternative signature verification, but existing accounts don't become quantum-resistant automatically.
The distinction matters.
@Starknet quantum.starkware.co/
$STRK
CHINA SEEKS $5.7 BILLION IN BITCOIN | WILL $BTC PRICE BE AFFECTED?
China is seeking to confiscate 61,896 $BTC linked to a massive $5.7 billion investment fraud that reportedly affected 102,000+ investors.
➤ BTC involved: 61,896 BTC
➤ Main figure: Zhimin Qian
➤ Chinese court accepted the forfeiture application.
➤ Final ownership and distribution remain unresolved.
Is this bearish for Bitcoin?
No confirmed BTC sale has been announced. However, any future liquidation could create selling pressure.
Will these Bitcoin go to fraud victims or the Chinese state?
$AERO TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: BULLISH TREND CONFIRMED | $5 LONG-TERM TARGET
#AERO has already turned bullish after a HTF close above $0.6328, confirming a bullish CHoCH. The long-term descending TL has also been broken, providing a second bullish confirmation.
Target 1 at $0.7952 has already been achieved. Now, I’m watching for the next potential leg higher.
My Trading Plan:
➤ Preferred Entry Zone: $0.58–$0.46
➤ Target 1: $0.7952 ✅
➤ Target 2: $1.63
➤ Target 3: $3
➤ Final Target: $5
Why I’m Bullish:
The HTF structure has shifted bullish, and the former resistance around $0.6328 has become a key structural reference. A deeper pullback into the $0.58–$0.46 zone could offer an attractive entry opportunity if price forms a higher low and buyers defend the region.
I’m not chasing the current move. I’d rather wait for a potential retracement into my preferred entry zone before the next expansion toward $1.63, $3 and eventually $5.
The key is to preserve the bullish market structure. A sustained breakdown below the relevant support levels would weaken this setup.
@AEroDronefrObFl
MOON TO -99% | Project Review 84: $SNX (Synthetix)
#SNX (Synthetix) was a DeFi BLUE CHIP, the OG of synthetic assets, backed by Coinbase Ventures & Paradigm. It hit $28.62 and a $4.14 BILLION market cap. Today: $0.22, down -99.2% from ATH, back near its ICO price 8 years later. Even a "legit" top DeFi name can round-trip. 😳
(Note: SNX isn't a scam or dead, it's a real, active protocol. This is a "blue chip that bled -99%" story, and the lesson matters more than any rug.)
The Raise:
▶️ Total raised: $65.38M → Seed $0.0758 (2017) / Pre-sale $0.27 / Private $0.47 / ICO $0.67 (Feb 2018)
▶️ Later: Coinbase Ventures + Paradigm ($12M, 2020), DWF Labs ($20M, 2023)
▶️ Backers: Coinbase Ventures (T1), Paradigm (T1), Framework, IOSG, DWF
▶️ Formerly "Havven", on-chain synthetic assets
Sale Price:
➡️ ICO (2018): $0.67 ( ATH ROI: 42.73x, ATH $28.62 )
▶️ Today's ICO ROI: 0.33x, ICO buyers down ~67%. ATH cap $4.14B → now $75.67M.
Here's the Wild Part: 👇
→ SNX pioneered synthetic assets, real product, real innovation, real VCs
→ ATH $28.62 (Feb 2021) → bled for years → ~$0.22 now
→ ~50% of supply is STAKING, high emissions quietly diluted holders for years
→ Synthetic-asset demand never scaled; competition ate the narrative
→ Back near its $0.67 ICO price 8 years later, A full round trip
Lesson for my CryptoPatel Family:
👉 EVEN A LEGIT DeFi BLUE CHIP CAN DO -99%. No scam, real product, Tier-1 VCs, still round-tripped. "It's a blue chip" is not a floor.
👉 HIGH STAKING EMISSIONS ARE SILENT DILUTION. "Earning yield" while the token bleeds is just getting more of a falling asset.
👉 NARRATIVES ROTATE, EVEN GOOD TECH FADES. Being a real innovator doesn't keep the token bid. Follow where demand actually is.
👉 BACK TO ICO PRICE AFTER 8 YEARS = TIME ISN'T PROFIT. Conviction without an exit plan is just a slow bleed.
The most dangerous bags aren't always scams, sometimes they're the "safe" blue chips you never sold because "the tech is great." SNX had it all real: product, VCs, innovation and still did -99.2%. Great projects can make terrible investments if you buy the top and never book profit.
TA Only. Not Financial Advice. ALWAYS DYOR.
@synthetix
MOON TO DEAD COIN | Project Review 82: $BADGER (BadgerDAO)
$BADGER (BadgerDAO) was one of the most "security-minded" DeFi protocols, backed by Polychain & Blockchain Capital, and it STILL lost ~$120M. The crazy part: the smart contracts were FINE. Attackers hacked the WEBSITE and tricked users into signing malicious approvals. One victim lost ~$50M in a single click. BADGER today: $0.329, down -99.6%. 😳
The Raise:
▶️ Treasury round (Mar 2021): raised $21M, A DAO to bring Bitcoin into DeFi (wBTC yield)
▶️ Backers: Polychain Capital (T1), Blockchain Capital (T1), ParaFi Capital
▶️ ATH $88.97 (Feb 9, 2021), ATH market cap $521.87M → now $6.42M
Here's the wild part 👇, the front-end hijack (Dec 2021):
→ Attackers stole a Cloudflare API key for Badger's website (2FA wasn't enforced)
→ They injected malicious JavaScript into the FRONT-END, the smart contracts were untouched
→ The script quietly prompted users to sign "UNLIMITED token approvals" to the attacker's wallet
→ It ran selectively on high-value users for ~2 WEEKS to avoid detection
→ Then drained $120M from ~500 wallets, one Celsius-linked wallet lost ~896 BTC ($50M) in ONE transfer
→ (The loot was bridged out via REN, yes, Review #62)
Today: BADGER $0.329 (down -99.6% from ATH), ~$6.4M market cap.
Lesson for my CryptoPatel Family:
👉 THE FRONT-END IS AN ATTACK SURFACE, A SAFE CONTRACT ISN'T ENOUGH. The WEBSITE was hacked. Audits don't cover the UI.
👉 "UNLIMITED APPROVALS" ARE A LOADED GUN. A malicious approval = they can drain that token forever. Never approve unlimited; revoke old approvals (revoke.cash).
👉 VERIFY WHAT YOU SIGN, EVERY TIME. Unexpected address or "unlimited"? Reject it. Your wallet is only as safe as what you sign.
👉 TIER-1 VCs + SELF-CUSTODY WON'T SAVE A BAD SIGNATURE. Polychain-backed, audited, users holding their own keys, still lost $120M.
The scariest hacks don't break the blockchain, they trick YOU into signing it away. Verify every signature, never approve unlimited, revoke old permissions. In DeFi, your last line of defense is the "confirm" button.
Educational Only. Not Financial Advice. ALWAYS DYOR.
@BadgerDAO
IN CRYPTO, PROMISES ARE CHEAP. VERIFIABLE DATA IS DIFFERENT.
@grvt_io has completed its first ethereum:0xad29f2723fcdbcf665f210f25e06f97477e417cf buyback and permanently burned 1.1M tokens.
The key differentiator? Onchain transparency.
GRVT's public dashboard is designed to track purchases, circulating-supply percentages, cumulative burns, and transaction hashes.
For serious investors, verifiability matters more than hype.
Don't just trust the claim. Verify the data.
#GRVT #Onchain
ETF FLOWS: US SPOT CRYPTO ETFs FLOWS DATA UPDATE (21-10-2026) YESTERDAY
🟩 Bitcoin ETFs: +6,256 $BTC (+$528.40M)
🟩 Ethereum ETFs: +6000 $ETH (+$14.96M)
🟩 SOLANA ETFs: +5.42K $SOL (+$585.30K)
🟩 XRP ETFs: +0.51M $XRP (+$708.52K)
🟩 ZEC ETFs: +11.18K $ZEC (+$15.18M)
🟩 NEAR ETFs: +156.74K $NEAR (+$830.70K)
🟩 AVAX, TRX, DOT, DOGE, BNB, HYPE, LINK, HBAR, LTC Flows Was Zero.
TOTAL US SPOT CRYPTO ETFs INFLOW: ≈ +$560.67M
U.S. BITCOIN ETFs BUYS ~6,256 BTC Worth $528.40M
🇺🇸 BlackRock ETF Has BUYS 2,780 BTC for $234.99M And SELL 11,760 ETH for $29.32M
🇺🇸 Fidelity ETF Has BUYS 2,520 BTC for $212.71M And 5,230 ETH for $13.03M
🇺🇸 Grayscale ETF Has BUYS 483 BTC for $43.80M AND 11,260 ETH for $28.07M
🇺🇸 Bitwise ETF Has BUYS 228 BTC for $19.23M AND 357 ETH for $891.02K
🇺🇸 ARK 21Shares ETF Has BUYS 116 BTC for $9.79M
🇺🇸 Franklin ETF Has BUYS 87 BTC for $7.31M AND 379 ETH for $944.01K
🇺🇸 Valkyrie ETF Has BUYS 42 BTC for $3.57M
🇺🇸 Morgan Stanley ETF Has BUYS 538 ETH for $1.34M
BlackRock clients BUYS 2,780 BTC worth $234.99 Million and Fidelity clients BUYS 2,520 BTC worth $212.71 Million.
BlackRock clients SELL 11,760 ETH worth $29.32 Million and Grayscale clients BUYS 11,260 ETH worth $28.07 Million.
FACT: U.S. Spot Bitcoin ETFs BOUGHT 14 Days Worth of Newly Mined Bitcoin Yesterday.
ETF FLOWS: US SPOT CRYPTO ETFs FLOWS DATA UPDATE (20-10-2026) YESTERDAY
🟩 Bitcoin ETFs: +280 $BTC (+$23.16M)
🟥 Ethereum ETFs: -10,740 $ETH (-$26.13M)
🟥 SOLANA ETFs: -25.06K $SOL (-$2.65M)
🟩 ZEC ETFs: +1.33K $ZEC (+$1.61M)
🟥 HYPE ETFs: -91.96K $HYPE (-$7.34M)
🟥 NEAR ETFs: -522.41K $NEAR (-$2.54M)
🟩 AVAX, TRX, DOT, DOGE, BNB, XRP, LINK, HBAR, LTC Flows Was Zero.
TOTAL US SPOT CRYPTO ETFs OUTFLOW: ≈ -$13.89M
U.S. BITCOIN ETFs BUYS ~280 BTC Worth $23.16M
🇺🇸 BlackRock ETF Has BUYS 362 BTC for $29.86M And SELL 13,570 ETH for $33.02M
🇺🇸 Fidelity ETF Has BUYS 43 BTC for $3.58M And BUYS 1,490 ETH for $3.63M
🇺🇸 Bitwise ETF Has SELL 125 BTC for $10.29M
🇺🇸 Grayscale ETF Has BUYS 1,340 BTC for $3.25M
BlackRock clients BUYS 362 BTC worth $29.86 Million and Fidelity clients BUYS 43 BTC worth $3.58 Million.
FACT: U.S. Spot Bitcoin ETFs BOUGHT Half Days Worth of Newly Mined Bitcoin Yesterday.
$LIT: ONE LEVEL COULD DECIDE EVERYTHING | $10 OR $1.18?
#LIT is showing a higher-timeframe breakout and retest, with the former resistance now acting as potential neckline support.
Bullish Scenario:
➤ Hold $2.82 support
➤ HTF close above $4.142 = bullish flip
➤ Next resistance: $5.566
➤ Target: $9–$10
Bearish Scenario: LIT/USDT has already rallied 616% in 7 months. I’m cautious about chasing here, especially with the rising-wedge breakdown visible on the chart.
If $2.82 fails on an HTF closing basis, I’m watching $1.65–$1.18 as a potential deeper retracement zone.
My strategy: Bullish toward $10 above key support, but prepared for a deeper correction if $2.82 breaks.
$2.82 is the level to defend. $4.142 is the level to reclaim.
NFA & DYOR
@Lighter_xyz
$DNA DUMPS 27% | BEARISH TARGET IN SIGHT
My October 19 bearish setup on #DNA continues to play out, with price now down to $0.19074, A ~27% drop from our short setup's breakdown exit point.
Updated Technical Analysis:
➤ Current Price: $0.19074
➤ Bearish Target: $0.148
➤ Key Resistance: $0.250
➤ Bearish Outlook: Still watching for further downside toward $0.148.
The chart is doing the talking.
Hope you're enjoying the analysis. Stay tuned for the next update.
@NeoSoulAI
$DNA PRICE UPDATE: NEOSOUL TOKEN DUMPS 19% | BEARISH TARGET STILL $0.148
My October 19 bearish outlook on #DNA is playing out, with the token dropping 19% from my chart.
My Updated Technical Analysis:
➤ Bearish Target: $0.148
➤ Key Level: $0.163
➤ Bearish Scenario: Price must remain below $0.163 for the bearish setup to stay valid.
➤ Invalidation: A HTF candle close above $0.163 would invalidate my bearish thesis.
I’m still bearish until the chart proves otherwise. Watch the $0.163 level closely.
@NeoSoulAI
Ansem once shilled this as a potential $1B project. Now look at where $NET is trading.
The chart looks brutal, but these numbers deserve attention 👇
▶️ 91% of circulating supply staked
▶️ ~$500K/day treasury generation (claimed)
▶️ $12M treasury(claimed)
▶️ Crashed from ~$2,027 ATH to ~$156
Is #NET a forgotten opportunity before the next cycle… or just another falling knife?
Would you start bidding here, or stay away?
ELLIOTT WAVE PRO | Day 7: Time Fibonacci, Why When Matters as Much as Where
Most traders spend hours finding the perfect price level and zero minutes asking when price should get there. That is half the analysis missing. A wave that hits its price target far too early or far too late is telling you something. Professionals measure waves in two dimensions: price and time. When both line up, the odds of a real turn jump sharply.
What the Traditional Says:
▶️ Fibonacci is mostly used on price
▶️ Time relationships are mentioned, but treated as unreliable and rarely used
▶️ Fibonacci time zones are drawn as vertical lines at 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34 bars and so on
▶️ Most traders draw them once, see random hits and misses, and give up
What Professionals Actually Do:
▶️ They compare the duration of one wave with another, exactly like they compare price lengths
▶️ They treat time as a window, not an exact date. A turn rarely happens on the precise bar
▶️ They use time to judge the quality of a count. A wave 4 that lasts one fifth as long as wave 2 is a warning sign that the count may be wrong
▶️ They combine time windows with price clusters from Day 6. Price tells you where, time tells you when, and the overlap tells you how serious to be
The Key Time Relationships:
➡️ Wave 2 and wave 4 alternate. If one is short and sharp, the other is often long and sideways. In crypto, wave 4 is frequently the longer of the two
➡️ Wave 5 often takes a similar time to wave 1, or about 0.618 of the time from the start of wave 1 to the end of wave 3
➡️ Corrections often last 0.618, 1.0 or 1.618 times the duration of the impulse they correct
➡️ A correction that takes far less time than the wave it corrects is often incomplete. Expect more sideways action or another leg
➡️ In crypto, count calendar days on the daily chart. The market never closes, so every day is a bar
The Math: A Worked Time Window:
Example impulse on the daily chart:
➡️ Wave 1: 21 days
➡️ Wave 2: 13 days, a sharp correction. That is about 0.618 of wave 1's time
➡️ Wave 3: 34 days
➡️ Wave 4 projection: wave 2 was short and sharp, so alternation suggests a longer, sideways wave 4. Expect 21 to 34 days, not 13
➡️ Wave 5 projection: equal to wave 1 gives 21 days. 0.618 of wave 1 start to wave 3 end, which is 68 days, gives about 42 days
➡️ Time window for the wave 5 top: roughly 21 to 42 days after wave 4 ends, with the strongest focus where it overlaps the price cluster
If price reaches the wave 5 price cluster around day 25, you have price and time agreement. If price reaches it on day 4, the move is either much stronger than expected, which hints at an extension, or the count is wrong.
Real Example: Bitcoin's Cycle Clock:
▶️ 2016 halving in July to the December 2017 top: roughly 525 days
▶️ 2020 halving in May to the November 2021 top: roughly 545 days
▶️ 2024 halving in April to the October 2025 all-time high near $126,000: roughly 535 days
▶️ Top to bottom of the bear market: December 2017 to December 2018 took about 365 days. November 2021 to November 2022 took about 375 days
▶️ Three cycles, three very similar halving to top durations. That kind of time symmetry is something price alone can never show you
▶️ Important: this is a historical tendency, not a law. The more traders watch a cycle clock, the more likely the market is to break it. Use time windows to stay alert, never as a reason to buy or sell on a date alone
How to Use Time Without Being Fooled:
▶️ Use windows of plus or minus 10 to 15 percent around any time target
▶️ Time is a confirmation tool. It never overrides price structure or invalidation
▶️ Count bars on one timeframe only. Mixing daily and weekly bar counts gives meaningless results
▶️ Measure from confirmed turning points on closes, using the same data rules from Day 4
The Trap:
▶️ Date prophecy: "the top is on this exact day." Markets do not read calendars, and traders who sell on a date often sell too early
▶️ Ignoring time completely: holding a wave 3 position for months while price goes nowhere. If a wave 3 does not behave like a wave 3 in time, it probably is not one
▶️ Time zone spam: drawing Fibonacci time zones from random swings until something lines up. Same problem as Fibonacci soup on Day 6
▶️ Cycle worship: assuming every cycle must repeat to the day. Each cycle has different liquidity, different participants and different macro conditions
Trade Setup: Price and Time Confluence with a Time Stop:
➡️ Count: wave 4 correction in progress
➡️ Price: build the wave 4 cluster using retracement of wave 3, the previous fourth wave and structure
➡️ Time: project the wave 4 window using alternation with wave 2 and the 0.618 to 1.618 ratios
➡️ Entry: when price is inside the cluster and time is inside the window, wait for a lower timeframe change of character, then enter on the reclaim
➡️ Stop loss: below the cluster on a HTF close, and never inside wave 1 territory for a standard impulse
➡️ TP1: the wave 3 high
➡️ TP2: the wave 5 price cluster
➡️ Time stop: if price has not moved toward TP1 within about the same number of days that wave 2 took, reduce the position. Healthy fifth waves move. Stalling fifths often fail or truncate
Lesson for my CryptoPatel Family 👉
👉 Every wave has two measurements, price and time. Most traders only use one
👉 Treat time as a window, never as an exact date
👉 Watch alternation between wave 2 and wave 4. A sharp wave 2 often means a long, frustrating wave 4
👉 When price arrives far too early or far too late, question the count
👉 Add a time stop to your trades. Capital stuck in a wave that refuses to move is capital not working
Price shows you where the crowd agrees on value. Time shows you how long that agreement takes to form. A level reached in the right window carries far more weight than the same level reached at the wrong moment. Learn to read both, and your targets stop being lines on a chart and start becoming zones with a clock attached.
Tomorrow, Day 8: Wave 3 Projection Math, How to Know If You Are Inside an Extension.
TA Only. Not Financial Advice. ALWAYS DYOR.
#ElliottWave #FibonacciTime #TimeCycles
ELLIOTT WAVE PRO | Day 6: Fibonacci Clusters, Where Multiple Wave Targets Meet
Module 2: Wave Math begins.
Most traders draw one Fibonacci tool, pick a level and hope. The problem is that a single Fibonacci level is almost meaningless. Price reacts to dozens of levels every week. The levels that actually turn markets are the ones where several independent measurements land in the same small zone. That zone is called a Fibonacci cluster, and it is the closest thing Elliott Wave has to a precision tool.
What the Traditional Says:
▶️ Draw a retracement on the last wave
▶️ Wave 2 ends near 0.5 or 0.618, wave 4 near 0.382
▶️ Wave 3 targets 1.618 of wave 1
▶️ One wave, one tool, one level
What Professionals Actually Do:
▶️ They measure the same turning point in several different ways, using different waves, different degrees and different tools
▶️ When three or more of those measurements land within a tight zone, that zone becomes a high-probability reversal or target area
▶️ A single level is a guess. A cluster is evidence
▶️ Clusters also make Elliott Wave far less subjective. You stop arguing about one line and start looking for agreement between many
The Cluster Building Blocks:
➡️ Retracement: how far the current wave pulls back into the previous one. 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 0.786
➡️ Projection: one wave measured from the end of another. Example: wave 5 = wave 1, measured from the wave 4 low
➡️ Extension: a percentage of a whole move projected forward. Example: wave 5 = 0.618 of the distance from the start of wave 1 to the end of wave 3
➡️ External retracement: a correction measured beyond its own start. Example: wave 5 ending at 1.618 of wave 4's drop
➡️ Previous fourth wave: corrections often end near the territory of the prior fourth wave of one lesser degree. A classic Elliott guideline most traders forget
➡️ Structure: old highs, old lows and range edges. In crypto, a previous all-time high is one of the strongest
The Math: A Worked Wave 5 Cluster:
Simple example with clean numbers:
➡️ Wave 1: $50,000 to $60,000. Length $10,000
➡️ Wave 2 low: $54,000
➡️ Wave 3: $54,000 to $70,000. Length $16,000
➡️ Wave 4 low: $64,000. That is about 0.382 of wave 3, Classic depth
Now measure wave 5 in three different ways:
➡️ Wave 5 = wave 1: $64,000 + $10,000 = $74,000
➡️ 1.618 external retracement of wave 4: $64,000 + (1.618 x $6,000) = about $73,700
➡️ Wave 5 = 0.618 of wave 1 start to wave 3 end: $64,000 + (0.618 x $20,000) = about $76,360
Two measurements land between $73,700 and $74,000, a zone less than 0.5 percent wide. That is your primary wave 5 target cluster. The $76,360 level becomes the extension target if wave 5 starts to stretch, which, as Day 5 showed, crypto fifths often do.
How to Score a Cluster:
▶️ Count how many independent measurements fall inside the zone. Two is interesting, three is strong, four or more is rare and powerful
▶️ Keep the zone tight. On BTC, I want the levels within about 1 to 1.5 percent of each other. On altcoins, a little wider
▶️ Give extra weight to non-Fibonacci confluence: a prior all-time high, a range edge, a channel line, an order block or a fair value gap
▶️ Measurements must be independent. Three retracement tools drawn on the same swing do not count as three confluences. That is one measurement repeated
The Trap:
▶️ Fibonacci soup: drawing so many tools that every price is near some level. If everything is a cluster, nothing is
▶️ Cherry-picking: measuring from wicks on one tool and closes on another just to make levels line up. Pick one data method, as covered on Day 4, and use it everywhere
▶️ Blind limit orders: a cluster is a zone where you look for a reaction, not a guarantee. Without confirmation, a cluster entry is still a guess
▶️ Wrong degree: mixing a 15 minute swing with a weekly swing in the same cluster. Measurements should come from waves of the same degree or one degree apart
Real Example: Bitcoin April 2025:
▶️ August 2024: BTC bottomed near $49,000
▶️ January 2025: BTC made a new all-time high near $109,000
▶️ The 0.618 retracement of that advance sat near $72,000. The 0.5 sat near $79,000
▶️ The previous all-time high from March 2024 sat near $73,800. In crypto, an old all-time high often flips into support
▶️ Inside the 0.5 to 0.618 zone, structure and Fibonacci overlapped in the low to mid $70,000s
▶️ April 2025: BTC bottomed near $74,500, right inside that cluster
▶️ BTC then pushed back above $100,000 and went on to set new all-time highs above $110,000 by late May 2025
▶️ A trader watching only the 0.618 level would have waited near $72,000 and missed the turn. A trader watching the cluster was ready
Trade Setup: Cluster Reversal Entry:
➡️ Count: correction in progress, most likely wave 2 or wave 4
➡️ Build the cluster: retracement of the prior wave, previous fourth wave territory, prior structure, plus any order block or fair value gap inside the zone
➡️ Entry trigger: price enters the cluster and prints a lower timeframe change of character, or a liquidity sweep of a nearby low followed by a reclaim
➡️ Entry: on the reclaim or the first retest after the shift
➡️ Stop loss: below the cluster zone on a higher timeframe close. If price closes clearly through the cluster, the reaction failed
➡️ TP1: the start of the correction
➡️ TP2: the next projection cluster in the trend direction
➡️ TP3: the extended target, only if the impulse shows clear extension
Lesson for my CryptoPatel Family 👉
👉 One Fibonacci level is noise. Three or more independent levels in a tight zone is a signal
👉 Measure the same turning point in different ways, using retracements, projections, extensions and structure
👉 Never forget the previous fourth wave and the previous all-time high. They are two of the most reliable confluences in crypto
👉 A cluster tells you where to look. The lower timeframe tells you when to act
👉 If your chart looks like a rainbow of Fibonacci lines, delete half of them
Fibonacci on its own does not predict anything. Its value comes from agreement. When the market's own proportions point at the same zone from several directions, you are no longer guessing where price might turn. You are standing where the math says it should, waiting for the market to confirm it.
Tomorrow, Day 7: Time Fibonacci, Why When Matters as Much as Where.
Educational Only. Not Financial Advice. ALWAYS DYOR.
#ElliottWave #Fibonacci #FibonacciCluster
DOGECOIN NEWS: DOGE AIMS TO GO BEYOND MEME HYPE!
Dogecoin Labs officially launches to expand $DOGE adoption through payments, DeFi, gaming, and real-world utility.
🔹 MyDoge wallet
🔹 DogeOS application platform
🔹 Such App merchant payments
Bullish for long-term DOGE adoption? Investors will watch real usage and ecosystem growth.
BINANCE BURNS $1.19 BILLION IN $BNB! CZ, BURN MY LOSSES NEXT 😂
BNB Chain has completed its 37th quarterly burn, destroying 1,646,196 BNB worth approximately $1.197 BILLION.
1.646M BNB burned
$1.197B in estimated value
Long-term supply target: 100M BNB
CZ is burning billions in tokens. I'm still trying to burn my entry price from memory. 😂
@cz_binance, can we get a portfolio recovery burn next? Asking for the entire crypto community. 🤝🤣
Reducing token supply could support long-term scarcity if demand remains strong.
$ENA Could Be Setting Up for a MASSIVE Breakout!
HTF Chart Signals a Potential Trend Reversal.
ENA Price Targets:
✅ Target 1: $0.13
✅ Target 2: $0.25
Macro Targets: $0.50/$0.80/$1.25/$3
