Physicist turned engineer. Ready to travel for a good time.
Atlanta, GA
Joined September 2011
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Daniel Benjamin retweeted
THE 15% BAND
Look at this chart.
59 races. Senate and governor.
States ordered from reddest to bluest in 2024.
The solid lines are 2024.
The dashed lines are 2026.
The shaded bands are what moved.
One formula fits all of it:
Republican 2026 = 0.85 × Trump 2024
Democrat 2026 = Harris 2024 + 0.15 × Trump 2024
For every 1,000 Trump points, 850 stayed Republican. 150 landed on the Democratic side.
The numbers:
Senate: Republicans kept ~85% of Trump’s share
Governor: ~86%
Variation explained: 88%
What makes it strange:
It didn’t matter how red the state was. Wyoming, Ohio, Illinois, Massachusetts: same 15% (p = 0.69). The Democratic gain was sized by Trump’s vote, not Harris’s. The Harris part is zero.
The 0.85 beat both standard election-swing models in every set of races.
Drop any single state and the multiplier stays between 0.846 and 0.853.
Why seats flipped:
At 0.85, any state where Trump got under about 58.5% falls below 50%. Texas, Kansas, Iowa, Ohio, South Carolina, North Carolina: all under that line. All flipped.
What this means:
Midterms are messy. This one isn’t. Two sets of races, different candidates, different campaigns, and the same 15% decrease almost everywhere.
A pattern this even demands answers at the ballot level: paper ballot hand counts, poll-book check-ins against votes counted, and voter files showing who actually turned out.
The numbers raise the question.
The ballots can answer it.
Good morning friends. God sees what you’re struggling with. With that impossible situation you’re going through, He will guide you through it. Stay strong knowing that the God of the universe cares for you.
Luke 1:37
For with God nothing shall be impossible.
Good morning friends. At the time when things seem the darkest, is when amazing things can happen, and great change comes. I wish you all the blessings of God today.
Philippians 4:6-9
Be careful for nothing; but in every thing by prayer and supplication with thanksgiving let your requests be made known unto God.
And the peace of God, which passeth all understanding, shall keep your hearts and minds through Christ Jesus.
Finally, brethren, whatsoever things are true, whatsoever things are honest, whatsoever things are just, whatsoever things are pure, whatsoever things are lovely, whatsoever things are of good report; if there be any virtue, and if there be any praise, think on these things.
Those things, which ye have both learned, and received, and heard, and seen in me, do: and the God of peace shall be with you.
Daniel Benjamin retweeted
Get some flashlights, maybe a candle or two and some water. See you on the other side!
Daniel Benjamin retweeted
When I look up at the sky I'm Grateful.
Every Single Time.
Not because I imagine there's some imaginary heaven up there.
It's because I Know God Built us a Real Heaven Down Here.
Don’t go along with it.
Unfortunately once the results are in & peope are conceding, it’s over. I spent the day after the elections calling some of the most informed on fraud & all of them were laughing at the numbers. It is a dead giveaway. But the public at large won’t believe it & those now in power will cry foul & target anyone who tries to challenge it. This is why I say out election system is captured. In Califoria the results are ridiculous because not content with taking the state, they went after Orange County too & succeeded in the steal there. They poured &140 million into the Senate race in Texas - much of it outside money. What happened here is exactly what one of the Venezuelan engineers involved in the steal in 2020 told U.S. investigators - “one of the goals was to flip Texas blue.” They put their man from Smartmatic on the ground in Dallas, a man called Haider Garcia, who was unceremoniously & very publicly kicked out of the Philippines after being accused by their parliament of engineering election fraud over there. He turned the first county he went to in Texas blue in one election cycle - a county that had been red for decades. Then he helped set up the infrastructure to do it all across Texas. Now they have succeeded & most people, including Republicans, are just going to go along with it.
Daniel Benjamin retweeted
Florida is like that one place in “I Am Legend” at the end of the movie that didn’t get destroyed by the plague.
And if Miami/South FL would have reverted to its 2016-18 splits, it would have gone under too.
Daniel Benjamin retweeted
James Clerk Maxwell died exactly 147 years ago today, aged 48 of the same abdominal cancer that had killed his mother at the same age, when he was 8 years old.
That same year Albert Einstein was born. Einstein kept 3 portraits on his wall: Newton, Faraday, and Maxwell.
Good morning friends. I’ve wished so many times, that now is the time for everything to go right and justice finally prevail. God’s plans are perfect and his time is right. I’ll wait for him until eternity.
Galatians 6:9-10
And let us not be weary in well doing: for in due season we shall reap, if we faint not.
As we have therefore opportunity, let us do good unto all men, especially unto them who are of the household of faith.