This is what time promises all of us, some are loved enough to get off twitter and be washed in private
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Finished country
Listen to the first full episode of CENTCOM's new podcast "Inside CENTCOM" — out now on podcast platforms or on YouTube: youtube.com/@centcom
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No, they adopted to reality and found superstitious or religious outlets.
craziest thing about history is how often your children would just die. and not that long ago. i'm reading a bio of Lincoln and it just slips that his kids kept dying tragically. today that's a life-defining event. did everyone just walk around with PTSD or what
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And there is only one way to do that . Free trade with china. Which is a non starter for capital
The defining lesson of 2020s American politics is that voters want deflation. You can raise wages at a rate that matches inflation, but that won't satisfy them because they want the actual nominal prices of stuff to go down. There's nothing you can do to convince them otherwise.
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I think what you can take is that they are probably the best info aggregators we have now but they are horrible for individual low tech players (retail i guess)
THE HUGE WIN FOR PREDICTION MARKETS
My only take from last night. Both in the runup to the vote and on election night, the prediction markets did exactly what they were supposed to do. A big confident forecast in the runup, and incredibly timely conveying of data as it dropped.
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