Trying something new. Going to start posting higher conviction theses here. First one is $AMT
Mispriced as a melting utility while Starlink will be forced onto its steel
Regarding the “Monero is what the criminals use, not Zcash” argument
Replying to @gainzy222
Capital seeking privacy won't park its value in a coin heavily associated with illicit activity. The true giant market is grey area offshore capital, not blatant fraud or stolen funds. That money is gonna want an umbrella of legitimacy.
Replying to @farokh
Thus far each cycle has burned categories of possibilities, which the market will have trouble dreaming about again.
In 2017 we said “the infrastructure is just getting built. Once we have cheap block space and other infra the blockchain will take over the world.”
In 2021 we said “once we get past an incredibly hostile admin that’ll allow crypto use cases to flourish.”
Will there be new reasons to believe crypto has a future? Probably, but each cycle of unfulfilled promises it gets harder I think.
Zcash (and btc and punks) is the only thing I feel comfortable holding any size in this late in the cycle.
If cycle still has something left in it, I think it’s firmly established itself as a faster horse than the majors. If the cycle is over, privacy innovation in the infinite ceiling market of SOV is something I’m willing to hold with a 3-4 year time horizon.
The only strategic crypto changes the gov should do are:
1.) encourage stablecoin adoption to support USD hegemony
2.) allow cashflows to accrue to tokens
AP retweeted
I asked a Ripple holder why I should invest in XRP.
They said “imagine being able to invest in SWIFT.”
To which I said “ok why would I want to invest in SWIFT?”
And they said “do you know how SWIFT works?”
And I said, “no, do you know how SWIFT works?”
And they said “no”











