EWU Legend ➡️ Patriots WR #86 💙❤️ | Chism III Franklin Arias FC
Joined February 2022
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ChismEnthusiast retweeted
Bengals @ Falcons, 9:30 ET. 10,000 sims.
CIN 28, ATL 25 (Bengals win 59%)
Our bet: Kyle Pitts anytime TD Sim 38% vs Kalshi 26¢
Every pick on the record. Results Tuesday. 21+ · not betting advice
ChismEnthusiast retweeted
CJ CARR IS NOW THE FAVORITE TO WIN THE HEISMAN @FanDuel 😱
NOTRE DAY IS SMOKING MIAMI 🍿
(via @NBCSports)
I already know how tonight is gonna go.
Miami fans being talking smack all week about “next man up”, cliche. But if they lose tonight there will be so many excuses. We didn’t have Malachi. That game doesn’t count.
Miami fans are so unbearable due to their lack of low intelligence.
Celtics with a great game tonight.
I thought we were playing an nba team but I swear I saw a high school team out there. Can anyone confirm?
ChismEnthusiast retweeted
Projections that landed: Lawrence: sim 234 pass yds, actual 242 Washington: sim 59 rec yds, actual 61 Henry: sim 19 carries, actual 17
Our 80% ranges caught 13 of 16 player stat lines. That's what a calibrated sim should do.
ChismEnthusiast retweeted
TNF recap: JAX 33, BAL 10 🏈
Our sim's top 5 most likely TD scorers: 3 found the end zone. ✅ Parker Washington (34%) ✅ Chris Rodriguez Jr. (28%) ✅ Bhayshul Tuten (28%) ❌ Derrick Henry (42%) ❌ Jakobi Meyers (30%)
Expected about 1.6 of 5. Got 3.
ChismEnthusiast retweeted
Fun one to compare. Our sim had Meyers at 43 rec yds (got 65), Lawrence 234 pass yds (242), Washington 59 (61). Our top 5 TD picks went 3 for 5. Full recap 👇
I don’t know who needs to hear this but @robpizzola has the worst betting advice on the web. No wonder his podcast is called two hammers, they must have dented his head. If I wanted to lose money, I would listen to this guy.
ChismEnthusiast retweeted
Respect the +26u run. Our 10,000 sims see it tighter: JAX 24.7, BAL 15.3, Jags cover -10 in 47%. Heavy rain in Baltimore tonight favors a low-scoring grind, and 10 is a lot to lay in that. We'd pass the spread, but good luck tonight 🤝
ChismEnthusiast retweeted
Brenton Strange, 10,000 sims vs BAL: 3.8 catches, 44 rec yds (80% of sims: 12–82), 21% anytime TD. Kalshi's at 26¢, so the TD is overpriced tonight. Yards are the better look. Thanks for asking 🤝
ChismEnthusiast retweeted
How it works: every sim game is scored with DK rules (bonuses, DST, kickers), then we check ~215k legal lineups for that game's best one. Lineup % = how often a player made it.
21+ · not betting advice
ChismEnthusiast retweeted
Next most common in the best lineup: Zay Flowers 48%, Parker Washington 41%.
Tuten (Q, didn't practice) has a big ceiling if he plays, but we left him out of our lineups. A Q captain who sits zeros your lineup.
ChismEnthusiast retweeted
TNF DK Showdown: we simmed JAX @ BAL 10,000 times and found the best possible lineup in every game.
Trevor Lawrence was in 79% of them and was the top captain (24%).
ChismEnthusiast retweeted
Check out my guy @paydirtsims
Real edge
No BS
Free and paid tiers.
