FlatStats - Systems Stats and Ratings

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Dosage The recent changes to the chef-de-race list is now making dosage profile figures much higher than previously. There are now many more horses with high category scores and total scores, which you can see in the image. Changes to the CDR list are welcome as it prevents drift / decay but it also creates sharp blips which makes historic analysis slightly more tricky. But for day to day analysis it does not matter so much because all horses today are part of the uplift, and thus any horse with figures better than their rivals is one to take into consideration.

There's one week left of the flat turf and then the statistically wonderful All Weather Season starts. Take advantage of our special offer for just £165, which runs through to 3rd April 2027. Don't forget that during the AW season 'blank week' we credit all subscriptions with free days so that no one misses out.

* Dosage Updates * This week Steve Roman and Ken Kush updated the Chefs-de-Race list with the following sires: Dark Angel(IRE) Exceed And Excel(AUS) Frankel Night of Thunder(IRE) No Nay Never(USA) Sea The Stars(IRE) Too Darn Hot Wootton Bassett FlatStats is using the updated list. All our horse profiles have been updated.

Have you heard of the Pareto Principle aka the 80/20 rule? It's a cool phenomenon that states 80% of consequences come from 20% of the causes. This works in horseracing! If you check results for a particular timeframe (such as one full year) you will see that 80% of the races were won by the same 20% of jockeys. We have a special free to view Pareto List page that is updated daily. You can instantly see the jockeys, trainers, sires, dam sires that have Pareto Status, and are thus part of the elite that win the majority of races. So if you are stuck choosing between two horses in a race then just ensure the jockey, trainer, sire has Pareto Status and back the one that has. The image shows the Pareto List for today, filtered for today's runners and riders. You can instantly see that Jason Hart, Hector Crouch ... Kaiya Fraser have Pareto status whilst jockeys not listed do not.

Trainer Form is one of the hardest things to master. It is like trying to nail jelly to a wall using a chocolate hammer and a nail made out of cooked spaghetti. All joking aside, only the trainer knows which of their runners is likely to run well today or tomorrow. All punters know is how well a trainer has done previously. In order to guess if a trainer is likely to do well punters can look at some stats. There are various stats to look at such as the 28 day stats, or the last 50 runs stats. You can find these figures everywhere. On the FlatStats site we have a special page that shows these stats and few stats more. Here's an explanation of each one: Rtg - The FlatStats rating TFI - The Trainer Form Index. It's our own calculation of trainer form where blue is good, red is bad A/E A - This is the All Time A/E; the A/E figure the trainer has produced from all runs for the past 10 years A/E 50 - This is the A/E figure for the past 50 runs A/E 28 - This is the A/E for the past 28 days ROI A - The Return on Investment % for all time ROI 50 - The ROI% for the past 50 runs ROI 28 - The ROI% for the past 28 days R A - The total all time runs; the number of runners the trainer has had in the past 10 years R 28 - The number of runners in the past 28 days P A - The number of all time places P 50 - The number of places from the past 50 runners P 28 - The number of places in the past 28 days RSW - The number of runners since the trainer last had a winner DSW - The number of days since the trainer last had a winner 365 D - This is the TF2 figure for the past one year. TF2 was our older metric for calculating trainer form 84 D - The TF2 figure for the past 84 days 28 D - The TF2 figure for the past 28 days 14 D - The TF2 figure for the past 14 days 7 D - The TF2 figure for the past 7 days So what can you make from all that? I would suggest looking at the TFI first as this is fair (but far from perfect) indicator of which trainer is currently in or out of form. Basically this figure is calculated from looking at the all time A/E figure and a more recent A/E figure. There is also an element of runs since win added to the mix. Any figure that is high and blue indicates a trainer is currently doing much better than they usually do, and any low figure that is red indicates they are out of form. As for the other figures I think these are great for those of you who want a source of figures to feed into AI and see what it comes up with. All our figures are available in table or CSV form so if you want to look at the figures and make your own assessment, or if you want to feed your AI bot then try our Daily Trainer Form page.