Prediction markets for beginners Prediction markets let you trade on what you think will happen, not just price charts. Instead of asking “Will this go up?” you ask “Will this event happen?” Examples: • Team wins a match • Candidate wins an election • Project launches before a date You’re trading probability. What does “¢ (cents)” mean? Each market is priced from 0c to 100c. • 100c = 100% chance • 50c = 50% chance • 20c = 20% chance If you buy at 30c and later sell at 60c, you doubled your money. Simple. How a newbie should use prediction markets: Start with events you already understand. Don’t overthink. Don’t trade everything. Pick clear situations. Ask yourself: • Is this being underpriced? • Is the crowd too emotional? • Do I have better info or logic? If yes → trade. If no → skip. Sports as a case study Sports are great for beginners because: • Clear rules • Fast outcomes • Lots of public bias Example: • A strong team loses 1 game • Market overreacts • Odds drop too low That’s opportunity. You’re not betting on vibes you’re betting on probability correcting itself. Politics as a case study Politics is slower but powerful. Markets move on: • Polls • Headlines • Narratives • Emotions Often: • Fear brings mispricing • Confidence brings overpriced odds The edge comes from patience and calm thinking, not hot takes. Market resolving (important): Every prediction market has a resolution condition. That means: • When the event ends • Who decides the outcome • What counts as “Yes” or “No” Always read this. Many beginners lose money by trading a market they don’t fully understand. BIG lesson: You don’t need to stay till the end This is where most people get it wrong. You do NOT need to wait for resolution to make profit. You can: • Buy low • Let sentiment change • Sell higher • Exit early Professional traders care about: price movement not waiting till the end Final mindset (TD;LR) Prediction markets reward: • Clarity • Patience • Discipline They punish: • Emotions • Overconfidence • All in behavior Think in probabilities. Take profits when you have them. Live to trade the next market. That’s how you win. Winners win , Get Bizzy .

Tried local prediction markets -7 days, 7 wins And my tg members are already positioned for tomorrow Winners win.

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Minted my conso nft And won on day 6 Code for today already in the gc That’s 6 days of straight wins on local prediction markets Time to start aping with size Bizzy

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Eligible for 3 conso bots now Last day on fuyo was alright ✅ My local predictions still going ✅ Bonus : someone is making me smile for the first time in a while Had a good day , good night