IV

The market continues to bleed, and I'm sure fear is running high. But remember, I've been watching BTC for a potential move toward $75K and the lower $70Ks for weeks. Well, here we are. Now I'm watching for a reclaim of $75.5K and a potential relief rally. What's interesting to me is how BTC has held up despite everything happening in the world. IMO, that resilience supports my thesis that we're still in the early stages of a new bull cycle. Does that mean the bottom is guaranteed? Absolutely not. The Monthly Gaussian Channel remains my bigger-picture guide. If that structure changes, I'll reassess. Until then, my strategy hasn't changed. I'm holding tight, selectively adding to my highest-conviction projects, and tuning out the noise. Fear doesn't change my plan. The charts and fundamentals do. NFA. DYOR. "The market can shake your confidence, but it shouldn't shake your strategy unless the facts have changed." — IV

BTC and ALTS look like they may be setting up for a relief rally. It doesn't matter either way. My thesis hasn't changed. IMO, we're still in the early stages of a new crypto bull cycle, and I continue to DCA into my highest-conviction projects. I'm also paying close attention to where institutions are deploying capital. Do I have some speculative plays? Absolutely. But those are smaller positions where I understand the risks. There's no shortage of uncertainty right now. • Geopolitical tensions and Iran • Inflation and interest rates • Questions surrounding AI valuations • Midterm elections • Institutional ETF outflows All of these are weighing on market sentiment. But am I concerned about the long-term future of crypto, AI and technology? Not particularly. If you believe these technologies will continue transforming our economy, then short-term corrections shouldn't automatically change your long-term outlook. That doesn't mean every project or company will succeed. Far from it. There will be corrections, failed investments and plenty of volatility along the way. The key is choosing the right assets, managing risk and staying positioned for the opportunities ahead. I'm not investing based on what the market might do next week. I'm investing based on where I believe technology and financial markets are headed over the coming years. The future is bright. The road getting there won't always be smooth. NFA. DYOR. "The market will test your patience long before it rewards your conviction." — IV

For several months now, I've been saying that I believe the BTC bottom is in. Does that mean markets go straight up? Of course not. But it's interesting watching sentiment shift. Back in August, some analysts were still calling for BTC at $35–40K. Meanwhile, I was already DCA'ing, believing we were much closer to the bottom than many anticipated. Would I have welcomed those lower prices? Absolutely. But I wasn't willing to sit on the sidelines waiting for a bottom that might never come. Today, I believe the chances of revisiting $50–60K have diminished considerably, although nothing is guaranteed. And here's something else... I don't believe you've missed the opportunity in ALTS. Many are still trading at what I consider attractive long-term prices. Some have already made significant moves and may need to cool off. Others may eventually get their opportunity. But don't chase everything. You can't own every project, and not every ALT will survive or thrive. Choose your convictions. Do your research. Know what you own. That makes navigating volatility much easier. I continue watching the higher timeframes, especially the Monthly Gaussian Channel, to help guide my decisions. But the bigger picture is what excites me most. Crypto is evolving into a major asset class. For those of us who have been here for years, sometimes wondering whether this day would ever come, it's incredible watching the industry mature. And IMO, we're still early in that evolution. Crypto is no longer just a speculative idea. It's increasingly becoming part of the global financial system. There is still tremendous potential ahead, but choosing the right projects and managing risk will matter more than ever. DYOR. Make your own decisions. Own your financial future. NFA. "The greatest advantage isn't knowing where the market will go. It's having a plan before everyone else decides to act." — IV