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Model prediction for UFC Vegas 123
Lucia Szabova 68% Submission
āØPiera Rodriguez 57% Decision
āØJoseph Kropschot 68% Submission
āØJulian Erosa 52% Submission
āØRodrigo Sezinando 56% KO/TKO
āØFrancis Marshall 52% Decision
āØZach Reese 64% KO/TKO
āØJean-Paul Lebosnoyani 58% Decision
āØCody Durden 52% Decision
āØLuana Santos 62% Decision
āØJacobe Smith 72% KO/TKO
āØRenato Moicano 52% Submission
I love Moicano and Iām biased so fuck it lol. That Chris Duncan fight was so beautiful last time out so Iām going back to well this weekend hehe
Letās go money show levels again
CLV target #2 for UFC Vegas 123 is gonna be Moicano by sub +200
Think Moicano can get a takedown and end it on the mat like he did to duncan.
If there is one fight I would recommend to stay away from next weekend itās this one.
Why? Randy aināt no pushover and is a big jump in competition. This aināt no can.. this is one of those situations where if Randy survives round 1 heās live to win. If somehow jacobe makes this look easy then we know heās the real deal. Donāt go crazy on this fight given the unknowns. Probably a dog or pass situation but even then idkā¦.
CLV Target #1 for UFC Vegas 123 is the under 2.5 in the Lisboa fight.
Lisboa has been finished in 2/3 of her last few fights. Lucia has a 75% finish rate and has finished her opponents in 2/3 of last fights. I genuinely think sheās gonna finish Lisboa. She has solid striking and a ground game as well.
The DC vs Reyes feud was not on my bingo. I do think itās weird how DC calls everyone ākidā heās like 36 years old šš
Final results:
Fighter: 10-3 (76%)
Methods 9-4 (69%)
YTD fighter: 123/191 (64%)
YTD Method: 108/191 (56%)
Model predictions for UFC 333:
Kody Steele ā 65.5% ā KO/TKO
āØIasmin Lucindo ā 83.2% ā Decision
āØDaniel Santos ā 50.0% ā KO/TKO
āØAbubakar Vagaev ā 55.0% ā Decision
āØGrant Dawson ā 54.0% ā Decision
āØCam Rowston ā 62.2% ā KO/TKO
āØAbdul Rakhman Yakhyaev ā 72.8% ā KO/TKO
āØAzamat Murzakanov ā 65.6% ā KO/TKO
āØAaron Pico ā 59.8% ā KO/TKO
āØAlexander Volkov ā 57.5% ā Decision
āØLone'er Kavanagh ā 54.0% ā Decision
āØPetr Yan ā 54.3% ā Decision
āØMovsar Evloev ā 54.3% ā Decision
Daricon retweeted
Dariconās š or the week for UFC 333 is going to beā¦
Over 2.5 in jacob fight and under 1.5 in Yakhyaev fight at + money currently.
Nikita taking this fight way too soon imo after getting knocked out by Whittaker⦠supposedly he broke his jaw but who knows. Either way this is a bad matchup for Nikita⦠Yakh is younger faster and hits harder. I think we are getting another first round tko because letās be real Nikitaās chin is gone.
The jacob vs vagaev fight both guys have a combined 27 wins by decision. They are not finishers at all⦠remember jacob went to decision with corpse of GM3ā¦
Like the value here a lot and def see these lines getting wider closer to fight day.
Currently 10-4 on š looking to make it 11-4!
Show some ā¤ļø if you tailing
2-0 on free bets show some ā¤ļø
My second free bet for you all this week for UFC 333 is a big one.
Give me Petr Yan and still champion!
Now look donāt get me wrong merab is a solid fighter and is good at what he does. He won the belt for a reason and defended it for a reason.
Main reason why Iām backing Petr here is for a couple of reasons:
One - I think Petr is the more well rounded fighter here - he is a solid striker and can mix in takedowns as well. He also has solid takedown defense. We saw how effective he was last fight fully on point no broken arm. Even if he does get taken down I donāt see it keeping him there.
Two - a big red flag to me was what Merab said after the last fight. āWhen I realized I couldnāt take him down, I just wanted to have funā. That does not to me embody someone who is mentally strong. If your first instinct when takedowns donāt work is to just have fun thatās a massive red flag to me. That statement indicated to me that he mentally checked out when going got tough.
Lastly - this is a big one that I donāt see talked about a lot⦠that is the fact that Merab has a broken nose. He admitted that he was told to get surgery but if he did heād be out for a year. This is another massive red flag to me. Canāt trust the guy to be 100%
Give me Petr Yan to solidify himself as the greatest bantamweight on the planet.
Show some ā¤ļø if you tailing š«”
Daricon retweeted
My second free bet for you all this week for UFC 333 is a big one.
Give me Petr Yan and still champion!
Now look donāt get me wrong merab is a solid fighter and is good at what he does. He won the belt for a reason and defended it for a reason.
Main reason why Iām backing Petr here is for a couple of reasons:
One - I think Petr is the more well rounded fighter here - he is a solid striker and can mix in takedowns as well. He also has solid takedown defense. We saw how effective he was last fight fully on point no broken arm. Even if he does get taken down I donāt see it keeping him there.
Two - a big red flag to me was what Merab said after the last fight. āWhen I realized I couldnāt take him down, I just wanted to have funā. That does not to me embody someone who is mentally strong. If your first instinct when takedowns donāt work is to just have fun thatās a massive red flag to me. That statement indicated to me that he mentally checked out when going got tough.
Lastly - this is a big one that I donāt see talked about a lot⦠that is the fact that Merab has a broken nose. He admitted that he was told to get surgery but if he did heād be out for a year. This is another massive red flag to me. Canāt trust the guy to be 100%
Give me Petr Yan to solidify himself as the greatest bantamweight on the planet.
Show some ā¤ļø if you tailing š«”














