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Investing With Brandon retweeted
Retail investor: I sold my Apple $AAPL at the end of 2021 for about $178/share. Was up 34% on the year. Locked it in like you’re supposed to.
Me: Where’s it at now?
Retail investor: ...almost $348. Almost double where I sold.
Me: So you took 34%, paid taxes on it, & handed the next 96% to whoever bought your shares.
Retail investor: But it dropped 27% in 2022! I dodged that.
Me: You dodged a dip that put a great company on sale... Look at the chart. The 2022 drop is a wiggle now. & I bet you didn’t buy more at the bottom because you were “out of the trade”
Retail investor: Dang... yes...
Me: The key is to sell when the actual thesis changes. Valuation. Moat. Story. Not just because you hit some automatic % of profit... Look at Warren Buffett. Berkshire bought Coke in 1988 & still owns 400 million shares. Why? Because nothing more compelling came along that was worth paying the taxes to switch into.
Retail investor: I never thought about it this way...
Me: That’s how the wealthy do it. Selling your best stock to lock in 34% is how you stay middle class with a great pick.
The truth most don't wanna face about the MARKET BUBBLE...
We likely are NOT in one
How do we know?
IT sector PE in 1999 was about 50
IT sector PE in 2026 is about 19.7
This + solid EPS growth + interest rates in a reasonable range + good economy = good chance we see solid returns from here
This does NOT mean green next week or next month
It means if you use your head & buy great companies at good prices & only use 1+ year options on ultra convictive setups... you will likely be rewarded
Stick to the plan
Investing With Brandon retweeted
$AMD started this year at about $214. It closed Friday at about $517.
Now watch what a covered call does to that.
Say you owned 100 shares in early February. AMD had just dipped to about $192. You sell a $220 covered call expiring in April for a little “income.” Say you collect $10 a share... $1,000.
April 17 comes & AMD is at $278. Your shares get called away at $220.
A week later it’s $348. Then it ran all the way to $658 earlier this month.
Even after falling about 21% from that high, AMD is still almost $297 a share above your strike. On just 100 shares that’s about $29,700 you handed to someone else for $1,000 of premium.
At the top it was almost $43,900.
& the downside? The lowest AMD got this year was about $188 in early March. That’s $26 below where it started. Your $10 of premium didn’t even cover half of it.
That’s covered calls for you... caps your upside & doesn’t do much to protect the downside.
Find the "right time to buy" on this $QQQ chart
Down 29% in about 4 weeks. They closed the economy. Circuit breakers halting the whole market over & over.
Every day of that COVID drop, buying felt insane. Every headline said worse was coming.
Then it recovered in roughly 5 months & never looked back.
Here's what I want you to actually see. There was NO moment on this chart where it felt safe & cheap at the same time. At the bottom it felt like the end of the world. By the time it felt fine, the discount was gone.
That's every crash. The "good feeling" & the opportunity never show up together. Ever... Every dip is usually because something bad is happening.
& while everyone was frozen, fear had put premiums the fattest they'd been in a decade. So what did I do? Sold 1+ year portfolio secured puts & reinvested that cash flow back in to my base portfolio.
The next version of this chart is already scheduled. The only question is whether you'll have a plan or just panic like most...
Retail investor: I sold my Apple $AAPL at the end of 2021 for about $178/share. Was up 34% on the year. Locked it in like you’re supposed to.
Me: Where’s it at now?
Retail investor: ...almost $348. Almost double where I sold.
Me: So you took 34%, paid taxes on it, & handed the next 96% to whoever bought your shares.
Retail investor: But it dropped 27% in 2022! I dodged that.
Me: You dodged a dip that put a great company on sale... Look at the chart. The 2022 drop is a wiggle now. & I bet you didn’t buy more at the bottom because you were “out of the trade”
Retail investor: Dang... yes...
Me: The key is to sell when the actual thesis changes. Valuation. Moat. Story. Not just because you hit some automatic % of profit... Look at Warren Buffett. Berkshire bought Coke in 1988 & still owns 400 million shares. Why? Because nothing more compelling came along that was worth paying the taxes to switch into.
Retail investor: I never thought about it this way...
Me: That’s how the wealthy do it. Selling your best stock to lock in 34% is how you stay middle class with a great pick.
Forward P/E of the “AI bubble” stocks as of Friday’s close...
$NVDA: about 17x
$META: about 19.5x
$TSM: about 19.6x
$GOOG: about 24x
$AMZN: about 26x
$MSFT: about 26.5x
The S&P 500 overall: 18.7x
So 6 of the most talked about AI companies on earth trade right around the market’s average multiple... while growing a lot faster than the average company
Does that mean buy all of them tomorrow? No. P/E is one piece. Growth, moat, debt & where earnings are actually headed matter just as much
But next time someone tells you the whole AI trade is a bubble, ask them which one. Some are. Some aren't.
If you get value from my posts, you'll love my 10 Day Stock & Options Transformation Training.
No day trading.
No swing trading.
No BS.
Just Stocks & Options the right way + access to my mastermind Discord community
Get set up here:
investingwithbrandon.co
$AMD started this year at about $214. It closed Friday at about $517.
Now watch what a covered call does to that.
Say you owned 100 shares in early February. AMD had just dipped to about $192. You sell a $220 covered call expiring in April for a little “income.” Say you collect $10 a share... $1,000.
April 17 comes & AMD is at $278. Your shares get called away at $220.
A week later it’s $348. Then it ran all the way to $658 earlier this month.
Even after falling about 21% from that high, AMD is still almost $297 a share above your strike. On just 100 shares that’s about $29,700 you handed to someone else for $1,000 of premium.
At the top it was almost $43,900.
& the downside? The lowest AMD got this year was about $188 in early March. That’s $26 below where it started. Your $10 of premium didn’t even cover half of it.
That’s covered calls for you... caps your upside & doesn’t do much to protect the downside.
I made MILLIONS in 2022 when $QQQ dipped 35%
Shares
1+ year portfolio secured puts
1+ year bought calls
Capitalized. & appreciated HEAVY since.
The next recession is your biggest opportunity to get rich.
Stop fearing corrections.
Start preparing.
If you get value from my posts, you'll love my 10 Day Stock & Options Transformation Training.
No day trading.
No swing trading.
No BS.
Just Stocks & Options the right way + access to my mastermind Discord community
Get set up here:
investingwithbrandon.co
Just sent out my FREE Sunday newsletter covering this crazy market + what to do about it in a simple way!
Check it out here:
investingwithbrandon.beehiiv…
Every options trader follows this same path.
please don't be like most...
Stage 1 — Day trader.
Follows trade alert services. Buys weekly calls.
Gets smoked.
Stage 2 — Swing trader.
Follows momentum. No fundamentals.
Gets smoked again.
Stage 3 — Covered calls & cash secured puts.
Caps upside. Misses every big move.
Underperforms buy & hold SP500.
Stage 4 — Realizes the market cannot be timed short term.
Stops gambling. Starts studying fundamentals.
EPS. Valuation. Moat.
Stage 5 — Base portfolio + Portfolio secured puts + Bought calls.
All options 1+ year. Elite companies/ETFs at good prices. Emotions & ratios always in check to be fine in deep crashes.
Most people never make it past Stage 3.
Hopefully this shortcut helps.
THE STOCK MARKET IS DOING THE UNTHINKABLE RIGHT IN FRONT OF US
Q3 EPS growth 29.5% YoY
Forward PE of 18.7
Economy ok
Interest rates ok (but on radar as they drift higher)
This is not a "bubble" being propped up by hype
This is a market being driven by REAL earnings strength
When profits are this strong, prices HAVE a reason to go higher
That is how markets work
EPS is strong & share prices will follow that in the long run
Will we get pullbacks & volatility? Of course!
But the long term investor will continue to win...
If you get value from my posts, you'll love my 10 Day Stock & Options Transformation Training.
No day trading.
No swing trading.
No BS.
Just Stocks & Options the right way + access to my mastermind Discord community
Get set up here:
investingwithbrandon.co
Investing With Brandon retweeted
I retired at 31 doing this.
Step 1 = Build your base.
35% $VOO
35% $QQQ
20% high conviction companies near intrinsic value.
10% Bonds or leap calls if compelling
This is your foundation & your collateral.
Step 2 = Sell 1+ year portfolio secured puts.
Quality companies only.
Moat.
Pricing power.
Good valuation.
Collect the premium.
Pay zero margin interest.
Step 3 = Redeploy every dollar of premium.
More shares.
LEAPS on your highest conviction names.
Never let it sit as cash.
Step 4 = Keep ratios in check.
Always know your 7-day liquidity.
A 40% crash should not keep you up at night.
That is it.
No day trading.
No covered calls.
No spreads.
No stress.
Just structure & time.
Retail investor: AI is a bubble & Nvidia is the poster child
Me: What do you think $NVDA trades at for a PE?
Retail investor: idk... like 60 times earnings?
Me: About 17x next year’s earnings
Retail investor: ok & the S&P?
Me: About 18.7x
Retail investor: wait... Nvidia is CHEAPER than the S&P?
Me: On forward earnings, yeah
Retail investor: so what’s the bubble then
Me: Ask that about the companies with no earnings. Not the one making more money than almost anyone on earth
Check the P/E before you call it a bubble.
Retail investor: Nvidia’s down from $242 to $211. I’m buying calls
Me: What expiration?
Retail investor: November
Me: So you need $NVDA to bounce in a few weeks
Retail investor: it always bounces
Me: Maybe. But Microsoft, Google & Amazon report next week, the Fed meets & midterms are right after. A lot can happen in a few weeks
Retail investor: so you wouldn’t buy calls
Me: I didn’t say that. I’d just go 1+ year out. My Nvidia calls expire in January 2028
Retail investor: those cost way more
Me: More up front, but you’re buying time for the earnings to actually grow & the thesis to play out. A November call needs the stock to move NOW
Retail investor: & if it keeps dropping?
Me: Then my calls are down for a while & I don’t care, because I’ve got over a year for the business to catch up. & I keep calls small, only a couple % of my account per company when I do it.
Nobody know's what stocks will do in a few weeks.
So the solution? Don't bet on that.
If you get value from my posts, you'll love my 10 Day Stock & Options Transformation Training.
No day trading.
No swing trading.
No BS.
Just Stocks & Options the right way + access to my mastermind Discord community
Get set up here:
investingwithbrandon.co
I retired at 31 doing this.
Step 1 = Build your base.
35% $VOO
35% $QQQ
20% high conviction companies near intrinsic value.
10% Bonds or leap calls if compelling
This is your foundation & your collateral.
Step 2 = Sell 1+ year portfolio secured puts.
Quality companies only.
Moat.
Pricing power.
Good valuation.
Collect the premium.
Pay zero margin interest.
Step 3 = Redeploy every dollar of premium.
More shares.
LEAPS on your highest conviction names.
Never let it sit as cash.
Step 4 = Keep ratios in check.
Always know your 7-day liquidity.
A 40% crash should not keep you up at night.
That is it.
No day trading.
No covered calls.
No spreads.
No stress.
Just structure & time.
If you get value from my posts, you'll love my 10 Day Stock & Options Transformation Training.
No day trading.
No swing trading.
No BS.
Just Stocks & Options the right way + access to my mastermind Discord community
Get set up here:
investingwithbrandon.co
When the market is cheap & everyone is panicking
Two things are true at the exact same time
1. Put options are expensive
Herd is buying them for protection
2. Call options are cheap
Nobody wants to be bullish
So I do both at once
Sell puts for top dollar
Buy calls for bottom dollar
Then the market recovers
The put I sold for top dollar is now worth almost nothing.
The call I bought for bottom dollar is now worth a lot.
Close both & Take the profit.
That is how you capitalize on human emotion
