Ausar Thompson: • 98th% turnover generation • 94th% defensive shot selection • 89th% offensive rebounds +3.82 ARC per 100 possessions Curry: 31st pct in those decomps, but 100th in offensive conversion ARC +5.79: 50% more impact per possession Offensive Conversion is law.

Contemporary all-in-one impact metrics often regress box score actions onto RAPM to find their weights. A fitted model can give a steal about 3 times the value of a point scored leaving us with an opaque number that can't be decomposed into how or the degree they affect the game why not just count em up? Introducing ARC v3 An Expected Box Value Prior RAPM (EBV RAPM) That aims to quantify impact using possession by possession accounting 🧵