Elections Observer|Election Management Systems| Private Elections| Transparency| Family Guy is my Meth| TBBT
Muhuru Bay
Joined June 2009
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According to Article 104 of the Kenyan Constitution (2010), a member of parliament (MP) can be recalled if a petition is initiated by at least 30% of the registered voters in that constituency and the petition supported by at least of the registered voters in the constituency.
Ian Smith Okatch retweeted
Through the KISP program, we are convening a three-day Program Review and Management Workshop in Nyeri.
The workshop brings together KISP partners to review program progress, assess implementation challenges, and strengthen alignment with the revised program results framework.
Ian Smith Okatch retweeted
Day 2 of the Kenya Institutional Strengthening Programme (KISP) Review & Management Workshop focused on reviewing progress against programme results and identifying what is helping or hindering effective implementation.
Partners examined the implications of the revised logframe for work plans, monitoring, reporting and learning, while reflecting on implementation challenges and emerging evidence gaps. Discussions also focused on developing a shared learning agenda to inform programme adaptation and management decisions.
As partners, these conversations are strengthening our collective approach to accountability, evidence-based decision-making and impactful programme delivery.
#KISP
Ian Smith Okatch retweeted
The 2026 South Sudan Country Forum, convened in Juba on 23–24 September by SSuNDE and E-HORN under the AHEAD Africa Project, assessed electoral preparedness and identified urgent priorities for a credible, peaceful and inclusive electoral process.
Read the communiqué. 👇
Ian Smith Okatch retweeted
Join Mule Musau, National Coordinator of the Elections Observation Group (ELOG) and Regional Coordinator of EHORN, on Radio Generation for an important conversation on Transparency in Elections: Understanding the Ban on Live Streaming.
📻 Monday
⏱️ 7–9 PM
📡 FM 92.5
Tune in as we unpack the implications for electoral transparency, media freedom, public participation, and democracy in Kenya.
#EyesOnElections
Ian Smith Okatch retweeted
Kenya is heading towards the 2027 General Election, and there has been a lot of public debate about amendments to the Elections Act, particularly the livestreaming of election results.
What should Kenyans understand about these proposed changes, and why does the issue matter for electoral transparency and public confidence?
#EyesOnElections
Ian Smith Okatch retweeted
2.6 million new voters. What do the numbers tell us about youth participation?
Who registered? Where are they? And does registration signal a growing willingness among young people to participate in the 2027 General Election?
Join the #Tubonge webinar as we unpack the data and the rise of youth-led initiatives like #TukoKadi.
Register to join the conversatiom tommorrow from 3pm- 5pm us02web.zoom.us/meeting/regi…
#EyesOnElections #YouthParticipation #KenyaDecides2027 – at Marua, Kenya
Ian Smith Okatch retweeted
The Kenya Institutional Strengthening Programme (KISP) Programme Review and Management Workshop kicked off with partners coming together to reflect on programme performance and explore how the revised logframe will guide implementation.
Discussions focused on aligning partner activities with programme outcomes, tracking progress against indicators, identifying evidence gaps, and strengthening adaptive management to improve programme delivery.
Day 1 provided a valuable learning opportunity, allowing us as partners to reflect on our collective progress, share insights, identify areas for improvement, and strengthen our approaches to implementing KISP for greater impact.
As the workshop continues, we look forward to building on these discussions to enhance programme implementation, strengthen accountability, and ensure our collective efforts deliver meaningful and measurable results .
#KISP
Ian Smith Okatch retweeted
Hi @elogkenya you are doing a lot with IEBC on data, possible to share age and gender disaggregated data on recent voter registration campaigns prior to the resumption of continuous voter registration in September 2026.
Ian Smith Okatch retweeted
ルラ陣営がSNSのアルゴリズムを避けるためにとった手法とのこと
XとかFacebook のアルゴリズムによる修正が入る可能性を避けるためにWhatsappを利用。
1. 招待リンクによる「グループの乱立と細分化」
WhatsAppのグループチャットを活用。陣営はWebサイトやSNS上に「招待リンク」を大量に配置。
グループの人数条件で満員になれば次へ自動誘導: 1つのグループが定員に達すると、自動的に「グループ2」「グループ3」へと参加者を振り分けるリンク管理ツールを導入。
属性別のセグメント化: 「学生」「年金生活者」「福音派キリスト教徒」「特定地域の住民」など、属性や関心ごとに数千〜数万の細分化されたグループを網の目のように立ち上げた。
2. 「デジタル・アンバサダー（伝道師）」の育成
中央組織が全国民に一斉送信したのではなく、熱心な支持者を「中継地点（ハブ）」に仕立てた。
[選挙対策本部 / コアチーム]
│
▼（毎朝、画像・短文・動画・反論ネタを配信）
[数万人のアクティブ支持者・ボランティア]
│
▼（各自が私生活のグループへ「手動」で転送・シェア）
[家族・親戚グループ / 職場の同僚 / 地元の友人 / 教会仲間]
WhatsAppはスパム対策として「一度に転送できる宛先数」に制限（最大5件まで、頻繁に転送されたメッセージは1件まで）。そこで陣営は、ボランティアに「自分の言葉を添えて、自分が所属する家族グループや趣味のグループにシェアしてほしい」と呼びかけた。
これにより、プラットフォーム側の自動スパム検知をすり抜けながら、極めて自然な形で無数のプライベート空間へ浸透。
3. Telegramとのハイブリッド運用
WhatsAppはグループ人数の上限が厳しかったため、陣営はTelegramも併用。Telegramには数十万人規模が入れる巨大チャンネルを作れる利点。
Telegramの巨大チャンネルで「今日拡散してほしい画像やファクトチェック記事」を一斉配布し、それを受け取った支持者たちがWhatsAppへと持ち帰って身近な人へ配る、というリレー形式。
4. 24時間体制の反論・ファクトチェックBot
相手陣営からフェイクニュースやネガティブキャンペーンが流れてきた際、有権者が「これ本当？」と転送して確認できる自動応答窓口（WhatsAppビジネスAPIを活用したBot）を設置。
「それはデマです。正しい事実はこちら」という短尺の画像や動画が即座に返信され、受け取ったユーザーはそのまま元の会話グループに「これデマらしいよ」と貼り付けて打ち消すことができた。
WhatsApp戦略は「無数の家庭のリビングに、信頼できる家族の1人として入り込んで直接耳打ちする」ようなネットワークを人力とツールで構築。
SNSじゃなくてpeer-to-peerってことは鍵がアルゴリズムから人間に移ってたってこと。人海戦術とキーパーソン。
Won't be suprised if LIKUD won ay this point – at Marua, Kenya
BREAKING: Netanyahu's Likud has just submitted a request to extend voting hours beyond 10pm in Israel's election, per Channel 12.
Turnout stood at 55.7% at 4pm, up 8 points on the same hour in 2022 and the highest ever recorded.
It comes as Trump allies are secretly cutting a deal to keep Netanyahu in power even if he loses the election, with Trump backing a unity government.
Ian Smith Okatch retweeted
BREAKING: Netanyahu's Likud has just submitted a request to extend voting hours beyond 10pm in Israel's election, per Channel 12.
Turnout stood at 55.7% at 4pm, up 8 points on the same hour in 2022 and the highest ever recorded.
It comes as Trump allies are secretly cutting a deal to keep Netanyahu in power even if he loses the election, with Trump backing a unity government.
Ian Smith Okatch retweeted
Day 1 | KISP Programme Review & Management Workshop 2026
KISP partners gathered in Nyeri to review programme performance, unpack the revised logframe, identify implementation gaps and strengthen accountability and evidence-based decision-making.
#ajendayetu #uraiatrust
Ian Smith Okatch retweeted
So WhatsApp groups are deciding elections around the world. Very nice, SODF tusitishwe !!
How 'Lula's Army' WhatsApp chat helped turn Brazil election around bbc.in/4zU8c9w
Ian Smith Okatch retweeted
PUBLIC NOTICE
SUSPENSION OF THE MIGWANI WARD BY-ELECTION
The Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission (IEBC) hereby informs the general public that the by-election for Migwani Ward, Mwingi West Constituency, Kitui County, has been suspended following interim conservatory orders issued by the High Court on 22nd October, 2026. (Kitui High Court constitutional petition number E011 of 2026 : Francis Musili Kauta vs. IEBC & 3 Others).
The Court issued the orders for a period of 30 days pending the hearing of the petition.
The petition is scheduled for hearing on 11th November 2026.
The Commission urges members of the public and all stakeholders to take note of this development. Further updates will be communicated through the Commission’s official channels.
#2027GE #KuraYakoSautiYako
Ian Smith Okatch retweeted
When court rulings on election laws appear to conflict, Kenyans need clarity on the applicable legal position.
Watch the full discussion here:
Link:youtu.be/0f6cf0J-cXQ?si=KiOM…
#EyesOnElections
Ian Smith Okatch retweeted
"We need a clear pathway towards results management as we head towards the 2027 General Election. When IEBC is tasked with developing a robust live-streaming mechanism, clear guidance must be provided. Live streaming is not the same as results transmission; there is a big difference. We must ensure that the media and the public can access and follow election results transparently to strengthen accountability and public trust in the electoral process.
~Mulle Musau, CEO - ELOG ~
🎥 Listen to the conversation
#EyesOnElections
Ian Smith Okatch retweeted
Update ~
IEBC Registered Voters by County (July 2026)
1. Nairobi City – 2,743,155
2. Kiambu – 2,426,477
3. Nakuru – 1,965,036
4. Meru – 949,046
5. Kakamega – 948,567
6. Machakos – 784,702
7. Bungoma – 738,640
8. Kisii – 710,585
9. Mombasa – 707,526
10. Murang’a – 673,286
11. Kilifi – 661,141
12. Kisumu – 658,086
13. Homa Bay – 609,545
14. Kitui – 605,703
15. Siaya – 582,165
16. Uasin Gishu – 575,048
17. Nyeri – 531,778
18. Makueni – 529,993
19. Kajiado – 522,725
20. Migori – 519,116
21. Kericho – 482,408
22. Nandi – 461,262
23. Busia – 460,812
24. Narok – 448,160
25. Trans Nzoia – 444,766
26. Bomet – 424,660
27. Kirinyaga – 415,471
28. Nyandarua – 383,706
29. Kwale – 360,601
30. Embu – 360,078
31. Nyamira – 350,502
32. Vihiga – 339,538
33. Baringo – 319,865
34. Turkana – 298,336
35. Laikipia – 291,633
36. Tharaka-Nithi – 261,394
37. West Pokot – 261,080
38. Elgeyo Marakwet – 244,164
39. Mandera – 236,456
40. Wajir – 230,640
41. Garissa – 227,655
42. Taita Taveta – 208,072
43. Marsabit – 191,343
44. Tana River – 161,002
45. Samburu – 120,805
46. Isiolo – 100,533
47. Lamu – 91,604
Total registered voters nationwide: 24,715,257.
Top 5 counties by registered voters:
1. Nairobi City – 2,743,155
2. Kiambu – 2,426,477
3. Nakuru – 1,965,036
4. Meru – 949,046
5. Kakamega – 948,567
Counties with the lowest number of registered voters:
1. Lamu – 91,604
2. Isiolo – 100,533
3. Samburu – 120,805
4.Tana River – 161,002
5. Marsabit – 191,343.
Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission(IEBC)
Ian Smith Okatch retweeted
📢 2.6 million new voters. What do the numbers really tell us about youth participation?
As Kenya looks ahead to the 2027 General Election, voter registration numbers raise important questions about young people’s political participation, civic mobilisation and what comes next. @CMDKenya @elogkenya
Join us for the next Tubonge Conversations as we unpack the numbers, the emerging trends, and what they mean for youth engagement ahead of 2027.
📅 29 October 2026
⏲️ 3:00–5:00 PM EAT
📌 Zoom: us02web.zoom.us/meeting/regi…
