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Ex Night Owl, Former mil analyst & Intl consultant. Old cat still writing Geopolitics papers or intel analyses for my blog or for my next book.

Deep in your mind
Joined November 2021
Photo by J. like JJ 🇫🇷 🇪🇺 🇺🇸 🇺🇦 (@HeliosRunner)Photo by J. like JJ 🇫🇷 🇪🇺 🇺🇸 🇺🇦 (@HeliosRunner)Photo by J. like JJ 🇫🇷 🇪🇺 🇺🇸 🇺🇦 (@HeliosRunner)Photo by J. like JJ 🇫🇷 🇪🇺 🇺🇸 🇺🇦 (@HeliosRunner)Photo by J. like JJ 🇫🇷 🇪🇺 🇺🇸 🇺🇦 (@HeliosRunner)Photo by J. like JJ 🇫🇷 🇪🇺 🇺🇸 🇺🇦 (@HeliosRunner)Photo by J. like JJ 🇫🇷 🇪🇺 🇺🇸 🇺🇦 (@HeliosRunner)Photo by J. like JJ 🇫🇷 🇪🇺 🇺🇸 🇺🇦 (@HeliosRunner)Photo by J. like JJ 🇫🇷 🇪🇺 🇺🇸 🇺🇦 (@HeliosRunner)Photo by J. like JJ 🇫🇷 🇪🇺 🇺🇸 🇺🇦 (@HeliosRunner)
J. like JJ 🇫🇷 🇪🇺 🇺🇸 🇺🇦 retweeted
Ви часто запитуєте: як в 2014 році у Словʼянську невеличка купка російських провокаторів (+кілька десятків автоматників), змогла захопити ціле місто?! Відповідаю: приблизно так само як вчора - біля військового обʼєкту на П.Борщагівці - при бездіяльності силових структур, при створюванні інформаційного шуму. Вангую: якщо ці групи провокаторів не арештувати - вони скоро спробують захопити якусь міську раду, для початку районного центру. А далі більше.
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J. like JJ 🇫🇷 🇪🇺 🇺🇸 🇺🇦 retweeted
Russia Cuts Military Death Benefits? This caught my attention because payouts to families of Russian soldiers are thought to be a major incentive and in some regions are so numerous as to be material to the economy. Details below (collected with AI assistance and spot checked - I wanted insight and not academic level accuracy). Bottom line: Regional payouts are reduced but not yet the much larger federal payout. Federal (one-time payments, 2026): Approx. 14.2 million RUB total (~$174,000 USD at ~81.5 RUB/USD). Status: unchanged Components: insurance ~3.68M RUB + one-time allowance ~5.52M RUB + presidential 5M RUB. These are paid in addition to any regional amounts and ongoing pensions/compensation. Regional supplementary one-time payments (additional to federal; many cut in 2026 due to local budget pressure; highest past level → current): • Belgorod: 3M RUB (~$36,800) → 1M RUB (~$12,300) • Kemerovo: 3M RUB (~$36,800) → 1M RUB (~$12,300) • Bashkortostan: 2M RUB (~$24,500) → 100k RUB (~$1,200) • Ulyanovsk: 1M RUB (~$12,300) → 50k RUB (~$600) • Saratov: 1M RUB (~$12,300) → 100k RUB (~$1,200) • Smolensk: 1M RUB (~$12,300) → 700k RUB (~$8,600) • Omsk: 1M RUB (~$12,300) → 500k RUB (~$6,100) • Kirov: 1M RUB (~$12,300) → 500k RUB (~$6,100) • Irkutsk: 1M RUB (~$12,300) → 500k RUB (~$6,100) • Orenburg: ~1M RUB (~$12,300) → canceled (~$0) • Khakassia: 1.1M RUB (~$13,500) → 100k RUB (~$1,200)
• Samara: 1M RUB (~$12,300) → canceled (~$0) ~0.01227 USD per RUB (as of early November 2026). Exact regional past highs and current amounts can vary slightly by exact decree wording, eligibility (residence/contract origin), and payment timing; federal totals are more standardized and indexed.
Bad news for relatives of the 700,000 Russians at the front, as a cash-strapped Russian government reduces or even cancels death benefit payments for soldiers across the country. For some regions, a reduction of -90% and others reduced to 0. Slaves gonna slave..
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J. like JJ 🇫🇷 🇪🇺 🇺🇸 🇺🇦 retweeted
🇺🇦❗️Yulia Mendel was reported in absentia on suspicion of high treason She is accused of high treason under martial law and justifying the armed aggression of the Russian Federation. The investigation found that in her posts and public statements she discredits Ukraine on the international stage and glorifies the Kremlin regime.
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J. like JJ 🇫🇷 🇪🇺 🇺🇸 🇺🇦 retweeted
Today, I sent a letter putting New Jersey’s port and terminal operators on notice: importing Russian diesel violates federal law and could carry serious civil and criminal consequences. New Jersey will not stand by while Donald Trump supports Vladimir Putin at the expense of Americans. Instead of lowering costs, these imports help finance Putin’s war against Ukraine and a campaign of violence and terror that endangers our servicemembers abroad. As a Navy veteran, I cannot let that stand unchallenged. Our ports must not be complicit.
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oh by the way... just to remind everyone who kills children all the time and for the last 12 years. In July 2014, schoolboy Stepan Chubenko from Kramatorsk was kidnapped, brutally beaten, and killed by pro-russian militants for his pro-Ukrainian stance. get your facts right.
It’s striking how seamlessly coordinated posting across pro-Russian accounts was during yesterday’s Russian psyop in Ukraine. The identical messaging proves many of these ”commentators” were briefed by their Russian handlers
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il y a des choses importantes qui sont enfin annoncées ici. je l'avais évoqué il y a qq mois de ça avec certains d'entre vous, bon maintenant c'est acté. par contre comme d'habitude, il va donc falloir attendre un moment encore avant que cela ne soit mis en place mais on avance
Together with the Ministry of Defence and the Ministry of Digital Transformation, Brave1 has launched grant competitions to develop drone-launched air-to-air guided missiles and Ukrainian radar systems. Focus areas: ◆ Radars for early detection of jet-powered drones and other aerial threats to enhance Ukraine's layered defence system and increase the efficiency of intercepting enemy aerial assets. ◆ Air-to-air guided missiles deployed directly from drones — neutralizing jet threats at low cost without risking pilots' lives. Manufacturers do not need a finished product to enter - the first step is an Expression of Interest. Application is available for Ukrainian companies via Prozorro system (link in first reply👇). The third competition for turbojet engines is coming soon.
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J. like JJ 🇫🇷 🇪🇺 🇺🇸 🇺🇦 retweeted
Within 22 hours, a National Guard (NGU) site for AWOL returnees and mobilized men became a “TCC concentration camp” on Telegram. TCC = conscription office. We collected 10,152 posts from 3,273 channels: 103.5M views, 02.11 12:41 – 03.11 11:15.
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J. like JJ 🇫🇷 🇪🇺 🇺🇸 🇺🇦 retweeted
Wer einen Vernichtungskrieg gegen die Zivilbevölkerung eines Nachbarlandes führt, kann auf der internationalen Sportbühne keine Normalität beanspruchen. Eine Teilnahme Russlands an der Eishockey-WM 2027 in Deutschland darf es nicht geben. stern.de/politik/deutschland…
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J. like JJ 🇫🇷 🇪🇺 🇺🇸 🇺🇦 retweeted
Sędzia Tuleya: Karol Nawrocki zasługuje na Trybunał Stanu "Karol Nawrocki ewidentnie naruszył nietykalność sędziów TK. A wcześniej przekroczył swoje uprawnienia, uzurpując sobie prawo wyboru sędziów do sądu konstytucyjnego wyborcza.pl/7,75968,33112964…
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J. like JJ 🇫🇷 🇪🇺 🇺🇸 🇺🇦 retweeted
«Il nous demandait de nous faire péter la gueule sur le terrain, se souvient un ex-employé d'Erik Tegner. C’était dit verbalement : “Essayez de vous prendre des coups”.» Formidable enquête d'@AdrienFranque liberation.fr/economie/media…
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J. like JJ 🇫🇷 🇪🇺 🇺🇸 🇺🇦 retweeted
The horrific moment a russian FAB-3000 struck a school where civilians had gathered to receive humanitarian aid. 31 killed. 48 still missing. russia is a murderous state. Stop pretending otherwise.
Komyshuvakha, Zaporizhzhia region, Ukraine. 💔 31 civilians killed. 48 still missing. This is the human cost of russia’s deliberate mass murder of civilians. And Donald Trump stands with the aggressor. Never let him rewrite that reality. Remember who he sides with.
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J. like JJ 🇫🇷 🇪🇺 🇺🇸 🇺🇦 retweeted
Last night, a group of pro-russian provocateurs staged a spectacle near Kyiv. They attacked military personnel and launched an entire information campaign. Many foreign friends and readers are likely unaware of one highly telling detail: many of these provocateurs have already been identified. A large number of them have been working systematically for russia for years. They organized provocations back during the pandemic, and have continued to do so throughout the war. Some are directly linked to pro-russian politicians who continue to openly work against Ukraine. Their names are known, and their actions are documented—yet, all these years, they have walked freely through the streets of Ukrainian cities, receiving instructions from their russian handlers. This is a significant nuance, especially given that the russians are currently propagating a narrative about "repression" and "abductions" in Ukraine. The reality is quite different: Ukraine actually treats individuals who work for russia—and assist in its attempt to destroy our country—with a great deal of leniency.
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J. like JJ 🇫🇷 🇪🇺 🇺🇸 🇺🇦 retweeted
Franceʼs October 17 protests were entirely French in origin. Yet, Russian influence networks worked for weeks to weaponize them, research by @Alliance4Europe reveals. 🧵 1/9 ⬇️
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c'est marrant "comme par hasard" les rt de dizaines de comptes (surement bien plus) pro Ukr ou assimilés et tout tweet pour les votes aux US sont complètement "enterrés". c'est le zéro absolu Par contre les comptes qui rt la saloperie de désinfos pro Ru ont des boost partout...
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J. like JJ 🇫🇷 🇪🇺 🇺🇸 🇺🇦 retweeted
What a surprise...
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J. like JJ 🇫🇷 🇪🇺 🇺🇸 🇺🇦 retweeted
Я 3-4 рази просив Трампа зняти обмеження Starshield, щоб атакувати пускові російської балістики, - Зеленський censor.net/ua/n4031782
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J. like JJ 🇫🇷 🇪🇺 🇺🇸 🇺🇦 retweeted
Diana Horun, 23-letnia ukraińska lekarka, zginęła w wyniku ataku rosyjskiego drona. Ratowała życie i straciła swoje. Takie ludobójstwo wspierają Braun i patologia prawicy, a ich Nawrocki. Dlatego to też wasza odpowiedzialność, to wy macie jej krew na rękach. Mordercy, ludobójcy i terroryści schowani za polskimi flagami i pozdrowieniem „Szczęść Boże”. To oni chcą budować przyszłość Polski.
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petit rappel en passant ce compte est tenu par des "arnaqueurs". qui savent que dalle,mais qui produisent comme la grande majorité des gens qui n'ont rien a dire, des tartines IA indigeste et vides. d'autre part, mais d'où tu prends comme @ Oct7 etc quand tu es Ukrainienne ... ?
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J. like JJ 🇫🇷 🇪🇺 🇺🇸 🇺🇦 retweeted
Polish PM Donald Tusk: For Russia, destabilization, disregard for international law, and the way it views Europe and the European Union are all part of its approach. Unfortunately, the situation surrounding the Constitutional Tribunal is also an element of this strategy to undermine Poland's stability and unity at this very serious moment.
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