Every Premier League match, one evidence-backed pattern the scoreline hides. Numbers, not takes.
Joined August 2026
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Football is more than the final score.
Hypvera turns match data into evidence-backed hypotheses — exploring what may have shaped the game, not just what happened.
Premier League + selected major matches worldwide.
Data → Evidence → Hypotheses.
#PremierLeague #FootballAnalytics
Why Did Man United Fail to Score From 16 Shots Against City?
#MUNMCI #ManUtd #ManCity #PremierLeague #EPL #ManchesterDerby
Sunderland's night in one stat: 1.64 xG, 0 goals three big chances and a penalty missed, despite a second-half surge worth 1.51 xG.
Arsenal didn't need clinicality Saka alone racked up 1.45 xG on the right flank, while Raya denied 1.69 goals at the other end.
Efficient where it mattered.
#SUNARS #PremierLeague #Arsenal #Sunderland #AFC #EPL
Liverpool created 1.13 xG and missed all 4 of their big chances Szoboszlai alone created 4 chances (3 of them "big"), but Fulham held firm behind Leno, who quietly ran their buildup with 24 progressive passes (27.9% of the team's total).
Chelsea dominated with 68% possession and 36 box touches — yet managed just 0.89 xG.
Hull City had only 15 box touches but generated 1.49 xG, with Belloumi scoring both goals from just 3 shots.
Efficiency > Control
Chelsea scored from 0.35 xG.
Arsenal created 2.11 from 44 touches in the opposition box to Chelsea's 25, and 13 shots inside the area to 5.
The scoreline says 2-1. The match didn't.
Coventry produced 1.76 xGOT at the Etihad and scored none of it.
City won 1-0.
On chance quality this was Coventry's match. Donnarumma is the only reason the scoreline says otherwise.
Bournemouth created 1.50 xG. Newcastle created 0.66.
Bournemouth didn't win.
67.3% of their xG came from one player — Marcus Tavernier. When your threat has a single source, 17 shots become 5 on target.
Volume isn't pressure. Distribution is
Virgil van Dijk was central to Liverpool's verticality, contributing 25.9% of the team's total progressive passes.
Arsenal established a clear progression bias.
62% of their progressive passes were routed exclusively through the left channel, heavily tilting early build up away from central and right avenues to break lines.
3/4 — Ipswich’s attacking threat collapsed after half-time.Opposition-box touches:First half: 10
Second half: 3That’s a 70% drop in penetration after the interval.