The “Everything Is Priced In” chart.
It documents the biggest catalysts and news events throughout each cycle, and more importantly, what tends to happen shortly after them.
During every bear market, $BTC gets hit with endless bad news that fuels downside. But once the HTF trend starts shifting, that same negative news becomes what I call FUD through the bull cycle.
People become so conditioned to shorting bad news because throughout the bear cycle, negative headlines usually led to lower prices. But when BTC enters a bull cycle and begins doing the inverse, (absorbing the bad news and moving higher), they get caught completely off guard.
The headlines still create panic. People still expect lower. But instead of continuing the downtrend, BTC begins absorbing the fear and trending higher regardless.
There is usually one major catalyst that confirms the continuation. Last cycle, it was the ETF approval. This cycle, I believe it will be the Clarity Act.
We have already seen the early signs of it. The rate hike, Clarity Act speculation and then the failure of the Act were all treated as reasons for BTC to sell off further. Instead, BTC swept the lows and showed strength.
That is the difference between a bear market and a bull market. In a bear market, bad news pushes price lower. In a bull market, bad news is used to make people capitulate before price moves higher.
Now we have had the rate hike, the Clarity Act failure, and even World War 3 narratives trending. Yet BTC is starting to react positively to the fear rather than negatively.
To me, that resilience is one of the clearest signs that the trend has changed. I see no reason these catalysts should play out any differently to previous bull cycle FUD events.
Likes/RTs are appreciated, spent a while creating this.
Duy Vi retweeted
LATEST: 🇮🇷Iran’s Foreign Minister delivers a brutal jab to Marco Rubio’s proposal
🇺🇸Sec. of State Marco Rubio: "Iran could be the richest country in the Middle East if they trust the United States."
Abbas Araghchi: "Look how prosperous Syria, Afghanistan, and Iraq became after they trusted the United States."
Duy Vi retweeted
New Liquidation Levels identification model.
Here is a test using Bitfinex over the last 6 years, applying a weight based on whale positions.
More exchanges in the thread.
Duy Vi retweeted
🗓️2026 June Crypto + Market Calendar
wen clarity...
We need to keep a close eye on the BOJ
Events
June 1: $BNB — Binance New Product @binance
June 1: $NVDA — Announce
June 1: $NVDA — Computex & GTC
June 1: $VVV — Emission Reduction 5M -> 4M @AskVenice
June 2: $ARX — Arcium TGE @Arcium
June 2: $SEI — Joint Whitepaper with MasterCard @SeiNetwork
June 2: US — US Spectrum Auction Kicks Off
June 2: US — RUBIO TO TESTIFY
June 3: $AVGO — Earnings
June 3: KR — South Korean local elections
June 3: $PENGU — Pudgy Penguins x MetaMask commemorative SBT @pudgypenguins
June 4: $HOME — Perps Open - Revenue buyback 80% @defiapp
June 4: $SPCX — SpaceX Road Show
June 4: $TEA — $TEA TGE @teaprotocol
June 5: Iran War — Next US-Iran Meeting
June 5: $SUI — $15.15M(2.07% of Float) Unlock
June 6: $HYPE — 534k $HYPE(~$34M) Unlock
June 7: OPEC+ — Ministerial Meeting on Oil Production
June 8: $AAPL — SPECIAL EVENT AT APPLE PARK
June 8: CME — Nasdaq CME Crypto Index futures
June 8: $COIN — CFTC-regulated Coinbase derivatives trading
June 8: $ETH — ETH Conf with Wallstreet @ethconf
June 8: $STRC — Semi-Monthly STRC Dividends Vote Ends
June 10: $MNT — Hackathon Phase 2 Winner @Mantle_Official
June 10: $ORCL — Earnings
June 10: US — CPI
June 11: $BELIEVE — Ben Pasternak in court @believeapp
June 11: US — PPI
June 11: WorldCup — FIFA World Cup 2026™
June 12: $RUNE — (~mid)Mainnet v3.19 & Trading Resume @THORChain
June 12: $SPCX — SpaceX IPO
June 15: BOJ — Rates Decision
June 15: $NKN — Delisted by Upbit
June 17: FOMC — Interest Rates
June 17: $SPK — $21.53M(27.08% of Float) Unlock
June 18: MSCI — Results of the Global Market Accessibility Review
June 20: $ENA — Termination of certain chains & Ether migration Deadline @ethena
June 20: $ZRO — $29.56M(4.83% of Float) Unlock
June 23: $MEGA — $15.84M(32.83% of Float) Unlock
June 23: $MEGA — Season 1 Sunset @megaeth
June 23: MSCI — Annual Market Classification Review
June 24: $BERA — Fusaka Integration on BERA @berachain
June 24: $H — $98.26(9.41% of Float) Unlock
June 24: $MU — Earnings
June 25: US — PCE
June 26: $BTC — 60M call on Bitcoin(For now)
June 26: $SAHARA — $33.19M(30.10% of Float) Unlock
June 27: $LUNC — 'Juris' Lending Platform Launch @LunaClassicHQ
June 29: $OXT — Delisted By Upbit
June 30: $STRC — Payout day
June 30: US — JOLTS
June 30: $VIC — Prometheus network upgrade @BuildOnViction
TBA in June
June 30: USA — Clarity Bill Senate vote (TBA)
June 30: EU — EU may start membership negotiations with Ukraine (TBA)
June 30: $NEAR — Dynamic resharding & post-quantum-safe signing (TBA) @NEARProtocol
June 30: $NOCK — AI Inference Market Launch (TBA) @nockchain
June 30: OKX — Prediction Market for WorldCup (TBA) @okx
June 30: $CC — Mainnet v3.5 (TBA) @CantonNetwork
* * *
💞 Please Like + Retweet if you enjoy this June Crypto Calendar.
➬ Follow me @layerggofficial for more
🔗Sharing is welcome, just a nod to the source would be appreciated.
Duy Vi retweeted
Woe to those who manipulate religion and the very name of God for their own military, economic, and political gain, dragging that which is sacred into darkness and filth. #ApostolicJourney #Cameroon vatican.va/content/leo-xiv/e…
Duy Vi retweeted
Công ty Strategy của Michael Saylor có thể một lần nữa vượt qua lượng Bitcoin nắm giữ của BlackRock trong vài tuần tới
Duy Vi retweeted
🇺🇸 NATO's Chief Rutte:
"This alliance is not whistling past the graveyard, as you would say in the U.S.
Allies recognize, and I recognize, we are in a period of profound change in the Transatlantic Alliance."
The change = Trump is fed up with NATO.
teapaw.org/clashreport/status/204…
🇺🇸🇮🇱 Trump reportedly just called Netanyahu and told him to tone down the strikes in Lebanon.
Reason: Don’t blow up the Iran ceasefire negotiations.
Even though Lebanon isn’t officially part of the deal, Trump wants Israel to play nice.
Source: @DeltaOne
Duy Vi retweeted
How has the world forgotten?
Will the same happen to South Lebanon? teapaw.org/Gabbar0099/status/2041…
Duy Vi retweeted
$BTC This cycle's overview updated:
Bitcoin still has not made new lows during this conflict, as the previous drop to $60K has not been retested as of now.
So where crypto sold off by itself from October to February, it has held relatively stable thus far during this conflict.
This is while stocks have took quite the dive over the past few weeks. But there also doesn't really seem any risk appetite towards crypto either, keeping us in this limbo phase where it's just a waiting game for the next big move.
Duy Vi retweeted
$BTC Very slow month so far all things considered.
Bitcoin pretty much flat on the month just like last year.
Historically speaking, April is bitcoin's 3rd best month in average returns.
Duy Vi retweeted
Crypto Market — Now Is the Time to Prepare
“Based on Realized Price and profit/loss metrics, Bitcoin is currently positioned slightly above the cycle lows seen in past market bottoms.” – By @DanCoinInvestor
Duy Vi retweeted
Bitcoin just reached a point where there is more Long liquidity than Short liquidity!
This happened faster than we expected.
Just a little more is needed to completely crush the bears’ morale.
That’s when we should become smart bears. It might happen very soon...
I think you need to see our Liquidation Levels. It’s insane!
Duy Vi retweeted
Shorts were liquidated today.
But what comes next?
The 7-day aggregated Liquidation Levels just flipped net long, signaling that short-side pressure was cleared and positioning is now leaning to the long side. However, there is still a relevant liquidation pool sitting around 70k, which means price could revisit that area if liquidity is needed.
On the 30-day view, the structure becomes even clearer.
Two major long liquidation pools are concentrated around 61.5k and 54k.
On the short side, the most significant clusters are around 71k and 75k.
In other words, liquidity is stacked on both sides.
When the market builds pools like this, it rarely moves randomly. It hunts liquidity.
The question is not whether price will move.
The question is which pool gets targeted first.
All charts available at Alphractal.com






































