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Achievements:
- 1st job was in london
- 2nd in france
- 3rd in rome
- 4th was 3 miles away from my hometown
... now i only have to walk into my house office.
16yrs
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Prediction. Screenshot this post, we'll talk again in five years.
They're going to pull it off. Jensen Huang is going to be pushed out of Nvidia.
And here's what happens next.
Elon hires Jensen and puts him in charge of Terafab.
He's already said it publicly: hiring him would be an honor. And Terafab is the project made for him. A chip factory Musk wants to be the largest ever built, one terawatt of compute per year, from design to packaging under one roof. Terafab's challenge is to do in a few years what the industry took decades to build. There's only one man on Earth who knows every layer of that stack.
They execute like absolute maniacs.
Musk brings speed, capital and appetite for risk. Jensen brings thirty years of mastery of the stack: architecture, software, customers, supply chain. Musk builds factories faster than anyone alive. Jensen knows exactly what to put inside them. It's the only duo in the world capable of compressing a decade into three years.
SpaceXAI merges with Tesla.
This isn't even science fiction anymore: independent committees are already studying the merger. Rockets, satellites, AI, robots, self-driving cars, energy, and now chips. One single entity, integrated from silicon to orbit.
The group climbs to $50 trillion.
Today, SpaceX and Tesla are worth around $3.4 trillion combined. $50 trillion sounds insane. But remember: ten years ago, Nvidia was worth a few tens of billions. When you own superintelligence, the robots that do the work and the rockets that go to space, you don't capture a market. You capture the economy.
Elon buys Nvidia.
Meanwhile, Nvidia without Jensen does what every company does after losing its founder: it manages. It protects its margins. It loses ground to its own customers' in-house chips. And one day, it becomes a target. For a $50 trillion group, buying Nvidia is just one acquisition among others.
Jensen becomes the chip boss again.
He takes over the semiconductor division of the new entity. Pushed out of his own company, he gets it back from above, inside the largest industrial group in history.
Sounds crazy? Steve Jobs did exactly that. Pushed out of Apple, he came back when Apple bought NeXT. You know the rest.
Nvidia's board thinks it's getting rid of a problem.
It's creating the biggest competitor in its history.
See you in five years.
My 2 cents on Jensen story. Hes "too big to fail". You cant remove the guy who basically fuels AI and computing power to 90% of applications.
All these stories will turn into a nothingburger shortly. Nvda will get a decent fine for "maybe" circumventing some restrictions (if that ever happened) and everything goes back to normal.
Just not doable - imho.
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THIS IS THE MOST DANGEROUS DEAL IN THE ENTIRE AI BOOM.
Anthropic needs Broadcom's AI chips to run Claude.
It does not buy them directly.
Instead, Wall Street banks and Blackstone put $63 billion into a separate company, and that company buys the chips from Broadcom.
That company then rents the chips to Anthropic.
Over the life of these leases, Anthropic owes about $161 billion in rent on Broadcom equipment.
So where does Anthropic get the money to pay that rent?
Partly from Broadcom.
Broadcom has agreed to lend Anthropic up to $42 billion, and that money can only be used to pay rent on Broadcom's equipment.
Broadcom sells the chips, then lends the customer money to pay for them.
If Anthropic cannot pay the loan back in cash, Broadcom can take Anthropic shares instead.
So why is this dangerous?
First, the sales are not as real as they look. When a company lends its customer the money to pay its bills, part of its revenue is just its own cash coming back.
Second, everything depends on one customer. Broadcom's own filing warns about its dependence on a small number of customers for AI chip demand.
Anthropic alone owes $161 billion on its equipment.
Third, Anthropic does not have the revenue yet. It made $16.96 billion last quarter but has committed $895.4 billion to compute.
Many of these contracts must be paid even if Anthropic never uses the capacity.
Fourth, the chips are the collateral. AI chips lose value fast as newer models come out. If Anthropic cannot pay, lenders are left holding equipment worth far less than the debt.
If AI demand slows, the whole chain breaks at once.
Anthropic misses payments, Broadcom loses its biggest customer and its loan, and the banks and Blackstone take losses on the debt.
This exact setup played out in 1999 and 2000.
Lucent and Nortel lent billions to their own customers to keep equipment sales growing. When those customers went bust, the loans were never repaid, and both stocks collapsed.
The current situation is getting dangerously close to the dot-com bubble.
…Just imagine being a seasoned $INTC holder who finally saw some light few months ago after 20 years of painful awaiting… just to be back there again in a span of days.
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The funny thing is that if mkts gai. Just 1% from here to close (some short covering) we would be sitting on a h4bulldiv ipersold which is the only TA that really works. Fun times.
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$TSLA stock tomorrow
Musk supporting Altam supporting Amodei. This is the headline. And this should scare anybody more than any essay, article or opinion.
Something already happened and not “will likely happen”.
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Scary from every angle
We Must Pace the Frontier: I’ve written a new essay on why the AI industry should slow down, with a three-part plan for doing so.
Anthropic is unilaterally committing to the first of these steps. We’ll provide third-party evaluators with permanent, employee-level access to our systems, so that they can verify adherence to our safety measures, report on incidents, and assess models’ alignment during training.
You can read the full post here: darioamodei.com/post/we-must…
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