Oslo, Norge
Joined January 2019
Congratulations to the first-ever Oslo Nuclear Project PhD graduate -- Dr. Even H. Larsen! 🎉
ONP fellow Even H. Larsen is now giving his trial lecture on Asymmetric Escalation and the Modern Risk of Nuclear Weapons Use
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Join us on 2 May 15:30-16:45 CET for an online ONP seminar with Prof Brian Blankenship (@BrianDBlank) where he will present his working paper entitled "Defense Burden-Sharing and Support for Nuclear Proliferation in NATO Countries". You can sign up here: sv.uio.no/isv/english/resear…
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5/6 To escape substrategic paralysis, the Soviet Union and India initially relied on countervalue punishment before moving toward a conventional pause strategy.
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6/6 India’s failure to escape paralysis triggered a search for a damage limitation strategy. In contrast, the United States pursues a tit-for-tat strategy to neutralize substrategic paralysis.
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Join us for our first seminar of 2024! On 12 February 3pm (CET) Jim Stokes, NATO Director of Nuclear Policy will join us to discuss the role of nuclear deterrence in NATO. Register here: sv.uio.no/isv/english/resear…
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Replying to @Even_HL
@Even_HL's article “Deliberate Nuclear First Use in an Era of Asymmetry: A Game Theoretical Approach” is one of the most read articles in the Journal of Conflict Resolution in the last 6 months. journals.sagepub.com/action/…
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Join us for the ONP online seminar on 1 December, 15:15-16:30 CEST. @zhaot2005 will present his research titled “Deciphering the Evolution of China’s Nuclear Strategy”. @doyoung__lee will serve as discussant. Sign up here: sv.uio.no/isv/english/resear…
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Even Larsen retweeted
This coming Friday: @NuclearOslo seminar on China's evolving nuclear strategy featuring Dr. Tong Zhao ⬇️ Deciphering the Evolution of China’s Nuclear Strategy: Questioning the Assumption of Policy Coherence sv.uio.no/isv/english/resear…
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Join us for the ONP online seminar on 1 December, 15:15-16:30 CEST. @zhaot2005will present his research titled “Deciphering the Evolution of China’s Nuclear Strategy”. @doyoung__lee will serve as discussant. Sign up here: sv.uio.no/isv/english/resear…
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I @Aftenposten argumenterer jeg for at debatten rundt militærbistand til Ukraina og atomfaren ikke kan belage seg på sannsynlighetsestimater alene. Fordi enhver sannsynlighet, uansett hvor lav, må sees i lys av et mulig utfall: i dette tilfellet atomkrig. aftenposten.no/meninger/deba…
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First, nuclear imbalances and advancements in counterforce technologies create a damage limitation incentive for a strong actor. Second, conventional asymmetry creates an incentive for the coercive use of nuclear weapons by the weaker player.
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Finally, this article illustrates that these asymmetric conditions are a relevant characteristic in important and very different nuclear dyads: DPRK–US, Pakistan–India, and Russia–US. Thus, the model demonstrates the potential core drivers of DNFU in today’s nuclear landscape.
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