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CFB Saturday Week 11 Full Card ✈️
100$ Giveaway to 1 Follower who likes this post if we sweep 🧹
Luke Fahey “O” 233.5 Passing Yards
2 units ⭐️ I -114 FanDuel (Ohio State)
Dakorian Moore “O” 4.5 Receptions
1.5 units ⭐️ I -114 FanDuel (Oregon)
Theo Melin Ohrstrom “O” 17.5 Rec Yards
1 unit I -114 Fanduel (SMU)
Arch Manning “U” 14.5 Rushing Yards
1 unit I -114 Fanduel (Texas)
Austin Simmons “O” 34.5 Pass Attempts
1 unit I PrizePicks (Missouri)
Drew Mestemaker “O” 27.5 Fantasy Score
1 unit I PrizePicks (Oklahoma State)
Some of the best props on the player market 💰
Write ups will drop later tonight 👀
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CFB Week 11 Saturday Giveaway Parlay
PrizePicks Packs Giveaway 🎉
We are giving away 2 50$ PrizePicks Packs away if we go 6/6 on our Giveaway Parlay over on PrizePicks
2 Followers will be chosen and they will get the chance to rip a 50$ pack and either keep what they won or I will personally ship the card to your house
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College Football 4 Week Ladder Challenge
4 Week CFB Ladder Challenge 🪜
Week 1 25$-75$
Week 2 75$-225$
Week 3 225$-675$
Week 4 675$-2,025$
Week 1 25$-75$
Luke Fahey “O” 233.5 Passing Yards
Dakorien Moore “O” 4.5 Receptions
Tag on to the ladder challenge if you like we are locked and loaded for week 1
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CFB Week 11 Saturday Giveaway Parlay
PrizePicks Packs Giveaway 🎉
We are giving away 2 50$ PrizePicks Packs away if we go 6/6 on our Giveaway Parlay over on PrizePicks
2 Followers will be chosen and they will get the chance to rip a 50$ pack and either keep what they won or I will personally ship the card to your house
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Best of luck to everybody most of green goblins on this slip so odds are in our favor and you could be the next giveaway winner…
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CFB Saturday Week 11 Player Prop ✈️
Drew Mestemaker “O” 27.5 FS
1 Unit | PrizePicks
Mestemaker has been one of the most productive quarterbacks in college football this season, throwing for 2,962 yards and 29 touchdowns through nine games. He’s averaging 329.1 passing yards, 3.2 passing touchdowns, and 34.3 attempts per game while completing 66.7% of his passes. He’s also thrown for at least 300 yards in eight straight games, showing the consistency we’re looking for in a quarterback fantasy prop
His recent performances have been even more impressive, averaging 338.2 passing yards and 3.6 touchdowns over his last five games. He’s thrown multiple touchdowns in all five, including five against Iowa State and four against Colorado. Last week against Kansas State, Mestemaker finished with 313 passing yards and four passing touchdowns while adding a rushing touchdown. His ability to produce multiple scores gives him a strong path toward clearing our fantasy number
Texas Tech presents one of the more favorable passing matchups on Saturday’s slate. The Red Raiders are allowing approximately 287 passing yards per game, ranking near the bottom nationally. Their defense has surrendered 402.3 total yards per game, and West Virginia’s Michael Hawkins Jr. threw for 303 yards against them last week on just 16 attempts. With Mestemaker averaging 9.6 yards per attempt, there’s plenty of opportunity for Oklahoma State to attack this secondary
Oklahoma State enters this matchup averaging 43.9 points and 533.6 total yards per game, ranking among the nation’s best offenses in both categories. The Cowboys have scored 57, 49, and 66 points in three of their last four games. Texas Tech is also averaging 37.6 points per game, creating the potential for a high-scoring Big 12 matchup where both offenses remain aggressive throughout all four quarters
What makes this play attractive is Mestemaker’s ability to generate fantasy points through multiple touchdowns rather than relying entirely on passing yardage. He’s thrown at least three touchdowns in six of nine games and has also contributed three rushing touchdowns this season. The biggest concern is turnovers or Oklahoma State leaning heavily on its running game near the goal line. However, with his consistent 300-yard performances, strong touchdown production, and a favorable passing matchup, we’re backing Mestemaker to clear 27.5 fantasy points
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CFB Week 11 Saturday Player Prop
Austin Simmons “O” 34.5 Pass Attempts
1 unit I PrizePicks
Austin Simmons has been asked to throw considerably more in Missouri’s tougher matchups this season. He’s averaging 31.4 pass attempts per game, but that number has climbed to 39.3 over his last three starts. He’s recorded 43 attempts against Texas, 44 against Ole Miss, and 31 against Arkansas. Two of those three games cleared our number, and both came against strong SEC opponents
The biggest reason we’re targeting Simmons is Missouri’s expected game script against Georgia. The Tigers enter as roughly 16-point underdogs, making it likely they’ll spend a significant portion of the game playing from behind. When Missouri lost to Ole Miss by 28 points, Simmons attempted 44 passes. Last week against Texas, he threw 43 times in another double-digit loss. Those are exactly the situations we’re hoping to see again Saturday
Georgia’s defense is one of the toughest in the country, allowing just 14 points per game and approximately 84 rushing yards per contest. That creates a difficult matchup for Missouri’s running game. If the Tigers struggle to establish anything on the ground, Simmons could be forced to carry more of the offensive workload through the air. We’re not asking him to be efficient against Georgia’s secondary. We simply need him throwing the football
Missouri’s passing offense has averaged approximately 33 attempts per game, with Simmons accounting for most of that volume. His 43 attempts against Texas came despite completing only 53.5% of his passes. Against Ole Miss, he completed 25 of 44 attempts while Missouri scored just three points. Both performances show that the Tigers can continue throwing even when the offense struggles to move the ball consistently
The main concern is Georgia controlling possession and limiting Missouri’s offensive opportunities. Simmons also dealt with an injury against Texas, making his health worth monitoring. However, the combination of a large spread, a difficult rushing matchup, and Simmons’ increased passing volume in losses gives us a reasonable path to 35 attempts. We’re backing Missouri to lean on its quarterback throughout the game and Simmons to clear 34.5 pass attempts
Playable up to 35.5
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CFB Week 11 Saturday Player Prop 📉
🏈 Arch Manning “U” 14.5 Rushing Yards
1 Unit | -114 FanDuel
Manning has struggled to produce consistent rushing yards this season, averaging just 10.1 yards per game through nine starts. He’s finished below our 14.5 line in six of those nine games, giving this under a 66.7% hit rate. His season median is only six rushing yards, showing that his typical performance falls well below the number we’re targeting
His recent production makes this play even more attractive. Manning has recorded -29, 10, 2, and 6 rushing yards in four of his last five games, clearing 14.5 only once during that stretch. He’s averaging just 1.2 yards per official rushing attempt this season, despite recording more than eight carries per game. The opportunities have been there, but they haven’t consistently translated into positive yardage
LSU presents one of the toughest rushing matchups Texas has faced. The Tigers allow just 84.8 rushing yards per game, ranking seventh nationally, and surrender only 261.2 total yards per contest. LSU has also recorded 36 sacks this season, giving its defensive front the ability to disrupt plays before Manning can escape the pocket. This is a difficult matchup for a quarterback who hasn’t been consistently productive on the ground
One important factor is how college football records quarterback rushing yards. Unlike the NFL, sacks count against a quarterback’s rushing total. Manning has already finished with negative rushing yardage twice this season, including -29 against Missouri last week. LSU’s ability to pressure quarterbacks creates opportunities for negative plays that can erase the yardage gained on successful scrambles
Texas enters Saturday as roughly a four-point underdog in a game with a total of 46.5 points. With LSU allowing only 17.7 points per game, this projects as a physical, lower-scoring matchup where offensive yards could be difficult to generate. Manning has stayed below this number in four of his last five games, and LSU’s defensive front gives us another reason to expect limited rushing production. We’re backing Manning to finish under 14.5 rushing yards
I know you guys haven’t liked unders recently but watched a lot of film and trusting that this front can get some sacks in the backfield to prevent positive yardage
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CFB Week 11 Saturday Player Prop ✈️
🏈 Theo Melin Öhrström “O” 17.5 Receiving Yards
1 Unit | -114 FanDuel
Öhrström has been productive whenever he’s involved in SMU’s passing game this season. In the six games where he’s recorded a reception, he’s finished with 25, 43, 49, 21, 27, and 29 receiving yards. He’s cleared our 17.5 line in all six of those games, averaging 32.3 yards when he gets on the stat sheet. That’s nearly 15 yards above the number we’re targeting
What makes this play attractive is how little production we actually need. Öhrström averages 12.1 yards per reception and has already recorded five catches of at least 15 yards this season. With that kind of production per catch, two ordinary receptions could be enough to clear our line. He doesn’t need a touchdown or a huge performance to get us there
SMU’s passing offense gives us another reason to like this matchup. Quarterback Kevin Jennings threw for 350 yards and four touchdowns against Virginia Tech last week, helping the Mustangs put up 51 points. Öhrström contributed 29 receiving yards on two catches in that game. The offense has several reliable receiving options, which creates opportunities for him to contribute without needing to be the primary target
Wake Forest enters this matchup with an 8-1 record and one of the highest-scoring offenses in the country, averaging 43.3 points per game. The game total sits around 61.5 points, with SMU favored by just 1.5. That gives us a competitive matchup where SMU could need to keep throwing throughout the game rather than relying on its running attack to protect a comfortable lead
The biggest risk is Öhrström’s inconsistent involvement, as he’s also finished three games without a reception this season. However, he’s cleared 17.5 yards every time he’s recorded a catch, and an independent projection places him at 24.9 receiving yards for this matchup. With a low line, strong production per reception, and a favorable scoring environment, we’re backing Öhrström to find enough opportunities to clear 17.5 receiving yards
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CFB Saturday Week 11 Player Prop ✈️
🏈 Dakorien Moore “O” 4.5 Receptions
1.5 Units ⭐️ | -114 FanDuel
Moore has become a reliable part of Oregon’s passing offense, especially over the last several weeks. He’s recorded at least seven receptions in each of his last four games, averaging 6.6 catches across his last five. He’s cleared our 4.5 line in four of those five games, showing consistent production rather than relying on one standout performance
His involvement in the offense is what makes this play attractive. Oregon has continued finding ways to get Moore the football, using him on shorter routes and underneath throws in addition to deeper opportunities. That gives him several ways to collect receptions without needing explosive plays downfield. We’re only asking for five catches from a receiver who has recently been producing well above that number
Oregon’s passing attack has the talent to create opportunities against Michigan, even if the Wolverines make things difficult defensively. Michigan’s ability to generate pressure could actually encourage quicker throws, which would benefit a receiver being targeted on shorter routes. Moore doesn’t need to dominate the secondary or produce a massive yardage total for this play to cash
The game script also gives us a reasonable path to sustained passing volume. Oregon faces a competitive Big Ten opponent, making it less likely that the Ducks can simply abandon their passing game early. If Michigan keeps the score close, Oregon should have reason to continue involving its receivers throughout all four quarters
What stands out most is the difference between Moore’s recent production and the number we’re getting. He’s averaging 6.6 receptions over his last five games, while our line requires just five. With his growing role, consistent involvement, and multiple ways to generate catches, we’re backing Moore to continue his recent production and clear 4.5 receptions
Love this prop feel Oregon will have to play the underneath against this Michigan secondary the pass game as evolved around Moore who’s having a 23.4% Target Share this season
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CFB Saturday Week 11 Player Prop ✈️
Luke Fahey “O” 233.5 Passing Yards
2 Units ⭐️ | -114 FanDuel
Fahey has stepped into Ohio State’s starting role and immediately put up some solid numbers. In his first two starts, he threw for 260 yards against USC and 360 against Oregon, averaging 310 passing yards per game. He’s cleared our line in both starts, giving us a strong early sample of what he can produce in this offense
Ohio State has also shown that it’s willing to let Fahey throw the football. He’s attempted 38 and 50 passes in those two starts, averaging 44 attempts per game. With 57 completions on 88 attempts, he’s completing nearly 65% of his passes. That kind of volume gives him plenty of opportunities to reach 234 yards without needing several huge plays
The Buckeyes are averaging 320.2 passing yards per game this season, and their offensive production hasn’t disappeared with the quarterback change. Fahey has talented receivers around him and an offense capable of moving the ball consistently through the air. His 233.5 line is nearly 77 yards below his average as a starter, giving us some room for a less productive performance
Northwestern has played solid defense this season, allowing just 19.3 points per game. This isn’t a matchup where we’re expecting the secondary to completely fall apart. Instead, we’re trusting Ohio State’s offensive talent and Fahey’s recent passing workload. He’s already produced against USC and Oregon, so there’s reason to believe he can continue moving the ball against another Big Ten opponent
Ohio State enters this matchup as roughly a 14-point favorite, with an implied team total around 29 points. The biggest concern is the Buckeyes building an early lead and leaning on their running game late. However, Fahey has shown he can generate passing yards quickly, and Ohio State should have opportunities to move the ball throughout the first three quarters. With his recent production, consistent passing volume and coach’s play calling decisions despite a back up in I really like this play for tomorrow
Ohio State clearly has shown they wanna pass the ball regardless who’s in the backfield. This play is heavily leaning on Ohio State to come out make a statement game after back to back losses as we head towards the end of the season. Media has scared this team to completely flush away from its run game
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Ohio State got so scared of the media and getting Jeremiah smith touches they forgot the whole idea of tempo football.
Rush game looks so solid yet we ran the ball 10 times in the first half
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I mean what a play to cash us out holyyyy
Go Durr gooo
WHAT A TERPS TOUCHDOWN!
Chris Durr Jr. reverses the field and runs through almost the entire Purdue defense.
@TerpsFootball
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Almost 9k views on our Play of the day and it cashes with ease
Spidey got it done today 🕸️
CFB Saturday Week 10 Player Prop ✈️
Devon Dampier “O” 255.5 Pass+Rush
2 units ⭐️ I PrizePicks
Devon Dampier has been one of the most productive dual threat quarterbacks in the Big 12 this season, and I like him to clear 255.5 combined passing and rushing yards against BYU
Through eight games, Dampier has recorded 1,876 passing yards and 393 rushing yards, averaging 283.6 total yards per game. That puts his season average more than 28 yards above this line, giving us a solid statistical starting point
Dampier has cleared this number in six of his eight games this season, giving him a 75% hit rate. He has also reached at least 200 passing yards in seven consecutive games. His ability to produce through both the air and on the ground makes this a more attractive play than taking his passing yards alone
His recent production makes the over even more appealing. Over his last three games, Dampier has averaged 247 passing yards and 62 rushing yards, combining for 309 yards per contest. He has cleared 300 combined yards in two of those three games, including 354 against Houston and 305 against Cincinnati. Those performances show how much upside he carries when Utah needs him involved throughout the game
The matchup against BYU will not be easy, but that is part of why I like this spot. BYU enters the game ranked 20th nationally in rushing defense, allowing just 100 yards per game. Utah also faces a defense that has been above average against the pass
Game script is another major factor here. Utah enters this rivalry undefeated at 8-0, while BYU sits at 7-1, with both teams fighting for positioning in the Big 12 championship race. Utah has won six of its eight games by at least 14 points, which has limited the need for aggressive offense late in games. With BYU presenting a much tougher challenge, I expect Dampier to remain involved for all four quarters rather than seeing Utah lean entirely on its running backs
Ultimately, this line looks favorable considering Dampier's consistency, recent production, and ability to create yards in multiple ways. His season average sits at 283.6 combined yards, while his last three games have pushed that number to 309. BYU's defense is a legitimate concern, but Dampier's rushing involvement provides an additional path to cashing this play
With a competitive rivalry matchup expected, I like Dampier to finish around 280 to 300 total yards and clear 255.5. This is my 2 unit play on Saturday's card
Expect Spidey to get it it done vs BYU
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Durr comes in clutch in the 4th quarter!!!
Cash is out here 3/3 to start the day
CFB Saturday Week 10 Player Prop ✈️
Chris Durr Jr. “O” 72.5 Receiving Yards
1 unit I PrizePicks
Chris Durr Jr. has established himself as one of the most important pieces of Maryland’s passing offense this season, and I like his receiving yardage over against Purdue. Through eight games, Durr has recorded 58 receptions for 638 yards and four touchdowns, averaging 79.8 receiving yards per game. His consistent involvement in the offense has made him a reliable option regardless of Maryland’s struggles in the win column. With his line sitting at 72.5 yards, his season long production provides a solid starting point for this play
Durr has cleared this number in four of his eight games, including three performances exceeding 100 receiving yards. He recorded 103 yards against UConn, 109 against Virginia Tech, 149 against Nebraska, and 104 against Rutgers. His 149-yard performance against Nebraska was particularly impressive, coming on just seven receptions while averaging 21.3 yards per catch. These performances demonstrate that Durr has both the volume and explosive play ability to produce strong receiving totals
One of the strongest arguments for this play is Durr’s consistent involvement in Maryland’s passing attack. He has recorded at least six receptions in seven of eight games this season, including a season high 12 catches against Virginia Tech. Over his last five games, he has totaled 30 receptions for 382 yards, averaging 76.4 receiving yards per contest. Even during Maryland’s recent struggles, Durr has remained heavily involved, which is exactly what I want to see when backing a receiver’s yardage over
Maryland enters Saturday’s road matchup against Purdue having lost six consecutive games, creating another situation where the Terrapins may need to rely on their passing offense. Durr has already shown that negative game scripts can benefit his receiving production. Against Nebraska, Maryland lost 48-23, but Durr still finished with 149 receiving yards. Against Rutgers, Maryland fell 37-30 while Durr recorded another 104 yards. His role has remained significant even when Maryland has struggled defensively and on the scoreboard
Durr’s ability to generate yards after the catch and stretch the field gives him additional upside beyond his reception totals. He is averaging 11.0 yards per reception this season and has recorded a longest reception of 65 yards. His performances against Nebraska and Rutgers also showed his ability to produce explosive gains, including receptions of 65 and 48 yards. While his production has occasionally dipped against stronger defenses, his consistent involvement provides a strong foundation for another productive afternoon
Ultimately, Durr’s combination of receiving volume, season long production, and involvement in negative game scripts makes this one of my preferred receiving plays on Saturday’s card. He is averaging nearly 80 receiving yards per game and has remained a featured part of Maryland’s offense throughout the season. With the Terrapins facing another conference opponent on the road I’m expecting the pass game to get leaner on having and Durr is a quick target
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First Half cash for Bear 🐻
If you didn’t put any money into this game idk what you were thinking this might be game of the year 🔥
CFB Saturday Week 10 Player Prop ✈️
Bear Bachmeier “O” 209.5 Passing Yards
1 unit I -114 FanDuel
Bear Bachmeier has become a major part of BYU’s offensive success this season, and I like him to continue producing through the air against Utah. Through eight games, Bachmeier has thrown for 1,750 yards and 12 touchdowns, averaging 218.8 passing yards per contest. While his production has fluctuated throughout the year, his recent performances have shown a noticeable increase in both passing volume and consistency. With BYU preparing for one of its biggest games of the season against undefeated Utah, I expect Bachmeier to play an important role in keeping the Cougars competitive.
Bachmeier has cleared 209.5 passing yards in six of eight games this season, giving him a 75% hit rate at this number. More importantly, he has exceeded this line in each of his last four appearances, throwing for 329 yards against Iowa State, 224 against Notre Dame, 257 against UCF, and 236 against Arizona State. Over that four-game stretch, he has averaged 261.5 passing yards per contest. That recent production is considerably stronger than his overall season average and provides one of the biggest reasons I like this over.
Another important factor is Bachmeier’s increased passing workload. Over his last four games, he has attempted 128 passes, averaging 32 attempts per contest. That represents a significant increase compared to his first four appearances, when he averaged just 21.5 attempts. His completion numbers have also remained respectable, completing 80 passes during that recent four-game stretch. With BYU facing a Utah team that has been dominant throughout the season, I expect the Cougars to continue relying on Bachmeier to move the football.
The matchup against Utah presents a difficult challenge, but the expected competitiveness of this rivalry game makes the passing volume particularly interesting. Utah enters Saturday undefeated at 8-0 and ranked third nationally, while BYU comes in at 7-1 and ranked inside the top ten. Both programs are competing for positioning in the Big 12 championship race, making this one of the most important games on the conference schedule. Against a strong Utah defense, BYU will need Bachmeier to remain aggressive and create opportunities through the passing game.
Bachmeier has also demonstrated that he can produce against quality opponents. He threw for 224 yards against Notre Dame in a 28-24 victory and followed that with 257 yards against UCF despite BYU losing in double overtime. Against Iowa State, he completed 22 of 30 passes for a season-high 329 yards, averaging nearly 11 yards per attempt. Those performances highlight his ability to generate yardage in different offensive situations. Although Utah presents another difficult defensive matchup, Bachmeier has already shown he can handle an increased workload against competitive teams.
Ultimately, this play comes down to Bachmeier’s recent consistency and the importance of Saturday’s matchup. He has cleared this number in four consecutive games, is averaging 261.5 passing yards during that stretch, and has seen his passing attempts increase significantly as the season has progressed. Utah’s defense will present challenges, but BYU should need a productive passing performance to remain competitive
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150$ CFB Saturday Giveaway Parlay 💰
We are also giving away 150$ if we hit 5/5 on our bonus 75$ Lineup brought to you by @PrizePicks
Giveaway instructions listed in the post. Like/Follow/Repost/Comment for a chance to win this giveaway if we sweep 5/5
Also have a giveaway going on my full prop card 👀
Get in on this 🔥
CFB Saturday Week 10 Player Prop ✈️
Only under on the slate you should be taking 📉
Keelon Russell “U” 19.5 Rushing Yards
.5 units I -114 FanDuel
Keelon Russell has shown flashes of impressive athleticism throughout his first season leading Alabama’s offense, but I like his rushing yardage under against LSU. Through eight games, Russell has recorded 251 rushing yards, averaging 31.4 yards per contest. While his overall average sits above this line, his rushing production has been inconsistent, with several performances heavily influenced by explosive runs. Against an LSU defense capable of creating pressure and limiting space around the line of scrimmage, I see an opportunity to fade Russell’s rushing production
Russell has finished below 19.5 rushing yards in three of his eight games this season, including two of his last four appearances. He recorded just 16 rushing yards against Mississippi State and six against Tennessee, while finishing with negative nine yards against Kentucky earlier in September. His recent rushing production has also been affected by sacks, which count against a quarterback’s rushing yardage in college football. That is an important factor when evaluating Russell against a defense capable of putting pressure on opposing quarterbacks
One of the more interesting trends is Russell’s rushing efficiency against stronger competition. Against Tennessee, he recorded 11 rushing attempts but finished with just six yards, averaging 0.5 yards per carry. Against Texas A&M, he carried the ball nine times for 20 yards, averaging 2.2 yards per attempt. Those two games highlight how his rushing opportunities do not always translate into meaningful yardage. When defenses contain the edges and force him to operate within the pocket, his rushing production can become much less effective
Saturday’s matchup against LSU should present another difficult road environment for Alabama’s young quarterback. The Crimson Tide travel to Baton Rouge for an important SEC matchup, where protecting the football and maintaining offensive efficiency will be critical. Russell has already experienced difficult outings against Tennessee and Georgia, and LSU will have an opportunity to challenge him with pressure and disciplined defensive positioning. I expect Alabama to emphasize getting the ball out quickly rather than consistently relying on Russell to create offense with his legs
Russell’s passing production also gives Alabama a reason to keep the offense focused on moving the ball through the air. He has thrown for 2,057 yards and 15 touchdowns this season, averaging 257.1 passing yards per game. In his most recent appearance against Texas A&M, he threw for 311 yards and three touchdowns while finishing with just 20 rushing yards. His ability to create explosive plays as a passer allows Alabama to generate offense without depending heavily on designed quarterback runs
Ultimately, this is a matchup based under rather than a play supported by a strong season long hit rate. Russell has exceeded this number in five of eight games, so the risk is worth acknowledging. However, his recent performances against Tennessee and Texas A&M have shown reduced rushing efficiency, and LSU presents another difficult conference environment. If Alabama can keep its passing game productive while limiting Russell’s exposure to pressure, his rushing opportunities may be less effective
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CFB Saturday Week 10 Player Prop ✈️
Bear Bachmeier “O” 209.5 Passing Yards
1 unit I -114 FanDuel
Bear Bachmeier has become a major part of BYU’s offensive success this season, and I like him to continue producing through the air against Utah. Through eight games, Bachmeier has thrown for 1,750 yards and 12 touchdowns, averaging 218.8 passing yards per contest. While his production has fluctuated throughout the year, his recent performances have shown a noticeable increase in both passing volume and consistency. With BYU preparing for one of its biggest games of the season against undefeated Utah, I expect Bachmeier to play an important role in keeping the Cougars competitive.
Bachmeier has cleared 209.5 passing yards in six of eight games this season, giving him a 75% hit rate at this number. More importantly, he has exceeded this line in each of his last four appearances, throwing for 329 yards against Iowa State, 224 against Notre Dame, 257 against UCF, and 236 against Arizona State. Over that four-game stretch, he has averaged 261.5 passing yards per contest. That recent production is considerably stronger than his overall season average and provides one of the biggest reasons I like this over.
Another important factor is Bachmeier’s increased passing workload. Over his last four games, he has attempted 128 passes, averaging 32 attempts per contest. That represents a significant increase compared to his first four appearances, when he averaged just 21.5 attempts. His completion numbers have also remained respectable, completing 80 passes during that recent four-game stretch. With BYU facing a Utah team that has been dominant throughout the season, I expect the Cougars to continue relying on Bachmeier to move the football.
The matchup against Utah presents a difficult challenge, but the expected competitiveness of this rivalry game makes the passing volume particularly interesting. Utah enters Saturday undefeated at 8-0 and ranked third nationally, while BYU comes in at 7-1 and ranked inside the top ten. Both programs are competing for positioning in the Big 12 championship race, making this one of the most important games on the conference schedule. Against a strong Utah defense, BYU will need Bachmeier to remain aggressive and create opportunities through the passing game.
Bachmeier has also demonstrated that he can produce against quality opponents. He threw for 224 yards against Notre Dame in a 28-24 victory and followed that with 257 yards against UCF despite BYU losing in double overtime. Against Iowa State, he completed 22 of 30 passes for a season-high 329 yards, averaging nearly 11 yards per attempt. Those performances highlight his ability to generate yardage in different offensive situations. Although Utah presents another difficult defensive matchup, Bachmeier has already shown he can handle an increased workload against competitive teams.
Ultimately, this play comes down to Bachmeier’s recent consistency and the importance of Saturday’s matchup. He has cleared this number in four consecutive games, is averaging 261.5 passing yards during that stretch, and has seen his passing attempts increase significantly as the season has progressed. Utah’s defense will present challenges, but BYU should need a productive passing performance to remain competitive
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CFB Saturday Week 10 Player Prop ✈️
Chris Durr Jr. “O” 72.5 Receiving Yards
1 unit I PrizePicks
Chris Durr Jr. has established himself as one of the most important pieces of Maryland’s passing offense this season, and I like his receiving yardage over against Purdue. Through eight games, Durr has recorded 58 receptions for 638 yards and four touchdowns, averaging 79.8 receiving yards per game. His consistent involvement in the offense has made him a reliable option regardless of Maryland’s struggles in the win column. With his line sitting at 72.5 yards, his season long production provides a solid starting point for this play
Durr has cleared this number in four of his eight games, including three performances exceeding 100 receiving yards. He recorded 103 yards against UConn, 109 against Virginia Tech, 149 against Nebraska, and 104 against Rutgers. His 149-yard performance against Nebraska was particularly impressive, coming on just seven receptions while averaging 21.3 yards per catch. These performances demonstrate that Durr has both the volume and explosive play ability to produce strong receiving totals
One of the strongest arguments for this play is Durr’s consistent involvement in Maryland’s passing attack. He has recorded at least six receptions in seven of eight games this season, including a season high 12 catches against Virginia Tech. Over his last five games, he has totaled 30 receptions for 382 yards, averaging 76.4 receiving yards per contest. Even during Maryland’s recent struggles, Durr has remained heavily involved, which is exactly what I want to see when backing a receiver’s yardage over
Maryland enters Saturday’s road matchup against Purdue having lost six consecutive games, creating another situation where the Terrapins may need to rely on their passing offense. Durr has already shown that negative game scripts can benefit his receiving production. Against Nebraska, Maryland lost 48-23, but Durr still finished with 149 receiving yards. Against Rutgers, Maryland fell 37-30 while Durr recorded another 104 yards. His role has remained significant even when Maryland has struggled defensively and on the scoreboard
Durr’s ability to generate yards after the catch and stretch the field gives him additional upside beyond his reception totals. He is averaging 11.0 yards per reception this season and has recorded a longest reception of 65 yards. His performances against Nebraska and Rutgers also showed his ability to produce explosive gains, including receptions of 65 and 48 yards. While his production has occasionally dipped against stronger defenses, his consistent involvement provides a strong foundation for another productive afternoon
Ultimately, Durr’s combination of receiving volume, season long production, and involvement in negative game scripts makes this one of my preferred receiving plays on Saturday’s card. He is averaging nearly 80 receiving yards per game and has remained a featured part of Maryland’s offense throughout the season. With the Terrapins facing another conference opponent on the road I’m expecting the pass game to get leaner on having and Durr is a quick target
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