Harry Plumstead (@HarryP_SA) profile picture

Private Credit/Equity, Global Markets, Geopolitics. #RWRI alumnus

South Africa
Joined August 2011
Photo by Harry Plumstead (@HarryP_SA)Photo by Harry Plumstead (@HarryP_SA)Photo by Harry Plumstead (@HarryP_SA)Photo by Harry Plumstead (@HarryP_SA)Photo by Harry Plumstead (@HarryP_SA)Photo by Harry Plumstead (@HarryP_SA)Photo by Harry Plumstead (@HarryP_SA)Photo by Harry Plumstead (@HarryP_SA)Photo by Harry Plumstead (@HarryP_SA)Photo by Harry Plumstead (@HarryP_SA)
Currently uncontrolled fires near Humansdorp, picture taken from St Francis Bay, Eastern Cape, South Africa.
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It has happened.
Is Trump & Co signaling that US may join the bombing of key Iranian sites? US has the heavy bombers required to drop larger bunker buster munitions that can dig up nuclear facilities like Fordow... Airspace is not contested after last few days of IAF operations...
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Is Trump & Co signaling that US may join the bombing of key Iranian sites? US has the heavy bombers required to drop larger bunker buster munitions that can dig up nuclear facilities like Fordow... Airspace is not contested after last few days of IAF operations...
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I have heard many colleagues/friends say "Trump will run the government like a business" and the problem is that they think this is a good thing...
The government was never meant to be run like a company. Its bottom line isn’t profit margins, it’s people. The notion that the government should be run like a business is an absurd one.
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It is unthinkable that this thread even needs to exist, but it does. The disinformation about "Ukraine starting the war" that is being believed by so many is a symptom of the social media virus. This system has created zombies that all the while think they are enlightened.
GeoConfirmed UKR - Misinformation by President Trump. While we typically refrain from political commentary, President Donald Trump's recent statement regarding the war in Ukraine is so egregious that we feel compelled to respond. Several claims made by President Trump have already been debunked. We've included responses from Grok AI for each claim, demonstrating that even Grok refutes the misinformation spread by the president. In this thread, we will provide geolocated footage as a reminder to everyone that Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24, 2022, marking the beginning of this war. 1) The United States has not spent $350 billion on this war, nor has it outspent Europe by $200 billion. In fact, European contributions have surpassed those of the US. Moreover, a significant portion of the American military aid (around 90% !) is spend in the US, reinvesting in the US economy. statista.com/statistics/1499… eeas.europa.eu/delegations/u… ifw-kiel.de/publications/new… csis.org/analysis/where-miss… (Grok: teapaw.org/i/grok/share/9grtpN5K2…) 2) President Zelensky did not claim that half the American money sent to Ukraine is "missing". He stated that half of the promised funds had not been received, which is a crucial distinction. csis.org/analysis/where-miss… politifact.com/factchecks/20… edition.cnn.com/2025/02/19/p… (Grok: teapaw.org/i/grok/share/x2J4XJgAu…) 3) Ukrainian constitution prohibits elections during wartime, a measure designed to protect the democratic process from foreign interference, particularly given Russia's known capabilities in this area... foreignpolicy.com/2023/07/11… edition.cnn.com/2024/03/30/e… united24media.com/war-in-ukr… (Grok: teapaw.org/i/grok/share/iNgj4reyI…) 4) President Zelensky is not a dictator, as evidenced by Ukraine's constitutional framework and his commitment to holding elections once hostilities cease. In contrast, it's worth noting that President Putin consistently wins elections in Russia with implausibly high percentages of votes, with opposition that 'falls out of windows", is poisened or jailed, raising questions about the true nature of Russia's electoral process. europarl.europa.eu/doceo/doc… oscepa.org/en/news-a-media/p… osce.usmission.gov/on-the-ru… japantimes.co.jp/news/2024/0… bbc.com/news/world-europe-68… (Grok: teapaw.org/i/grok/share/aK1JCZlsa…) 5) President Zelensky has a approval rate above 50% and not 4%. 4% is Russian disinformation. edition.cnn.com/2025/02/19/p… kiis.com.ua/?lang=eng&cat=re… euronews.com/2025/02/19/zele… abcnews.go.com/International… (Grok: teapaw.org/i/grok/share/IHyHHTkKe…) 6) There was no NATO expansion to the East, as NATO itself cannot expand. Instead, democratic countries independently decide whether they want to become members of the alliance. The process of joining NATO is voluntary and involves multiple steps, including meeting specific requirements and completing a formal application process. The fact that many of Russia's former neighbors have chosen to seek NATO membership speaks volumes about their perception of Russia and their desire for collective security. The decision of these nations to pursue NATO membership reflects their sovereign right to determine their own foreign policy and security arrangements. It also indicates a preference for the stability and security guarantees that NATO membership offers, rather than remaining under Russian influence. Regarding the famous 'promise': Article 103 of the UN Charter establishes a clear hierarchy in international law. It states that obligations under the UN Charter prevail over obligations under any other international agreement in case of conflict. This supremacy extends beyond just treaties, as it is generally understood to also apply to customary international law. The hierarchy can be summarized as follows: 1) UN Charter obligations 2) Other treaties and customary international law 3) Non-treaty international texts 4) Political promises or commitments 5) Historical claims Russia's invasion of Ukraine clearly violates fundamental principles of the UN Charter, including the prohibition on the use of force against the territorial integrity of another state. Any attempts to justify this action based on lower-ranking considerations like political promises or historical claims are legally irrelevant. euvsdisinfo.eu/report/there-… nato.int/cps/ra/natohq/11520… iir.cz/lies-provocations-or-… (Grok: teapaw.org/i/grok/share/fb5Fnn3Do… and teapaw.org/i/grok/share/NgIPkpYvJ… and teapaw.org/i/grok/share/NgIPkpYvJ…) 8) Who initiated this nearly three-year-long war? RUSSIA. As a platform that has analyzed over 50,000 frames/videos related to the conflict, we will remind the president ,with geolocated footage, who started this war: RUSSIA. Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24, 2022, despite repeatedly denying any plans for invasion in the preceding days. teapaw.org/Mike_Pence/status/1892… edition.cnn.com/2025/02/19/p… (Grok: teapaw.org/i/grok/share/m1W0ZufMq…) --- 24 FEB 2022 - Russian tanks crossing the border from Belarus into Ukraine in Senkivka. 52.106063, 31.780644 4Q4J+C7C Sen'kivka, Chernihiv Oblast, Ukraine Sources: teapaw.org/Conflicts/status… 1/11
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Repost: me being asked whether I am going to buy JSE small caps after the last month.
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True. Very current news but a big portion of ZH content was just silly propaganda.
ZH blocked me years ago. I called them out on a very erroneous oil related "hype" tweet and was blocked within minutes. They wanted to prevent a view against their story. Ironic.
Absolutely agree. It is almost pointless to try and guess what his views would have been, and what insight he would have offered.
Man, I'd love it if he were still around. Think of all the awesome takes on current events.
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This is great
.@Aeromexico wins Troll of the Month award. Hands down.
Loose comparison, but I think Japan would advise them otherwise.
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Agree with this in principle. Also, appetite to fight with the US in future ME campaigns will be reduced if US simply leaves now.
Kurdish official calls on US to stop Turkish offensive u.afp.com/oFnL
Would be fascinating to hear his 2018 views on #Brexit , #Ukraine / #Russia , #Syria and others #Hitch .
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Heard so many times over the last few years that #US #yields are going to the moon. Where does the extra yield come from? Higher growth from here no. Higher inflation from here no. Term premium? I say again that 10y UST should not see 4% this cycle.
looks like anti-ship systems at 0.07
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