Founder of @punchbowlnews

Washington
Joined February 2009
I know: @allymutnick
who is excited for the mother of all FEC days tomorrow literally all your favorite homies are filing reports
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🕑 @PunchbowlNews MIDDAY DEEP-RED REPUBLICANS ARE SUDDENLY GOING NEGATIVE The map has shifted significantly to the right, as Republicans in states that Trump won by 15-30 go negative against their Democratic opponents. punchbowl.news/archive/10212…
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Clinton and Obama were both at 46% approval rating when they lost the House in 1994 and 2010. Trump is at 34% today. per nyt/siena
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Another LIV golfer gone. Very sad for lifelong Southern Guards fans.
🚨❌🇿🇦 #BREAKING — In a surprising move, Major Champion and 11-time DP World Tour winner Louis Oosthuizen is leaving LIV Golf, with the Southern Guards Captain declaring that it’s time to make his exit from the league as he pursues a schedule on the DP World Tour. “I loved LIV and the team aspect, but it’s time to move on” he told The South China Morning Post. It was initially expected that the South African team was fully on board with LIV 2.0 because of the successful home event but this changes that. “I feel I have a few more years of good, competitive golf left in me, and the only way to be really sharp and competitive is through a schedule I control…” “Southern Guards is my team. It always has been and it always will be. That's what makes this so difficult…” “This is probably the hardest decision I've had to make in my career, but I have to do what I believe is right for my golf. It doesn't change how I feel about the team or the guys.” Oosthuizen’s announcement comes as LIV faces a Sunday deadline for players to commit to the future of the league. Do you think LIV will survive?
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such a terrific @PunchbowlNews AM - @allymutnick in Miami Beach on whether Rs have completely whiffed in Florida. - @maxpcohen in Casa Grande, Ariz., on Arizona Dems - @LauraEWeiss16, in Jackson, Ohio, breaks news on whether Sherrod Brown wants back on banking if he wins. - @Dareasmunhoz in Sacramento gets Kiley to say he would consider backing Jeffries. punchbowl.news/archive/10212…
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HMP Q3: Looks like HMP did an event in Martha's Vineyard. They paid for flowers, hotels, catering in MVY. 11k at Gran Morsi, an italian joint in NYC. They also paid for catering and travel at the Lodge at Torrey Pines, where Jeffries/House Dems have their annual big-money retreat
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HMP Q3 -- Most of HMP's polling is done by The Majority Institute -- $4M. looks like theyre paid by retainer....500k payments. PPP got 154k Equis Research -- 100k HMP also seems to be doing in-kind polling for a bunch of groups including Giffords, Women Vote, EDW action fund, Reproductive Freedom for All.
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Interesting: Coinbase gave $500K and the Solana Policy Institute gave 500k. Remember this is over the last quarter
HMP's top 10 donors last quarter: 1) Reid Hoffman: $8.5M 2) Economic Opportunity Fund: $5M 3) The PAC for America’s Future: $4M 4) National Association of Realtors Congressional Fund: $3M 5) Rory Gates: $2.5M 6) UA Political Issues Fund:: $2M 7) Working for Working Americans: $2M 8) NEA Advocacy Fund: $1.5M 9) Lincoln Robinson: $1.4M 10) Susan Sarofim: $1.29M
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HMP's top 10 donors last quarter: 1) Reid Hoffman: $8.5M 2) Economic Opportunity Fund: $5M 3) The PAC for America’s Future: $4M 4) National Association of Realtors Congressional Fund: $3M 5) Rory Gates: $2.5M 6) UA Political Issues Fund:: $2M 7) Working for Working Americans: $2M 8) NEA Advocacy Fund: $1.5M 9) Lincoln Robinson: $1.4M 10) Susan Sarofim: $1.29M
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Just getting through looking at HMP's third quarter filings -- they file monthly, so it just came in last night. $126.8M raised. $63.72M spent. $72M from HMF
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House Rules Chair VIRGINIA FOXX is up with an ad that is half bio spot, half negative ad against her Democratic opponent.
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September House committee fundraising DCCC: $26.3M raised. NRCC: $28.5 raised. COH. DCCC: $55.8M. NRCC: $61.3M DNC transferred nothing to DCCC (they don't have a lot of cash -- 19M). RNC transferred $14.5M to NRCC.
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THE NRCC's September was bolstered by a $14.5M transfer from the RNC. 51% of their receipts last month -- they raised $28.5. RNC transferred $8M on Sept. 25. $6.5M on Sept. 30.
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MAGA Inc. spent $201 million in September, according to a just filed FEC report.
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House Rules Chair Virginia Foxx is now up on the air. This is a Trump +18 district.
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Jake Sherman retweeted
News in @PunchbowlNews PM: Dem @RepAdamGrayCA is joining an event in his battleground district w/@ShopFloorNAM today to tout the Senate’s bipartisan permitting reform bill. The event is happening at West-Mark, a manufacturer of tank trailers & specialty transport equipment
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on top of the money Musk gave to SLF, which was funneled to texas pac
Elon Musk's America PAC out with another $5.8 million in digital media buys, $5 million of that in #TXSen (and I just noticed that both the TXSEN and OHSEN races have blown past $300 million in general election outside spending)
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Jake Sherman retweeted
And CLF is doubling down with $9M across six new GOP-held districts: #AZ06 - Juan Ciscomani #MI04 - Bill Huizenga #VA02 - Jen Kiggans #PA08 - Rob Bresnahan #WI03 - Derrick Van Orden #SC01 - OPEN punchbowl.news/archive/10202… w @JakeSherman
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