Content and analysis at @PoolGenius and @TeamRankings. Otherwise busy with four kids.
Blue Springs, MO
Joined August 2009
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In the @splashsports World Championship, the Jets loss evened the field a bit and brought the biggest portfolios toward the pack.
Here were Week 7 Jets usage by portfolio size at start of week:
ALT Week 7 usage of NY Jets by portfolio size in Splash Survivor World Championship
In #CircaSurvivor Baltimore's availability is going to drop from 58.2% to 45.5% (if Dallas wins) even though Baltimore was not picked in the contest and did not win this week.
Those that picked Baltimore in Week 4 advanced at a much higher rate in Week 7 than those that picked Minnesota in Week 4 (since the Vikings were also the most common advancing pick this week), reducing Baltimore's availability by a substantial margin, which should in turn increase their future value.
With the Circa Survivor contest down to 660 entries heading into tonight, we are now projecting a 32% chance it ends before Week 18 for first time ever, and a 26% chance of a solo winner (also never happened).
ALT PoolGenius Entry Valuation Tool - Circa contest end projections, after Week 7
You can see all entry valuations and projections here:
poolgenius.teamrankings.com/…
Jason Lisk retweeted
We're getting our ducks in a row for Saturday Night Sweat... Don't forget to tap in with us in chat starting at 5:45pm PST!
Expect expert survivor analysis from @MBuchmiller, @rosenblumr, @dwpoker, @JasonLisk from @PoolGenius, @PeteTarz & more!
Which side of this fantasy football trade do you like better (PPR)?
86%Parker Washington
14%Chase Brown
14 votes • Final resultsHow does this happen? Organizational failures on a massive scale here.
That isn't even the first Matthew Stafford 18-16 game. It's the 3rd one he's been a part of.
This one.
18-16 win for Detroit over Green Bay in 2015.
18-16 loss for Detroit to Baltimore in 2013. (The Justin Tucker 61-yard game winner kick.)
I just entered several in the Wave Revival, and if you want to do the same, you can use our Splash Pick Assignment tool to quickly enter a bunch of picks poolgenius.teamrankings.com/…
if you got knocked out of your Survivor contest, and are ready to get back up, Splash has your back.
$1 million guaranteed. $25 per entry. Currently nearly $600k of overlay!
If interested in bulk entering, email [email protected] for offers.
Contest link below
Jason Lisk retweeted
💦 Our Splash World Championship entry valuation tool is LIVE for Week 6!
GetNickWright (aka @getnickwright) has the 3rd most valuable entry entering the week 👀
🔗 See Full List: poolgenius.teamrankings.com/…
Who is the best Week 6 Survivor pick?
43%LA Rams (vs. ARI)
13%New England (vs. NYJ)
27%Indianapolis (vs. TEN)
17%Kansas City (vs. LAC)
63 votes • Final resultsThe Commanders are now responsible for two of the biggest “Wait, I’m Alive! … NOPE” rug pulls in survivor history between this and the 2024 game against the Cowboys with the 86-yard bomb to McLaurin followed by the missed XP.
Across all contests I am in where I can see pick rates on Dallas, the 38% in the World Championship was THE LOWEST of any pool. Median was 45% and several went over 50%, including those with higher concentrations of single entries.
The Dallas loss had the biggest impact on single entries remaining, with over 55% breaking to Dallas in the Splash Survivor World Championship.
Plus, a subset of the largest portfolios that went heavy Dallas and paid the price.
2) Circa's holiday pick week, and Dallas at home on Thanksgiving, should theoretically cause more to save them for that week because of contest dynamics, not present in Splash, and spread ownership out.
But
Let's talk about how this might relate to #circasurvivor numbers on Dallas, which we don't know yet.
1) Splash has generally run about 7-8% lower than Circa on the most popular picks so far (pointing to Dallas up)
But