SOMETHING STRANGE KEEPS HAPPENING EVERY 4 YEARS Look at the timing 2014, 2018, 2022 And no, I'm not talking about the clichéd 4-year cycle I'm talking about the MID-TERM ELECTIONS 3 U.S. midterm election years = 3 brutal Bitcoin dumps BTC lost roughly: 57% in 2014 73% in 2018 64% in 2022 Then came the years that followed 2015: +34% 2019: +92% 2023: +155% The same sequence keeps showing up in the chart: A midterm year brings a major drawdown The following year brings a powerful recovery And now we're approaching the 2026 midterms with Bitcoin under pressure again But here's where this gets interesting I don't think the explanation is simply that elections make Bitcoin dump The election cycle and Bitcoin's four-year market cycle overlap Midterms arrive roughly two and a half years after a presidential election Bitcoin's halving cycle also runs on a roughly four-year schedule That creates a recurring window where political uncertainty and crypto market-cycle dynamics can collide And the market doesn't need a political crisis to sell off Investors start pricing in uncertainty before Election Day Policy expectations shift Risk appetite changes Leveraged positions build up during rallies, then become fuel for the downside when price turns against them Once selling starts, liquidations can accelerate the move far beyond what the initial catalyst would justify But the real question is what happens AFTER the election Political uncertainty begins to clear Investors can reassess the policy outlook And if liquidity and demand improve, capital can start moving back into risk assets That's one possible explanation for why the years after previous midterms were so strong for Bitcoin Now look at 2026 The historical pattern is back on the radar If BTC follows the previous cycles, this year's weakness could eventually give way to a much stronger recovery in 2027 But there's a catch Three comparable midterm cycles are not enough to prove that elections cause Bitcoin's declines The four-year crypto cycle could explain much of the same pattern Macro conditions, interest rates, leverage and capital flows can override the calendar completely So I'm not treating this chart as a guaranteed prediction I'm treating it as a pattern worth watching Because if history repeats, the biggest opportunity might not come during the midterm selloff itself It might come when the selling exhausts itself, the market stops making lower lows, and a new expansion begins Don't forget: I’m tracking these market cycles closely When I see a signal that changes my outlook, I’ll share it here publicly. Follow + notifs on You don’t want to recognize the pattern only after it plays out