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Gaming & tech enthusiast • Car racing enjoyer #NH27 • Social Libertarian • Voting reform advocate • Beat Stanz in Scrabble once • Original Allan Lichtman hater

PA-12
Joined May 2016
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Congratulations to Kamala Harris for winning the 2024 Democratic Nomination
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non-political tweet
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Amash was always to my right, and I have probably moved economically to the left a little over the years, but even at my most libertarian, I always thought the progressives were the better faction of the Democratic Party for reasons he articulates here better than I could.
It goes without saying that I have major disagreements with both Mike Rogers and Abdul El-Sayed, and neither one particularly likes me. Rogers and I regularly battled in the U.S. House. I’m a staunch defender of liberty and the Constitution, and he’s a champion of big weaponized government, mass surveillance, and endless wars. He tried (and failed) to oust me from Congress. When I was considering a presidential run in 2020, El-Sayed wrote a gratuitous op-ed to warn people that “Justin Amash is no hero,” calling my principles “heartless” and finishing with the reminder: “Your enemy’s enemy is not your friend.” In short, I have no soft spot for either of these guys. I also don’t vote for “the lesser of two evils.” I believe you should support a candidate only if you truly want the person to hold that office. I’ve already voted, and consistent with the above principle, I didn’t vote for Rogers or El-Sayed. But I do know which one would be more dangerous in the U.S. Senate—and it’s not even close. Thread ⬇️
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So we have different priorities, and different ideologies. I never really agreed with his way of voting when he was in Congress, nor his way of voting in this election. But I have to respect him, along with anyone else holding strong at the bottom side of the compass
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And he is a far more legitimate libertarian than the absolute freak larpers at LPNH, for example
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And Dems don't need a rockstar to beat Vivek for Governor. He's Vivek.
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I wanted to make myself feel better so I did a governors prediction. Dems are poised to crush it in these for the most part. PA being this safe is hilarious, I'm going to do my bit of voting third party in safe elections just for the hell of it
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Please do treat the tilts as the low-confidence predictions they are. I am far from certain about GA, IA, KS, AK. And Oregon, tragically. What the hell is that about man. At least NV early voting is looking really good for Dems.
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I simply cannot be mature about Vivek in Ohio, this is one of the most satisfying things I have ever seen. I have long expected him to lose but even I didn't expect him to fuck it this bad. He fully deserves it! I'm happy that my neighboring state will have a Democratic governor.
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Call me a Dem bedwetter or w/e but I think they have fucked it on the finish line The 2 Sullivans in AK, I'm not convinced that's enough to matter, but it might be. I give Mary like a 51% chance. I'm hoping Vivek (who will lose) is bad enough to carry Brown over the line in OH.
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All I know is that if I am right about Republicans retaining the Senate then I better still get that GODDAMN $5000 Trump! Fuck you for that whole scheme but I still want the damn money!
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Oh oh one last thing, MT is still winnable for Bodnar if all the Bankhead supporters change their minds at the last minute. Like, really, really winnable. Please if you're supporting her get your head out of your ass
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I'm gonna post in a final Senate prediction as soon as I can figure out what it is. I'm completely flip flopping on Maine, Ohio, Texas and Alaska. Anything from 52D to 52R is very very possible IMO. And of course outside chance of more than that for either party
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Blexas is gonna look so good on the map
BREAKING: @trafalgar_group ’26 Midterms TX US Senate Poll (10/6-10/8) 1086 Respondents 2.9 MOE 47.1% @jamestalarico 43.6% @KenPaxtonTX 1.8% @TedBrownLiberty 7.6% Und Full report: thetrafalgargroup.org/news/t…
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I wanted to believe it wasn't so, but bringing back executions as a public spectacle makes it impossible to ignore. We are simply no longer a civilized society, and we're becoming less civilized over time. I genuinely worry about how depraved society will be 10 years from now
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