BOOOM 🚨 $TSLA's Q3 2026 update is out. Non-GAAP EPS came in at $0.48, ahead of the roughly $0.43 to $0.45 analysts expected 🔥 But the most revealing parts of the deck have little to do with EPS. They show a company steadily shifting its weight from cars to robots, robotaxis, and AI 🔥 🧠 FSD is now on more than three out of four new cars in North America. Over 75% of new North American deliveries included FSD in Q3, up nearly 20 percentage points from Q2. Active FSD subscriptions reached 1.74 million, up from 1.48 million last quarter and 1.04 million a year ago. That count includes both upfront purchases and monthly subscriptions, and it leaves out free trials. Europe is opening up too. Croatia, Slovenia, the Czech Republic, and Slovakia have approved FSD (Supervised) since the end of Q2, bringing the total to nine EU countries. More than 100,000 European customers have already driven over 160 million kilometers on it, or nearly 100 million miles. Tesla says FSD subscriptions helped lift revenue and that FSD is driving demand wherever it's available. Put those together, and software is becoming a real revenue stream that can grow across the cars already on the road, not just with new sales. The outlook points the same way, with Tesla expecting hardware profits to be joined by faster growth in SI, software, and fleet-based profits. 🤖 Optimus has moved from prototypes to a real production line. Optimus production has started on Tesla's high-volume lines in Fremont. The bots coming off that line are the first production-quality Optimus units Tesla has ever built, and Tesla says it has proven the current process is ready for a commercial product. The capacity table lists Fremont as "Early Ramp" and shows a second Optimus site already under construction in Texas. Tesla hasn't shared a capacity number for either one yet. This is the jump from prototypes to manufactured units, and that's the step that matters most for bringing costs down. Building a second site before the first one has even ramped suggests Tesla expects demand well beyond what Fremont can handle. The missing capacity figure is a reminder that the ramp is still early. 🚕 Cybercab is now giving rides in Austin, and unsupervised miles are growing fast. Tesla started Robotaxi rides with Cybercab in Austin on September 3. By the end of the quarter, the Robotaxi service had logged nearly 2 million cumulative unsupervised miles, eight times the total from three months earlier. Austin service now runs from 6am to midnight. Texas now shows more than 125,000 units of installed annual Cybercab capacity with "Production" status. Tesla points out that installed capacity isn't the same as the current production rate, and it says battery supply is still the main constraint on vehicle volumes. It's ramping 4680 cells specifically to support Cybercab and Semi. There's also a telling line in the outlook. Tesla says deliveries will depend partly on "allocation decisions between sale to customers and use for our owned and operated fleet." In plain English, Tesla is openly weighing how many cars to keep for its own network instead of selling them. With the tooling listed as in production, batteries look like what will set the pace for Cybercab. Inside the car, riders get Grok with voice access to their inbox, calendar, files, and tasks, and Tesla pitches the cabin as "a second living room." Tesla is clearly thinking about what riders do during the trip, not just the trip itself. ⚡ Tesla plans to grow its AI training compute by about 50% in a single quarter. Cortex 1 and Cortex 2 in Texas are rated at more than 105 MW and 120 MW, and Tesla has another 40 MW of compute on top of that, for roughly 265 MW in total. The goal is 400 MW by the end of the year, and Tesla says this compute trains autonomy software for both its vehicles and its humanoid robots. Tesla is also building its own chip fab in Austin and plans to start commissioning equipment there in 2027. It hasn't said yet which chips the fab will make. All of this shows up in the spending. R&D rose to $2.76 billion, up 69% from a year ago, and capex hit $4.73 billion, more than double last year's $2.25 billion. Even so, free cash flow stayed positive at $1.5 billion, and cash grew to $45.4 billion. Because one compute pool trains both FSD and Optimus, progress on one can feed the other. A chip fab is one of the boldest vertical integration moves Tesla has made, and staying cash-positive while building it makes that bet much easier to fund. 🔭 Tesla is building every piece of its next chapter at the same time. Robots are coming off a production line, driverless Cybercabs are carrying riders, FSD is turning into recurring software revenue, and the compute behind all of it is about to grow by half. Each piece makes the others stronger, and together they point to a Tesla whose future depends less on how many cars it sells and more on what its AI can do.

According to RBC Capital Markets, SpaceX could acquire Tesla in an all-stock deal valued at $480 per share, creating a combined company worth $3.74 trillion 🔥 Under the hypothetical buyout, $TSLA investors would receive roughly three SpaceX shares for each share they own, securing a 30% premium paid entirely in equity 🔥 That swap would give Tesla shareholders a 48% ownership stake in the merged giant, down from the 54% RBC calculated in July despite the offer price remaining unchanged. The ultimate payout and ratio would still hinge on prevailing market prices and finalized agreement terms 🔥