Kenny Fuckin’ Powers doing @Kalshi ads now. What’s the world coming to….
Good news: Within 2 weeks we will likely see a major low but absolutely ZERO guarantees. Maybe we just crash instead.
Bad news: I firmly believe we will break this range to the downside to force more liquidations next week....
“Call NOW.. so that we can mutually figure out how to drain the most cash from you..”
Our long-term SPY model went on a Buy Signal on May 8, 2025. Recently, however, we've seen a shift in several of the model's underlying components that could lead to a Sell Signal in the near future.
Don't get caught on the wrong side of a bear market.
You could be buying at exactly the time you should be raising cash. KNOW THE DIFFERENCE.
To learn more, call 917-268-1800 and speak with a live person about the model and how Minervini Markets 360 can help you dramatically improve your performance and effectively manage risk.
Yes markets are very sloppy to trade right now. All I can say is each and every single breadth model I have has sunk down to levels where previous major lows have formed and all but 1 has already turned up/crossed over. $SPY
That’s the difference between being a quant and a trader. Extremely rare to do both successfully…
Leopold Aschenbrenner might genuinely be the unluckiest motherfucker alive.
After getting absolutely destroyed in July and being forced to liquidate much of his AI portfolio, he reportedly came back swinging in early September, buying hundreds of millions of dollars worth of options premium.
Look at how those stocks have performed since September 8:
$CRWV: -37.4%
$SKHY: -25.8%
$SNDK: -23.8%
$DRAM: -22.9%
$BE: -18.1%
$INTC: -9.4%
$AMD: +9.1%
Six out of seven are underwater, with an average decline of roughly 18.6%.
And remember, we're talking about someone who reportedly rebuilt exposure through leveraged options, not just common shares.
Imagine surviving a massive forced liquidation, watching your favorite stocks recover, deciding it's finally safe to get back in, and then getting hit by ANOTHER brutal selloff barely a month later.
The worst part about options is that you can be absolutely right about the long-term AI infrastructure thesis and still lose a fortune because your timing was wrong.
I genuinely feel for the guy.
The market has absolutely no mercy.
Thank fucking god I didn’t bet on any of these loser games…. #nlcs
Calling all $NKE knife catchers..
Exactly…as…I…said…
Now just 40 points away from fresh ATH in the Nasdaq 100 on the 1st day of the new quarter which starts the utmost, maximum bullish midterm seasonality for the next 10 months. $QQQ
Right now, I would say either we rip massively higher on a clean break of 30800 on the NDX or.. a double top has formed and a clear sell occurs under 30100. I am positioned for either scenario now.. $QQQ
This year’s $QQQ seasonality chart has been a dead ringer, spot on. Almost perfect April, low then summer pullback and consolidation. Now at the seasonal low print zone with the index at weekly closing ATH in the midst of terrible NYSE breadth. Tech..always..leads..bottoms.
Even in a tumultuous week of spiking yields, energy prices and plunges in NYSE breadth and consumer confidence, New weekly closing ATH in the $QQQ. Tech..always..leads..bottoms…
Lots of double top bear porn calls out there. Tech continues to massively outperform even in the face of wars, spiking yields and energy costs. We just had a massive symetrical triangle breakout with a breakaway gap on the weekly. Long AF #QQQ
Jason Jonsy retweeted
13.3% of the NYSE made a new 52W low today....
Breadth is getting washed out. Typically this has only been seen at or near capitulation lows...
The headlines couldn’t be much worse right now. Very similar to March as the S&P simply refused to collapse. Here we are barely 3% off ATHs with NYSE lows/highs at similar levels to previous bottoms. Just cant get too bearish here. Any adverse Fed reaction is to be bot. $SPY












