
Follow for daily polling updates. 397,000 subscribers, YouTube's #1 largest election-focused channel. Owner of https://xitter.cf/t.co/bDpJiY5q0G. @Georgetown ‘27.
Washington, DC
Joined December 2020
- Tweets1.9K
- Following114
- Followers39.7K
- Likes1.6K
Pinned Tweet
Our 2026 Midterm Election Night Megastream will begin at 6P ET on November 3, exclusively on YouTube.
In 2024, our stream was viewed 5.5M times, rivaling CBS, MSNBC, and the Associated Press.
We also outperformed Ben Shapiro, Patrick Bet David, and Jon Stewart.
Make sure you tune in this year to watch the midterms unfold in real time, with balanced and straight-to-the-point analysis.
Link: youtube.com/live/yrQabgj-c8s…
🚨BREAKING: Incumbent Joe Lombardo still leads in his chances to win the Nevada governor's race against Aaron Ford.
Nevada - 2026 Governor (odds)
🟥Joe Lombardo* 65.8%
🟦Aaron Ford 34.2%
Projected Margin: 🟥R+2.4
Nevada is a swing state that has both Senate seats being held by Democrats, and the House delegation being majority Democratic.
Nevada also had Republicans Lombardo and President Donald Trump won the governorship in 2022 and the presidency in 2024 respectively.
Forecast via @Pollsmax.
🚨BREAKING: Incumbent Joe Lombardo still leads against Aaron Ford in the Nevada governor's race, albeit by a single point.
Nevada - 2026 Governor
🟥Joe Lombardo* 48% (+1)
🟦Aaron Ford 47%
See all NV Governor polls @Pollsmax.
Nevada is a swing state that has both Senate seats being held by Democrats, and the House delegation being majority Democratic, BUT also had Republicans Lombardo and President Donald Trump won the governorship in 2022 and the presidency in 2024 respectively.
Global Strategy Group (D) | October 13, 2026 | 700 LV
🚨BREAKING: Incumbent Darline Graham maintains her high odds to win over Annie Andrews in the South Carolina Senate election.
South Caroline - 2026 Senate (odds)
🟥Darline Graham* 82%
🟦Annie Andrews 18%
Darline is the younger sister of the late Lindsey Graham, who had held this seat before her since 2003 before suddenly passing away in July.
Despite Darline's lack of political experience (and criticism of nepotism), she is still the favorite to win this election due to South Carolina's deep-red leanings.
Odds via @Kalshi.
🚨LEAD MAINTAINED: Despite a gradual drop over the last few days, Rick Jackson maintains a marginal lead in his odds to win the Georgia governor's election over Keisha Lance Bottoms.
Georgia - 2026 Governor (odds)
🟥Rick Jackson 51%
🟦Keisha Lance Bottoms 50%
Democrats have not won a gubernatorial election in Georgia since 1998. Bottoms has not led in a poll since AUGUST, forseeing her campaign coming to a demise in November.
Odds via @Kalshi.
🚨VICTORY MAINTAINED: Rick Jackson is STILL projected to win the Georgia governor's race against Keisha Lance Bottoms.
Georgia - 2026 Governor (odds)
🟥Rick Jackson 52.1%
🟦Keisha Lance Bottoms 47.9%
Projected Margin: 🟥R+0.4
Democrats have not won a gubernatorial election in Georgia since 1998, and it doesn't seem like they will break their losing streak this November.
Jackson has led in the last NINE polls, meaning that Bottoms hasn't led a poll since AUGUST. Jackson has also outspent Bottoms TWELVE times over on the ads, effectively paying for the slow death of Bottoms's run.
Forecast via @Pollsmax.
🚨WHAT A STREAK: For the ninth time, Rick Jackson has led against Keisha Lance Bottoms for the Georgia governor's race.
Georgia - 2026 Governor
🟥Rick Jackson 49% (+1.5)
🟦Keisha Lance Bottoms 47.5%
See all GA Governor polls @Pollsmax.
Democrats have not won a gubernatorial election in Georgia since 1998. Bottoms has to pick up the pace, otherwise her lackluster campaign is coming to a demise in November.
Reminder that Jackson has spent $114 million so far this year on ads, while Bottoms has spent a mere $8 million. Also, Bottoms has not led in a poll since AUGUST.
Quantus | October 17, 2026 | 755 LV
🚨BREAKING: Byron Donalds maintains a strong eight-point leading margins against David Jolly in the Florida governor's election.
Florida - 2026 Governor
🟥Byron Donalds 50% (+8)
🟦David Jolly 42%
See all FL Governor polls @Pollsmax.
Republicans have won every gubernatorial election in Florida since 1998. With Donald Trump and the Republicans increasing their state-wide margins of winning since 2014, Donalds is the clear favorite to win.
If Donalds wins, he would become the first African-American governor of Florida, and the first African-American governor elected in the Deep South.
YouGov | October 15, 2026 | 825 RV
🚨VICTORY ASSURED: Byron Donalds maintains his high odds against David Jolly to win the Florida governor's election this coming November.
Florida - 2026 Governor (odds)
🟥Byron Donalds 83%
🟦David Jolly 17%
Projected Margin: 🟥R+6.8
Republicans have won every gubernatorial election in Florida since 1998. With Donald Trump and the Republicans increasing their state-wide margins of winning since 2014, Donalds is the clear favorite to win.
If Donalds wins, he would become the first African-American governor of Florida, and the first African-American governor elected in the Deep South.
On a sidenote, David Jolly, like Charlie Crist, is a former-Republican turned-Democrat.
Forecast via @Pollsmax.
🚨BREAKING: Incumbent Ashley Moody maintains her high chance against Angie Nixon to win the Florida special Senate election.
Florida - 2026 Senate (odds)
🟥Ashley Moody* 91%
🟦Angie Nixon 9%
Democrats have not won a Senate race in Florida since 2012, and Nixon's affiliation with the Democratic Socialists of America have effectively crushed Democrats' expectations at winning this race.
Odds via @Kalshi.
🚨VICTORY ASSURED: Incumbent Ashley Moody maintains her high odds against Angie Nixon to win the Florida special Senate election this coming November.
Florida - 2026 Senate (odds)
🟥Ashley Moody* 89.3%
🟦Angie Nixon 10.7%
Projected Margin: 🟥R+7.3
Democrats have not won a Senate race in Florida since 2012, and they've increasingly lost Senate elections in wider and wider margins ever since Bill Nelson lost to Rick Scott in 2018.
Nixon's affiliation with the Democratic Socialists of America have effectively crushed Democrats' expectations at winning this race.
Forecast via @Pollsmax.
🚨BREAKING: Incumbent Ashley Moody maintains her lead of over 6 points against Angie Nixon in the Florida special Senate election.
Florida - 2026 Senate
🟥Ashley Moody* 53.1% (+6.2)
🟦Angie Nixon 46.9%
See all FL Senate polls @Pollsmax.
Moody is running for a full term after being appointed to the Senate by Governor Ron DeSantis in 2025 to fill the seat vacated by Marco Rubio, after the latter accepted his appointment by President Trump to Secretary of State.
Democrats have not won a Senate race in Florida since 2012, and Nixon's affiliation with the Democratic Socialists of America have effectively crushed Democrats' expectations at winning this race.
ActiVote | October 15, 2026 | 400 LV
🚨WARNING: Republican Vivek Ramaswamy LOST his lead against Democrat Amy Acton for the Ohio governor's election according to @Pollsmax.
Ohio - 2026 Governor (odds)
🟦Amy Acton 50.3%
🟥Vivek Ramaswamy 49.7%
Projected Margin: 🟦D+0.1
Democrats have not won a gubernatorial election in Ohio since 2006. Ramaswamy, who ran for president in 2024, has the backing of President Trump and the entire Ohio Republican Party. HOWEVER, Ramaswamy has been under fire after his campaign had aired an ad that featured Acton's estranged mother.
Amy Acton and her mother have parted since Acton was 12, after her mother's domestic partner was charged with raping her. If Ramaswamy wants to regain his chances at winning, condemning the advertisement would be his best move.
Forecast via @Pollsmax.
🚨EASY W: Incumbent Larry Rhoden is set to win his first complete term easily against Dan Ahlers in the South Dakota governor's election.
South Dakota - 2026 Governor (odds)
🟥Larry Rhoden* 95.7%
🟦Dan Ahlers 4.3%
Projected Margin: 🟥R+18.0
Incumbent Republican Larry Rhoden, who ascended to the office of governor in 2025 after Kristi Noem resigned to become Secretary of Homeland Security, is running for his first full term in office. Rhoden had previously been serving as lieutenant governor under Noem since the two took office in 2019.
Democrats have not won a gubernatorial election in South Dakota since 1974. President Donald Trump won the state by 29.2% in 2024.
Forecast via @Pollsmax.
🚨LANDSLIDE VICTORY: Incumbent Larry Rhoden INCREASES his lead to twenty points against Dan Ahlers in the South Dakota governor's election.
South Dakota - 2026 Governor
🟥Larry Rhoden* 56% (+19)
🟦Dan Ahlers 36%
See all SD Governor polls @Pollsmax.
Incumbent Republican Larry Rhoden, who ascended to the office of governor in 2025 after Kristi Noem resigned to become Secretary of Homeland Security, is running for his first full term in office. Rhoden had previously been serving as lieutenant governor under Noem since the two took office in 2019.
Democrats have not won a gubernatorial election in South Dakota since 1974. President Donald Trump won the state by 29.2% in 2024.
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | October 14, 2026 | 500 LV
🚨BREAKING: Incumbent Jon Husted is still favored to win against Sherrod Brown in Ohio's special Senate election.
Ohio - 2026 Senate (odds)
🟥Jon Husted* 53.8%
🟦Sherrod Brown 46.2%
Projected Margin: 🟥R+0.7
Husted is occupying current Vice President JD Vance’s former seat after he resigned in January 2025. He was previous the state's lieutenant governor under Mike DeWine.
Brown previously lost his old seat that he had held since 2007 to Bernie Moreno during the 2024 elections. Trump won Ohio in 2024 by over 11 points, and Moreno on the same ballot by 3.5 points.
Forecast via @Pollsmax.
🚨BREAKING: Incumbent Jon Husted leads VERY TIGHTLY by almost half a point against Sherrod Brown in Ohio's special Senate election.
Ohio - 2026 Senate
🟥Jon Husted* 50.2% (+0.4)
🟦Sherrod Brown 49.8%
See all OH Senate polls @Pollsmax.
Husted is occupying current Vice President JD Vance’s former seat after he resigned in January 2025. He was previous the state's lieutenant governor under Mike DeWine.
Brown previously lost his old seat that he had held since 2007 to Bernie Moreno during the 2024 elections. Trump won Ohio in 2024 by over 11 points, and Moreno on the same ballot by 3.5 points.
ActiVote | October 18, 2026 | 400 LV
🚨RED WIN: Ashley Hinson is still the CLEAR favorite to win the Iowa Senate election against Josh Turek.
Iowa - 2026 Senate (odds)
🟥Ashley Hinson 73%
🟦Josh Turek 27%
See all IA Senate polls @Pollsmax.
Projected Margin: 🟥R+4.2
The winner of this election will be succeeding retiring incumbent Joni Ernst.
Democrats have not won a Senate election in Iowa since 2008. President Donald Trump won Iowa in 2020 by 8 points, and in 2024 grew his margin to 13 points.
Forecast via @Pollsmax.
🚨BREAKING: Ashley Hinson holds her polling lead against Josh Turek by 3 points in the Iowa Senate election.
Iowa - 2026 Senate
🟥Ashley Hinson 48% (+3)
🟦Josh Turek 45%
See all IA Senate polls @Pollsmax.
The winner of this election will be succeeding retiring incumbent Joni Ernst.
Democrats have not won a Senate election in Iowa since 2008. President Donald Trump won Iowa in 2020 by 8 points, and in 2024 grew his margin to 13 points.
co/efficient (R) | October 19, 2026 | 863 LV




















