RV의멱함수라고 생각한다.
This is the most rigorous Bitcoin paper
I've read. I've been studying —
and testing — it for 20 days.
scientificbitcoininstitute.o…
Dr. Santostasi and Dr. Perrenod gave us the ruler —
and the imagination to see the oscillator.
Together: the most falsifiable framework
in crypto economics.
The Power Law isn't just a model —
it's the most precise ruler we have
for measuring where Bitcoin stands.
Most models describe the past.
The Power Law keeps passing tests
it was never designed for.
"Isn't β=5.69 just curve-fitting?"
Fair question.
So I ran a test the paper didn't.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Materials & Methods
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Data: Daily closing price and non-zero balance
address count (BitcoinMagazinePro,
2010-08-17 to 2026-06-04, n=5,771).
Model: log₁₀P(t) = log₁₀A + β·log₁₀(t)
where t = days since Genesis Block (2009-01-03).
Out-of-sample design:
The power law was fitted exclusively on data
up to the freeze date, with zero observations
from the test period used in estimation.
Two freeze points were tested:
① Freeze at 2016-07-08 (2nd halving)
Training: n=2,153 | Test: n=3,617 (10 years)
② Freeze at 2020-05-10 (3rd halving)
Training: n=3,555 | Test: n=2,215 (6 years)
Residuals computed as:
ε = log₁₀(P_observed / P_predicted)
normalized by in-sample σ.
Mean residual and area integrals
(trapezoidal rule) applied to test period only.
The out-of-sample test was my idea.
Computation and analysis executed with
Claude Opus 4.8 (Anthropic).
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Froze the power law using data up to 2016 only (β=5.717).
Then measured the following 10 years it had never seen.
Result: mean residual −0.05σ. Effectively zero.
Frozen at 2020 instead → next 6 years, −0.13σ.
Same story.
The line drawn in 2016 ran straight through the next decade.
That's not fitting. That's forecasting.
The Power Law: powerful because it can be broken —
and hasn't been.
Knowing where we are won't tell us when things will happen — but it tells us exactly what to do now.
Buy Bitcoin Now.
@Giovann35084111 @moneyordebt @ScientificBTC
@saylor @natbrunell
#Bitcoin #PowerLaw
DC BitMax retweeted
Días atras 400 Mawozo mostraba su casa con orgullo era su bien mas preciado producto de su trabajo arduo te matar y secuertar personas, esa casa era su trofeo, hoy esta en cenizas.🤣
DC BitMax retweeted
Americans need a reminder of the brutality of Islam
Not that long ago, in 2015 Muslims walked out 21 Christian men they captured onto a beach. They filmed a video declaring this was a warning to Christians and decapitated them all
This is what we are inviting into your country
Again, this is not something that happened in the ancient world, or way in the past. This was in 2015, this is happening right now to Christians in modern day by Muslims
What do you thinks going to happen when they gain majority and take over our government
The men were forced to wear orange jumpsuits, their hands were bound, they were marched along the shore, forced to kneel, and then beheaded
Their final words were “Lord Jesus”
We need mass deportations of Muslims from America
DC BitMax retweeted
Primer ministro haitiano viajará a el salvador para pedir y negociar que el ejército de #bukele🇸🇻 que mantenga por mas tiempo en haiti...
DC BitMax retweeted
DID YOU KNOW??
The most notorious and powerful gang leader in Haiti, a former elite police officer named Jimmy Chérizier, allegedly got his famous nickname "Barbecue" not because of his violent reputation for burning down neighborhoods, but because his mother ran a popular fried chicken stall on the streets of Port-au-Prince when he was a child.
Before becoming a warlord, Chérizier was an officer in the Special Forces of the Haitian National Police (UDMO). His mother raised eight children by selling fried chicken on a street corner, leading locals to call him "Barbecue" from a young age.
Although Chérizier insists on this innocent origin story, his political enemies and human rights groups claim the name stuck because of his documented history of setting fire to entire neighborhoods and burning victims during extrajudicial massacres.
What makes Haiti's gang crisis historically unique is how these armed groups evolved from neighborhood gangs into a pseudo-state paramilitary force that effectively shut down the government.
In early 2024, Chérizier orchestrated an unprecedented truce between fierce rival gang alliances (the G9 Family and G-Pèp). Calling their united front Viv Ansanm ("Live Together"), the coalition raided the national penitentiary, freeing over 4,000 inmates, seized control of the international airport, trapped the Prime Minister outside the country, and took control of roughly 80% of the capital city. Walk with me 👇🏾 👇🏾
The Evolution of Political Paramilitarism in Haiti:
1. The Tonton Macoutes Precedent
1950s–1980s
Dictator François "Papa Doc" Duvalier created a brutal private paramilitary force (the Tonton Macoutes) to bypass the regular military, establishing a historical precedent of political leaders arming local street enforcers.
2. The 'Chimères' Era
2000s–2010s
Politicians across rival factions regularly armed youth gangs (Chimères) in urban shantytowns like Cité Soleil to control voting precincts and suppress political protests.
3. Formation of the G9 Alliance
June 2020
Ex-cop Jimmy Chérizier united nine major Port-au-Prince gangs into the G9 Family and Allies, using police armor and state connections to establish an economic monopoly over fuel terminals and ports.
4. Viv Ansanm & State Paralysis
2024–Present
Rival alliances set aside decades of bloodshed to form the unified Viv Ansanm front, storming national prisons, ousting the Prime Minister, and controlling 80%+ of Port-au-Prince.
More Surprising Facts About Haiti's Gangs:
A. Usurping National Ceremonies: In October 2021, Chérizier forced Prime Minister Ariel Henry to flee the official national memorial service for revolutionary founding father Jean-Jacques Dessalines. Minutes later, Chérizier arrived at the monument dressed in an immaculate white suit with a black tie, laying a wreath himself as if he were the head of state.
B. Controlling the Terminal Gate: Rather than relying purely on extortion or drug smuggling, Haiti's gangs amassed immense power by blockading the Varreux fuel terminal. Because Haiti relies entirely on imported fuel for electricity and transportation, controlling the terminal allowed the gangs to bring the country's hospitals, banks, and communications to a complete standstill at will.
C. The Role of Foreign Arms: Haiti does not manufacture weapons or ammunition. UN investigations revealed that the vast majority of high-powered assault rifles (including Barrett .50-caliber sniper rifles and AR-15 variants) used by Haitian gangs are illegally smuggled from Florida via commercial cargo shipping containers.
SUMMARILY!
Haiti's gangs evolved from state-sponsored political enforcers into a unified paramilitary coalition led by ex-cop Jimmy "Barbecue" Chérizier, whose childhood nickname belies his role in taking over 80% of the nation's capital.
Hopefully you've learnt something new today?
The Medic Who Writes™🌚
Cheers 🥂 🙂
ALT Gang leader Jimmy “Barbecue" Cherizier poses for a picture with gang members in Port-au-Prince, Haiti.
ALT Hundreds of Haitians who fled the gang violence live in tents outside a displacement center in Port-au-Prince.
ALT Haitian police inspect documents at a checkpoint on a street leading from the city center to the port. It is one of the rare places controlled by police, photojournalist Giles Clarke said
The Haitian gang leader who hijacked a bus full of American missionaries in 2021, an 8-month-old baby on board, and swore on camera he'd put a bullet in every one of their heads unless he got $17 million is now writing letters to the UN asking for peace talks.
He finally ran into somebody who won't pay.
His name is Wilson Joseph, and his gang is called 400 Mawozo. On October 18, four Salvadoran air force technicians got ambushed out on the same plain east of Port-au-Prince that his letter came from. Nobody has claimed it, and the four haven't been seen since.
Bukele's answer went out three days later, written in Haitian Creole and aimed straight at the gang bosses. If those four came back hurt, he'd finish Haiti's gangs the same way he finished the ones back home. Then he laid out the other side of the deal. Bring them back alive and every Salvadoran soldier leaves Haiti that same day.
About a week later he had 2,000 troops on the ground, with El Salvador picking up 90% of the tab.
Kidnapping down there works like a business. A hostage is worth whatever the other side will give up to get him back, and the people who track Haitian gangs read this ambush as a play for exactly that, a way to force talks and keep troops out of gang neighborhoods. Bukele took that leverage off the table in public, on day three.
Which is how you get the letter. It's dated November 1 and addressed to the UN Secretary-General, and it calls 400 Mawozo a "rebel group" that "officially raised the white flag" back on August 20. That would be two full months before the ambush.
The letter also spends a good chunk of its two pages worrying about the safety of children. His UN sanctions listing cites recruiting kids.
A few days later somebody tagged Bukele in a post that supposedly showed Joseph's house, and Bukele replied asking for the exact address so they could destroy it. The gang's next letter called that house a symbol of peace.
Think about how big a swing this is for El Salvador. It's a country of about 6 million people with an army of roughly 20,500, so it sent close to one out of every ten soldiers it has to go get four guys. The UN-backed gang force the rest of the world has spent a year building has about 2,000 of the 5,500 troops it was promised, and El Salvador matched that in a week. The UN's history in Haiti makes the comparison sting even more. Its last big mission there ran 13 years and cost more than $7 billion, and its own peacekeepers brought in a cholera outbreak that killed close to 10,000 Haitians.
The UN says receiving the letter doesn't mean it recognizes or endorses anything. Joseph is still under UN and US sanctions, and now his gang has gone to Haiti's own disarmament commission too, asking for military operations to stop in some areas.
Those four technicians still haven't been found three weeks in, and none of this is a win until they come home. Kidnapping only pays when somebody on the other side is willing to deal, though. Joseph built a whole career on that, and right now he's the one waiting by the phone.
DC BitMax retweeted
>4 of his men are kidnapped
>Invades his enemies territory with his legions
>Pledges to wipe out Haiti's gangs
>Calls them cowards in their own language
>Utterly destroys his enemies
>Local population cheer him as a liberator
>Posts edits of his army winning every fight
Chad
DC BitMax retweeted
와 개충격이네 김승원보다 더한 놈이 올 줄은
재단 대표를 맡았던 시절, 이 건물에선 이른바 지하혁명조직, 'RO'의 행사가 수차례 열린 걸로 알려졌습니다.
'RO'는 당시 체제전복을 모의한 조직이란 의혹을 받았고, 헌법재판소는 통합진보당 해산 결정에서 조직의 존재를 사실상 인정한 바 있습니다.
naver.me/5MvINSNH
DC BitMax retweeted
극한으로 추잡한 짓만 골라서 하며 살았다는 것 조차 이재명과 동종
[단독] 이용철, 청와대 비서관 때 ‘5·18 보상금’ 신청…기각되자 소송까지 (출처 : 네이버 뉴스) naver.me/x52pIEwa
![[단독] 이용철, 청와대 비서관 때 ‘5·18 보상금’ 신청…기각되자 소송까지](https://pbs.twimg.com/card_img/2120434512064864256/2RPhy_2S?format=jpg&name=800x419)
DC BitMax retweeted
<스레드 펌>
결국 이번 엔비디아 사태의 주범은 전세계 화교 카르텔이라는 게 드러났음
threads.com/share/BAUiPcG_mq
DC BitMax retweeted
하 ㅜㅜ 쩩슨황 이용만 당한거야...???
불륜녀 (꽃뱀) 남자도 있었다규..??? ㅅㅂㄴ아!!
아니 멋진형이 이렇게 호구되기 있어...??
앨리스 황 오랜 연인 따로 있었다
젠슨 황 엔비디아 최고경영자가 외도를
인정한 앨리스 황에게 오랜 연인이자
동업자인 중국 금융인이 따로 있었다는
보도가 나와 파장이 일고 있습니다
영국 파이낸셜타임스 등에 따르면 그는
중국 사모펀드 창업자 캉웨이와 약 10년간
함께 일하며 지분을 넘겨받았고 실제
부부 사이라는 증언도 나왔다고 합니다
그녀는 가족과 중국 싱가포르 말레이시아를
잇는 법인망을 구축한 뒤 젠슨 황과의
친분을 활용해 엔비디아 고성능 AI 칩
24만 개를 중국에 우회 공급한 혐의입니다
이렇게 빼돌려진 첨단 반도체들은
알리바바와 텐센트 등 중국 기업들의
AI 모델 학습에 사용된 것으로 전해집니다
결국 중국 정보기관 간첩 의혹까지 받는
인물에게 젠슨 황이 반도체 유출 통로로
철저히 이용당한 정황이 드러나고 있습니다
#젠슨황 #앨리스황
DC BitMax retweeted
젠슨 황 불륜녀
10조원어치 AI칩 중국에 빼돌려 ㄷㄷㄷ
- 앨리스 황이 젠슨 황과의 친분을 이용해 엔비디아 AI 반도체를 중국에 우회 공급.
- 중국·싱가포르·말레이시아에 걸친 복잡한 기업망을 통해 거래함.
- 유출된 반도체는 H100, H200, A100 등 약 24만 개, 규모는 최소 75억 달러(약 10조 원).
- 알리바바·텐센트 등 중국 기업들이 AI 학습에 활용한 것으로 알려짐.
- 미국·대만·싱가포르 당국이 조사에 나섰으며, 관련 사업은 현재도 진행 중이라는 보도.
중국 AI 발전에 큰 기여했네 젠슨황…😐
이거 사실로 밝혀지면 젠슨황 감옥가려나?
