Matthew

I'm starting a $500 Bitcoin trading experiment. The strategy is simple: Buy when the market is fearful. Sell when the market is greedy. I'll be using the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index to make every decision. No leverage. No altcoins. No emotional trading. Every trade documented. Wins and losses. Let's see how this goes. 🟠

One thing I want to avoid with this experiment is changing the rules halfway through. Buy below 40. Sell above 75. Hold in between. It sounds simple. Sticking to it when the market gets emotional is another story.

Here's a question: If Bitcoin's Fear & Greed Index stays below 20 for the next 60 days, would you keep buying? Or would you start questioning the strategy?

The second purchase is in. I've now put $600 into the experiment and hold 0.00786397 BTC. No idea where Bitcoin goes from here. That's kind of the point.The rules are there so I don't have to guess.

Second purchase is in. Fear & Greed is down to 19. I added another $100 to the position. Total BTC: 0.00786397. The market is fearful. The strategy says buy. Let's see how this plays out.

The hardest part of investing isn't always knowing when to buy. Sometimes it's having the discipline to do absolutely nothing. That's going to be one of the biggest tests of this experiment.

What exactly is the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index? It's a score from 0–100 designed to measure market sentiment. 0 = Extreme Fear 100 = Extreme Greed The idea is simple: When everyone is scared, opportunities may exist. When everyone is euphoric, risk may be increasing. It measures sentiment, not the future. That's what makes this experiment interesting.

Most people seem to do the opposite of what they should. They buy when Bitcoin is pumping because they don't want to miss out. They sell when Bitcoin crashes because they're scared.

One thing I promise with this experiment: I won't delete losing trades. I won't pretend to have predicted the market. I won't change the rules just because they're inconvenient. If this strategy fails, I'll document that too. The goal is to learn something real.

First entry is in. $500 into Bitcoin at $77,930. Fear & Greed Index: 36 (Fear). The strategy says buy when there is fear. Trade #001. Let’s see where this goes.

The rules of the experiment: 🟢 F&G ≤ 40 → BUY BTC 🔴 F&G ≥ 75 → SELL BTC ⚪ Between 40–75 → HOLD Starting capital: $500. The goal isn't to predict Bitcoin's next move. It's to follow a strategy without letting emotions get involved. Let's see if it works.